Gambling Guide

March for the Cash: Off to a HOT start, plus plays for every game Friday

March for the Cash: Off to a HOT start, plus plays for every game Friday
The gambling guide is off to a hot start. Getty Images

4-1-1 Thursday 3/15

Rhode Island -2 WIN
San Diego State +4  WIN
Kentucky-5 PUSH
Loyola Chicago +1.5 WIN
Florida -4 WIN
NC State +3 LOSS

Including the play in games:
Favorites are 15-5 straight up
Favorites are 12-8 ATS
Unders have dominated going 14-6

Day 1 is in the books, and we got what we expected, THRILLERS! One, thing we must take note of is how sharp the lines were on the first day of games. 8 out of the first 12 games ended within 3 points of the line.

- Down goes No 4 seed Arizona. Listed as an 8.5 point favorite, the Wildcats were blown out by Buffalo. Many fans kissed their brackets goodbye.

- The Houston Cougars won a thriller of a game behind Rob Gray's 39-point performance. None more important than the layup with 1 second left for the Game-winner! One stat that does stick out is Gray had 0 assists, something that must change if they want to advance to the sweet 16. Cougars only had 5 assists the whole game.

- Villanova is SCARY! The Wildcats offense is ranked No 1 in efficiency, as we can see why. They shot lights out hitting 59.6% percent from the field while hitting 14 three-pointers (51.9).

- The Big Ten tournament starting a week early hurt the Wolverines. Michigan started the game ice cold and looked out of sorts. They finally were able to overcome the slow start (10-0) and covered the -10.5 spread.

Here are my predictions for every game (official plays at the bottom)

Kansas State +1     O/U 144
Creighton
Kansas St +1

Providence +2     O/U 138
Texas A&M
Texas A&M -2

Lipscomb +20       O/U 163
North Carolina
Over 163

Butler                     O/U 151.5
Arkansas  +1.5
Butler-1.5

CS Fullerton +20.5    O/U 146.5
Purdue
1st Half Under 68.5

Syracuse +4            O/U 136.5
TCU
Under 136.5

Bucknell +14.5    O/U 148
Michigan State
Over 148

Texas                   O/U 143
Nevada +1    
Texas -1

Georgia State+14    O/U 129.5
Cincinnati
Under 129.5

Texas Southern +19.5     O/U 160
Xavier
Xavier -19.5

Florida State           O/U 147
Missouri +1.5
Missouri +1.5


Murray State +10.5      O/U 145.5
West Virginia
Under 145.5

Marshall   +12    O/U 165
Wichita State
Over 165

New Mexico State +5.5    O/U 133
Clemson
New Mexico St +5.5       

College of Charleston   +9 O/U 148
Auburn
Auburn -9

Official Plays
New Mexico St +5.5
Texas A&M -2
Butler-1.5
Cincinnati Under 129.5



Any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter
 

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Is leadership the main problem for Houston? Composite Getty Image.

With the Astros now officially ten games under .500 for the season, manager Joe Espada is taking a lot of heat from the fanbase for the team's struggles.

While we don't agree with the sentiment, we even hear fans clamoring for the return of Dusty Baker and Martin Maldonado, thinking the Astros wouldn't be in this mess if they were still here.

Which is ridiculous. First of all, Maldonado has been awful for the White Sox, hitting .048 (even worse than Jose Abreu's .065). And for those of you that think his work with the pitching staff justifies his pathetic offense. Let me say this: Where was Maldy's game calling genius for Hunter Brown, Cristian Javier, and Framber Valdez last year? All of them regressed significantly.

And as far as Baker is concerned, we have no idea how much a difference he would make, we can only speculate. Baker would also be dealing with a pitching staff ravaged with injuries. And let's not forget, Baker was the guy that refused to move Jose Abreu down in the batting order, even though he would finish the regular season with the ninth-worst OPS in baseball.

The reality of the situation is managers can only do so much in baseball. Which leads us to something else that needs to be considered. Is Espada being handcuffed by the front office? Espada and GM Dana Brown both said recently that Jon Singleton was going to get more at-bats while they give Abreu time off to try to figure things out. Yet, there Abreu was in the lineup again in the opening game of the Cubs series.

It makes us wonder how much power does Espada truly have? The Astros have some other options at first base. Yainer Diaz may only have eight games played at the position, but how much worse could he be than Abreu defensively? Abreu already has four errors, and Diaz is obviously a way better hitter. Victor Caratini isn't considered a plus offensive player, but his .276 batting average makes him look like Babe Ruth compared to Abreu. Let him catch more often and play Diaz at first. Starting Diaz at first more often could also lengthen his career long-term.

Maybe that's too wild of a move. Okay, fine. How about playing Mauricio Dubon at first base? I understand he doesn't have much experience at that position, but what's the downside of trying him there? If he can play shortstop, he can play first base. He's driving in runs at a higher rate (11 RBIs) than everyone on the team outside of Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez. And he's producing like that as part-time player right now.

The other criticism we see of Espada is his use of Jon Singleton to pinch hit late in games. Let's be real, though, who else does Espada have on the roster to go to? Batting Abreu late in games in which you're trailing should be considered malpractice. Espada can only use who he has to work with. This all really stems from the Astros poor farm system.

They don't have anyone else to turn to. The draft picks the club lost from the sign-stealing scandal are really hurting them right now. First and second rounders from 2020 and 2021 should be helping you in 2024 at the big league level.

Maybe they go to Astros prospect Joey Loperfido soon, but after a hot start he has only two hits in his last six games.

Finally, we have to talk about what seems like a committee making baseball decisions. Lost in a committee is accountability. Who gets the blame for making poor decisions?

As time continues to pass it looks like moving on from former GM James Click was a massive mistake. He's the guy that didn't sign Abreu, but did trade Myles Straw (recently DFA'd) for Yainer Diaz and Phil Maton. He also built an elite bullpen without breaking the bank, and helped the club win a World Series in 2022.

The reality of the situation is Dusty Baker and James Click are not walking back through that door. And all good runs come to an end at some point. Is this what we're witnessing?

Don't miss the video above as we hit on all the points discussed and much more!

Catch Stone Cold 'Stros (an Astros podcast) with Charlie Pallilo, Brandon Strange, and Josh Jordan. We drop two episodes every week on SportsMapHouston's YouTube channel. You can also listen on Apple Podcast, Spotifyor wherever you get your podcasts.

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