JOEL BLANK

Hey Astros fans, these guys are good!

Hey Astros fans, these guys are good!
Martin Maldonado (right) has been a solid role player. Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

This Astros team is not a flash in the pan. This team is not a one and done fluke. In fact, last year this team won and done was the talk of a franchise that couldn't win the big one. They don't play in a media hotbed like Los Angeles or New York, instead they played through those two cities on their way to bringing the title home to Houston. This season it's starting to feel like not only are they in the perfect position to do it again, but they look like a club that is ready to go on a run competing for several more over the next few years, instead of settling for just that one.

Even with George Springer dealing with a thumb injury that won't be right the rest of the year, Carlos Correa merely a shell of his normal self as he fights a back injury that has hindered him most of the second half of the season and Jose Altuve trying to mange the lingering affects of a late knee injury, this team continues to win. Sure they have star power and a great mix of veteran experience and rising young talent, but more than anything else, they have a great supporting cast that steps up big in the biggest of situations and makes sure the stars are never on an island looking for help that never shows up.

The Astros opened up the divisonal round of the playoffs and defense of their World Series title this weekend with a visit from the Cleveland Indians. The Tribe came in as a more than formidable opponent having won their division again with the help of 2 Cy Young candidates and a lineup full of All-Stars and a former league MVP. They have an outstanding manager and good depth on the bench. Most people thought this was the best match up of all the divisional series, a matchup sure to go the full five games, with the winner being the favorite to win the pennant regardless of regular season record.

What we have seen in the first two games is the "X Factor" for the Astros is alive and well and ready to show the world that even though the names may change, the results stay the same. The supporting cast for the Astros is extremely talented and as much as Springer and Justin Verlander and Alex Bregman and Gerrit Cole did to protect the home field and put the team up 2-0 in the series, the role players were heard from loud and clear. 

Last year the best backup singers in baseball had the likes of Brad Peacock emerging as arguably the best pitcher on the staff, Josh Reddick with an individual best .314 batting average and one of the top home hitters in all of baseball, Marwin Gonzalez having a career year statitically accrss the board at the plate and Chris Devinsky making the All-Star team as the most trusted reliever in AJ Hinch's bullpen. In the postseason it was Charlie Morton and Lance McCullers to the rescue in relief and Marwin and Bregman stepping up offensively to give the lineup key hits and big time at bats. This year it has been more of the same and although the faces or roles may have changed, the results remain the same. I realize it's only two games into what we all hope is a long playoff run, but the contributions of the   so called "other guys" have to get some love too and a bit of the credit to boot. Let's look at the "Usual Suspects" doing unusual things so far to help Houston:

Martin Maldonado - As valuable as Brian McCann was last year managing the pithing staff and adding key hits when needed, this year he needed knee surgery and Martin Maldonado was brought in to step in, step up and save the day. Nicknamed the "machete" for his ability to cut down runners trying to steal he has done that and so much more as he has lived up to billing as one of the best defensive catchers in the game. He has also earned the trust of the pithing staff and called great games for Verlander, Cole and company. He also supplied a key insurance run with a huge home run in Game 1 that helped cement the victory.

Tyler White - Evan Gattis was the DH for the historic run the Astros went on a year ago, providing leadership, experience, power and verstility as he was also the team's emergency catcher. This year the "caveman" has ben hot and cold and was eventually replaced by White as the big bat at the bottom of the lineup and a guy that can play both infield and outfield if called upon. Through 2 games against the Indians he is hitting .600 with a slugging percentge of .800, OBP of .750 and OPS of 1.550.

Marwin Gonzalez - As big as his home run in the 9th inning of Game 2 of last years' World Series was, not to mention his huge regular season a year ago where he set career marks across the board at the plate, this year was a dissappointing step back. He was still great defensively as a utility man extraordinaire, but at the plate he returned to the offensive output that has defined his career. The good news is, his postseason magic seems to be back where the team loves it to be as his .714 average leads the team and his huge double in Game 2 against the Tribe turned the tables, gave the team the lead and got the offense going after a sluggish start. 

Josh Reddick - A mirror image of Marwin a year ago he hit .314, which was the best year of his career, was incredible defensively and as mentioned, was the best bat in the American League at home a season ago. His playoffs unfortunately was the complete opposite as he went 5-for-49 in the ALCS and World Series. The hangover continued this year as his average fell 72 points and he presssed and struggled through a good portion of the summer. The fresh start of the playoffs have been just what Josh and the team has needed through the first two games as he had two big hits in Game 1, another in Game 2 as he is hitting .500 with 2 RBI. 

Yes, Springer and Bregman have been huge as they have lead the squad to two big victories, but with Carlos Correa still wallowing in a huge slump and  Altuve hitting a paltry .250 the other bats at the bottom of the order have stepped up big and helped build the impressive 2-0 advantage over the Indians. Of course this team will always rely on the "Core 4" to lead them, but if the team is to make a deep run as they attempt to repeat as World Series champs, it's a pretty good sign that the reserves have come to play and contribute in a very big way. For as good as the stars are on this team, it's the rest of the roster that gives so many baseball experts the opinion that this team is loaded and ready to be contenders for the foreseeable future. Let's hope that's the case as we all buckle up and prepare to enjoy the ride. 


 

Most Popular

SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome

Listen Live

ESPN Houston 97.5 FM
Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman are hot names at the Winter Meetings. Composite Getty Image.

The woeful state of the Astros' farm system has made it very expensive to continue maintaining a good team, prohibitively so (in part self-imposed) from having a great team. Even if they re-sign Alex Bregman, trading Framber Valdez and/or Kyle Tucker for prospects could snap the Astros' run of eight straight postseason appearances. But if they KNOW that no way do they intend to offer Framber five years 130 million dollars, Tucker 7/225 or whatever their free agent markets might be after next season, keeping them for 2025 but getting nothing but 2026 compensatory draft picks for them could do multi-year damage to the franchise.

The time is here for the Astros to be aggressively shopping both. It doesn't make trading them obligatory, but even though many purported top prospects amount to little or nothing (look up what the Astros traded to Detroit for Justin Verlander, to Pittsburgh for Gerrit Cole, to Arizona for Zack Greinke) if strong packages are offered the Astros need to act if unwilling (reasonably or not) to pay Valdez/Tucker.

Last offseason the Milwaukee Brewers traded pitching ace Corbin Burnes one season ahead of his free agency and then again won the National League Central, the San Diego Padres dealt Juan Soto and wound up much improved and a playoff team after missing the 2023 postseason. But nailing the trades is critical. The Brewers got their everyday rookie third baseman Joey Ortiz and two other prospects. The Padres got quality starter Michael King, catcher Kyle Hagashioka, and three prospects.

Back to Bregman

Meanwhile, decision time approaches for Alex Bregman. He, via agent Scott Boras, wants 200-plus million dollars. Don't we all. If he can land that from somebody, congratulations. The Astros' six-year 156 million dollar contract offer is more than fair. That's 26 million dollars per season and would take Bregman within a few months of his 37th birthday. If rounding up to 160 mil gets it done, ok I guess. Going to 200 would be silly.

While Bregman hasn't been a superstar (or even an All-Star) since 2019, he's still a very good player. That includes his 2024 season which showed decline offensively. Not falling off a cliff decline other than his walk rate plunging about 45 percent, but decline. If Bregman remains the exact player he was this season, six-156 is pricey but not crazy in the current marketplace. But how likely is Bregman to not drop off further in his mid-30s? As noted before, the storyline is bogus that Bregman has been a postseason monster. Over seven League Championship Series and four World Series Bregman has a .196 batting average.
The Astros already should be sweating some over Jose Altuve having shown marked decline this season, before his five year 125 million dollar extension covering 2025-2029 even starts. Altuve was still very good offensively though well down from 2022 and 2023 (defensively his data are now awful), but as he approaches turning 35 years old in May some concern is warranted when locked into paying a guy until he's nearly 39 1/2.

Jim Crane is right in noting that long contracts paying guys huge money in their later years generally go poorly for the clubs.

Bang for your buck

Cleveland third baseman Jose Ramirez is heading into the second year of a five-year, $124 million extension. That's 24.8 million dollars per season. Jose Ramirez is a clearly better player than Alex Bregman. Ramirez has been the better player for five consecutive seasons, and only in 2023 was it even close. It should be noted that Ramirez signed his extension in April of 2022. He is about a year and a half older than Bregman so the Guardians are paying their superstar through his age 36 season.

Bregman benefits from playing his home games at soon-to be named Daikin Park. Bregman hit 26 home runs this year. Using ball-tracking data, if he had played all his games in Houston, Bregman would have hit 31 homers. Had all his swings been taken at Yankee Stadium, the "Breggy Bomb" count would have been 25. In Cleveland, just 18. Ramirez hit 41 dingers. If all his games were home games 40 would have cleared the fences, if all had been at Minute Maid Park 47 would have been gone.

Matt Chapman recently signed a six-year 151 million dollar deal to stay with the San Francisco Giants. That's 25.166 million per season. Chapman was clearly a better player than Bregman this year. But it's the only season of Chapman's career that is the case. Chapman is 11 months older than Bregman, so his lush deal with the Giants carries through his age 37 season.

The Giants having overpaid Chapman doesn't obligate the Astros to do the same with Bregman. So, if you're the Astros do you accept overpaying Bregman? They would almost certainly be worse without him in 2025, but what about beyond? Again, having not one elite prospect in their minor league system boxes them in. Still, until/unless the Seattle Mariners upgrade their offense, the Astros cling to American League West favorites status. On the other hand, WITH Bregman, Tucker, and Valdez the Astros are no postseason lock.

For Texans’ conversation, catch Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me on our Texans On Tap podcasts. Thursdays feature a preview of the upcoming game, and then we go live (then available on demand) after the final gun of the game: Texans on Tap - YouTube

The Astros are always in season for discussion. Our Stone Cold ‘Stros podcasts drop Mondays: Click here to watch!

SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome