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Jerry Bo's Bookie Busters: World Cup weekend edition

Jerry Bo's Bookie Busters: World Cup weekend edition
Mexico should be celebrating another victory. Alexander Hassenstein/Getty Images

The World Cup has brought us plenty of surprises thus far, and we look for things to become somewhat more uniform as the tournament progresses. Favorites continue to dominate straight up going 14-5-4. Don't be afraid to parlay some of these big favorites, small payouts are better than large losses.

The Under run continues. As we previously discussed, this tournament has seen an abundance of low scoring first halves and favorites winning but not covering the line. The Over/ Under is now 9-13-1. Teams are parking the bus and playing for short results. Imagine playing a game with your whole squad backed in your own half playing not to lose for 90 minutes, but then conceding in the 70th minute giving you minimal time to make up the score. An interesting trend we have seen is South American teams struggling, starting out 0-6-2 ATS. Keep a close eye on teams from the CONMEBOL as the tournament continues.

3 MAX plays this weekend, Good Luck!

Costa Rica vs Brazil - FIFA World Cup - Group E
Brazil -1.5    MAX
Brazil TT Over 2     4U
Brazil to nil    2U

Iceland vs Nigeria - FIFA World Cup - Group D
Nigeria TT Over 1      1U

Switzerland vs Serbia - FIFA World Cup - Group E
Under 2      2U

Tunisia vs Belgium - FIFA World Cup - Group G
Belgium -1      2U

Mexico vs South Korea - FIFA World Cup - Group F
Mexico  ML MAX  5U

Panama vs England - FIFA World Cup - Group G
England -1.5   4U
England to nil  1U

Senegal vs Japan - FIFA World Cup - Group H
Senegal PK     2U

Colombia vs Poland - FIFA World Cup - Group H
Over 2     MAX 5U

Colombia advances from Group H   +155 1U

Egypt vs Saudi Arabia - FIFA World Cup - Group A
Egypt ML     1U

Portugal vs Iran - FIFA World Cup - Group B
Portugal ML     2U

Peru vs Australia - FIFA World Cup - Group C
Peru    PK  4U

Argentina vs Nigeria - FIFA World Cup - Group D
Over 2.5    1U

Peoples Parlay  1U

Brazil  -1.5

Peru PK

Mexico ML

Col/Pol  Over 2

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz on Twitter.

 

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Is leadership the main problem for Houston? Composite Getty Image.

With the Astros now officially ten games under .500 for the season, manager Joe Espada is taking a lot of heat from the fanbase for the team's struggles.

While we don't agree with the sentiment, we even hear fans clamoring for the return of Dusty Baker and Martin Maldonado, thinking the Astros wouldn't be in this mess if they were still here.

Which is ridiculous. First of all, Maldonado has been awful for the White Sox, hitting .048 (even worse than Jose Abreu's .065). And for those of you that think his work with the pitching staff justifies his pathetic offense. Let me say this: Where was Maldy's game calling genius for Hunter Brown, Cristian Javier, and Framber Valdez last year? All of them regressed significantly.

And as far as Baker is concerned, we have no idea how much a difference he would make, we can only speculate. Baker would also be dealing with a pitching staff ravaged with injuries. And let's not forget, Baker was the guy that refused to move Jose Abreu down in the batting order, even though he would finish the regular season with the ninth-worst OPS in baseball.

The reality of the situation is managers can only do so much in baseball. Which leads us to something else that needs to be considered. Is Espada being handcuffed by the front office? Espada and GM Dana Brown both said recently that Jon Singleton was going to get more at-bats while they give Abreu time off to try to figure things out. Yet, there Abreu was in the lineup again in the opening game of the Cubs series.

It makes us wonder how much power does Espada truly have? The Astros have some other options at first base. Yainer Diaz may only have eight games played at the position, but how much worse could he be than Abreu defensively? Abreu already has four errors, and Diaz is obviously a way better hitter. Victor Caratini isn't considered a plus offensive player, but his .276 batting average makes him look like Babe Ruth compared to Abreu. Let him catch more often and play Diaz at first. Starting Diaz at first more often could also lengthen his career long-term.

Maybe that's too wild of a move. Okay, fine. How about playing Mauricio Dubon at first base? I understand he doesn't have much experience at that position, but what's the downside of trying him there? If he can play shortstop, he can play first base. He's driving in runs at a higher rate (11 RBIs) than everyone on the team outside of Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez. And he's producing like that as part-time player right now.

The other criticism we see of Espada is his use of Jon Singleton to pinch hit late in games. Let's be real, though, who else does Espada have on the roster to go to? Batting Abreu late in games in which you're trailing should be considered malpractice. Espada can only use who he has to work with. This all really stems from the Astros poor farm system.

They don't have anyone else to turn to. The draft picks the club lost from the sign-stealing scandal are really hurting them right now. First and second rounders from 2020 and 2021 should be helping you in 2024 at the big league level.

Maybe they go to Astros prospect Joey Loperfido soon, but after a hot start he has only two hits in his last six games.

Finally, we have to talk about what seems like a committee making baseball decisions. Lost in a committee is accountability. Who gets the blame for making poor decisions?

As time continues to pass it looks like moving on from former GM James Click was a massive mistake. He's the guy that didn't sign Abreu, but did trade Myles Straw (recently DFA'd) for Yainer Diaz and Phil Maton. He also built an elite bullpen without breaking the bank, and helped the club win a World Series in 2022.

The reality of the situation is Dusty Baker and James Click are not walking back through that door. And all good runs come to an end at some point. Is this what we're witnessing?

Don't miss the video above as we hit on all the points discussed and much more!

Catch Stone Cold 'Stros (an Astros podcast) with Charlie Pallilo, Brandon Strange, and Josh Jordan. We drop two episodes every week on SportsMapHouston's YouTube channel. You can also listen on Apple Podcast, Spotifyor wherever you get your podcasts.

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