How these surprising Houston Astros projections point to a bizarre path forward
FUTURE SHOCK
21 December 2023
FUTURE SHOCK
It's been an exciting offseason in MLB so far, with Shohei Ohtani signing with the Dodgers, and Juan Soto being traded to the New York Yankees.
But for Houston Astros fans, there hasn't been much to get excited about with the team limiting their spending. Astros fans are also preparing for the departure of Alex Bregman after the season, and rumors of trade talks about Framber Valdez have been swirling over the last week or so.
While we don't expect Valdez to be moved, there are reports about money being an issue for the club, which has many wondering if their championship window is closing quickly.
Baseball America put together some projections for what the Astros roster could look like several years from now.
So let's get right to it. Here's what the Astros 2027 roster could look like, according to Baseball America:
Projected 2027 Lineup
Catcher: Yainer Diaz (28)
First Base: Zach Dezenzo (27)
Second Base: Jose Altuve (37)
Third Base: Brice Matthews (25)
Shortstop: Jeremy Peña (29)
Left Field: Luis Baez (23)
Center Field: Jacob Melton (26)
Right Field: Kyle Tucker (30)
Designated Hitter: Yordan Alvarez (30)
No. 1 Starter: Cristian Javier (30)
No. 2 Starter: Hunter Brown (28)
No. 3 Starter: Spencer Arrighetti (27)
No. 4 Starter: Alonzo Tredwell (25)
No. 5 Starter: Andrew Taylor (25)
Closer: Bryan Abreu (30)
What are the biggest surprises?
We have to start with Kyle Tucker. It's hard to find anyone that thinks the Astros are going to meet his contract demands. However, when looking at the roster, they're not spending money on much else. So, who knows, if they approach the roster in this fashion, maybe Tucker could still be on the team.
It may not be a surprise, but this roster doesn't include Framber Valdez, Luis Garcia, or Lance McCullers. And Cristian Javier would be in the last year of his deal in 2027. The Astros are putting a lot of faith in their development of pitchers with these projections.
Is the championship window still open with this lineup?
Probably not, unless several of these prospects reach the ceiling of their potential. Plus, it's not like Jim Crane to roll with a middle of the road roster like this.
But there is a lot of potential with many of these prospects. Players like Luis Baez and Brice Matthews are only in A ball, so it's hard to know what they'll be capable of in 2027.
Finally, if money issues continue to be an issue for Houston, do we expect Jim Crane to still own the team in 2027?
Be sure to watch the video above as we discuss the upside for these prospects, the teams' outlook moving forward, and much more.
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Jake Meyers hit a go-ahead home run, and Josh Hader stranded a runner on third in the ninth inning to preserve the Houston Astros' 4-3 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays on Monday night.
Chandler Simpson reached on catcher's interference to begin the ninth against Hader. Simpson advanced on a ground out before stealing third. Hader then got Taylor Wells to pop up a bunt and Isaac Paredes to pop out near third for his 12th save in 12 opportunities.
Meyers went 2 for 3 and hit his third home run on the second pitch from reliever Manuel Rodriguez (0-2) to put the Astros ahead in the seventh.
Meyers walked, stole his eighth base and scored on a double by Cam Smith as part of a three-run first inning against Rays starter Ryan Pepiot. Victor Caratini opened the scoring with his third home run — a two-out solo shot — and Chas McCormick capped it with an RBI single.
Houston's Colton Gordon — a native of St. Petersburg, Florida, making his second career start — allowed a single to Yandy Díaz leading off the first then retired 12 straight until Brandon Lowe singled in the fifth. Danny Jansen followed with his third homer to make it 3-2. Díaz and José Caballero had back-to-back doubles in the sixth to tie it.
Gordon allowed three runs and five hits in 5 1/3 innings with seven strikeouts. Bryan King (2-0) got four outs for the win.
Pepiot allowed three runs on eight hits in six innings.
King allowed a walk and a single to begin the seventh with a one-run lead but came back to strike out both Taylor Walls and pinch-hitter Jonathan Aranda swinging. Bryan Abreu entered and got Díaz on a grounder for the third out.
The Rays have gone 10-8 on the road but just 11-18 at George M. Steinbrenner Field — their temporary home.
Rays RHP Zack Littell (3-5 4.31) starts Tuesday's middle game. The Astros have not announced a starter.