Here's how Astros next extension candidate might actually catch you by surprise

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Here's how Astros next extension candidate might actually catch you by surprise
Which player will sign an extension first? Composite Getty Image.

As the Houston Astros prepare for the start of the season, one of the biggest topics of conversation has to be Alex Bregman's contract status. Bregman has yet to receive an offer from the club, as he prepares to play in the final year of his deal.

Extension talks with Kyle Tucker haven't gone very far either, but Astros GM Dana Brown has been adamant that the team will make both players an offer. The Astros have an extra year to negotiate with Tucker, as he's not set to be a free agent until after the 2025 season.

So as we wait for some movement on these situations, something Dana Brown said this week at spring training caught our attention. The Athletic's Chandler Rome recently wrote about Brown's interest in getting players signed to pre-arbitration extensions. Something Brown had a lot of success doing while he was in the Atlanta Braves front office.

Astros pitcher Cristian Javier signed one before the start of last season. He inked a deal for 5-years, $64 million shortly after Brown took the job as Astros GM.

Who could be next?

The players that fit this description currently would be Jeremy Pena, Yainer Diaz, and Bryan Abreu. Out of those three, Abreu would make the most sense to extend at this time. At this early stage in their careers, it's hard to know what caliber of players Pena and Diaz will ultimately be.

But Abreu looks like he's going to be a quality high-leverage reliever for years to come. The Astros could buy out his next two years of arbitration and offer him a contract extension that would keep him in Houston long-term.

With Rafael Montero and Ryan Pressly likely to leave in free agency after the 2025 season, having Abreu and Josh Hader locked in to pitch the 8th and 9th innings moving forward makes a ton of sense.

Pressly's $14 million would be off the books, along with Montero's $11.5 million in 2026. The club could use that savings to pay Abreu.

Hader is under contract through the 2028 season. It would be great to sign Abreu long-term so he could eventually be the closer when Hader's deal is up.

Around the league

Plus, how will Zack Wheeler's 3-year, $126 million contract extension with the Phillies impact Framber Valdez?

Be sure to watch the video above as we break it all down!

Catch Stone Cold 'Stros (an Astros podcast) with Charlie Pallilo, Brandon Strange, and Josh Jordan every Monday on SportsMapHouston's YouTube channel. We'll continue to drop more episodes throughout the week.

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Can top prospect Brice Matthews give Houston a boost? Composite Getty Image.

What looked like a minor blip after an emotional series win in Los Angeles has turned into something more concerning for the Houston Astros.

Swept at home by a Guardians team that came in riding a 10-game losing streak, the Astros were left looking exposed. Not exhausted, as injuries, underperformance, and questionable decision-making converged to hand Houston one of its most frustrating series losses of the year.

 

Depth finally runs dry

 

It would be easy to point to a “Dodger hangover” as the culprit, the emotional peak of an 18-1 win at Chavez Ravine followed by a mental lull. But that’s not the story here.

Houston’s energy was still evident, especially in the first two games of the series, where the offense scored five or more runs each time. Including those, the Astros had reached that mark in eight of their last 10 games heading into Wednesday’s finale.

But scoring isn’t everything, not when a lineup held together by duct tape and desperation is missing Christian Walker and Jake Meyers and getting critical at-bats from Cooper Hummel, Zack Short, and other journeymen.

The lack of depth finally showed. The Astros, for three days, looked more like a Triple-A squad with Jose Altuve and a couple big-league regulars sprinkled in.

 

Cracks in the pitching core

 

And the thing that had been keeping this team afloat, elite pitching, finally buckled.

Hunter Brown and Josh Hader, both dominant all season, finally cracked. Brown gave up six runs in six innings, raising his pristine 1.82 ERA to 2.21. Hader wasn’t spared either, coughing up a game-losing grand slam in extra innings that inflated his ERA from 1.80 to 2.38 in one night.

But the struggles weren’t isolated. Bennett Sousa, Kaleb Ort, and Steven Okert each gave up runs at critical moments. The bullpen’s collective fade could not have come at a worse time for a team already walking a tightrope.

 

Injury handling under fire

 

Houston’s injury management is also drawing heat, and rightfully so. Jake Meyers, who had been nursing a calf strain, started Wednesday’s finale. He didn’t even make it through one pitch before aggravating the injury and needing to be helped off the field.

No imaging before playing him. No cautionary rest despite the All-Star break looming. Just a rushed return in a banged-up lineup, and it backfired immediately.

Second-guessing has turned to outright criticism of the Astros’ medical staff, as fans and analysts alike wonder whether these mounting injuries are being made worse by how the club is handling them.

 

Pressure mounts on Dana Brown

 

All eyes now turn to Astros GM Dana Brown. The Astros are limping into the break with no clear reinforcements on the immediate horizon. Only Chas McCormick is currently rehabbing in Sugar Land. Everyone else? Still sidelined.

Brown will need to act — and soon.

At a minimum, calling up top prospect Brice Matthews makes sense. He’s been mashing in Triple-A (.283/.400/.476, 10 HR, .876 OPS) and could play second base while Jose Altuve shifts to left field more regularly. With Mauricio Dubón stretched thin between shortstop and center, injecting Matthews’ upside into the infield is a logical step.

*Editor's note: The Astros must be listening, Matthews was called up Thursday afternoon!

 

There’s also trade chatter, most notably about Orioles outfielder Cedric Mullins, but excitement has been tepid. His numbers don’t jump off the page, but compared to who the Astros are fielding now, Mullins would be a clear upgrade and a much-needed big-league presence.

 

A final test before the break

 

Before the All-Star reset, Houston gets one last chance to stabilize the ship, and it comes in the form of a rivalry series against the Texas Rangers. The Astros will send their top trio — Lance McCullers Jr., Framber Valdez, and Hunter Brown — to the mound for a three-game set that will test their resolve, their health, and perhaps their postseason aspirations.

The Silver Boot is up for grabs. So is momentum. And maybe, clarity on just how far this version of the Astros can go.

There's so much more to discuss! Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!

The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday.

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*ChatGPT assisted.

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