BUSINESS IS GOOD
With Dusty Baker's Astros return looking imminent, this should be his first order of business
Nov 8, 2022, 11:34 am
BUSINESS IS GOOD
I’m not one to tell someone how to do their job. It’s not my nature …
But this should be Dusty Baker’s first order of business on the first day of Astros spring training next year: players will be fined if they slide head-first into any base, regardless if they’re wearing an Arby’s oven mitt or not.
Story: Dusty Baker says he's back for 2023. The Astros manager set to make another run at a World Series title.https://t.co/rfy4L980hD
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) November 8, 2022
Sliding head-first is too risky and just not worth it. X-rays confirmed that Alex Bregman broke a finger trying to stretch a single into a double in the eighth inning of Game 6. The Astros were leading 4-1 at the time and Academy already was breaking out World Series T-shirts for sale. If there had been a Game 7, the Astros would have been without their slugging cleanup hitter. And it’s not like Baker had hot-hitting reinforcements on the bench.
According to a study published in the American Journal of Sports Medicine, there is zero speed advantage in sliding head-first into a base. Sixty players, ranging from Little League to college, participated in the study. Each player ran six times from first to second base, sliding head-first three times and feet-first three times. Their times were identical. The only difference: sliding head-first runs a risk of injuries to hands, heads, arms and spines.
This one’s easy, just don’t do it. Feet-first from now on. Got it, Alex?
Level Up
I heard a sports talk station discussing … which Astro gained the most personally from the World Series victory? We heard Dusty Baker, we heard Jeremy Pena, we heard Yordan Alvarez. Plus Framber Valdez and Jose Altuve. All good choices.
My vote: Chas McCormick. Whatever happens with the rest of his baseball career, he’ll have a steady income for life signing photos of his Game 5-saving (possibly World Series-saving) catch at sports autograph shows.
Astros championship parade
Like the Blob from black-and-white monster movies, crowd estimates of the Astros victory parade kept growing Monday from one million to 1.2 million, ending at two million fans. Ever see an aerial photo of the crowd at Woodstock? It’s massive, with fans packing a wide-open farm in upstate New York as far as the eye can see.
For there to be 2 million Astros fans at the parade, think five(!) Woodstocks, all on one street, just the sidewalk, in downtown Houston. But since I’m an Astros fan, so OK, 2 million.
Mattress Mack stacking cash
Let’s crunch the numbers on Mattress Mack’s record-breaking payout on his Astros bet. He wagered $10 million and earned a $75 million payout. At the same time, he offered customers their money back if they bought a mattress worth $3,000 or more and the Astros won the Series. Remember, when Mack first announced the promotion, it was twice your money back if the Astros won.
Get out your calculator. Mack won $75 million (really $65 million – the $75 million included his initial investment). Do not confuse payout with profit. Now subtract the refunds and cost of buying mattresses from suppliers. We don’t know how many customers got twice their money back, how many got just their money back. We don’t know how much Mack pays for a mattress that he sells for $3,000. And don’t forget that the taxman was keeping a close eye on Mack’s wagers. Uncle Sam typically takes 24 percent of major gambling winnings.
Plus it’s impossible to figure the value of all the publicity and goodwill Mack gained from his wager, sales promotion and potty-mouthed tirade in Philadelphia after Game 3.
How much of Mack’s winnings ultimately ended up in his pocket? During one interview, Mack revealed that he was writing 7,000 refund checks. With all that input, let’s put Mack’s bottom-line haul, after-taxes, after-refunds, post-stress when the Phillies went up 2-1, at … $25 million. Margin of error of my estimate: plus or minus 100 percent.
Looking ahead
Who will be the first Astro to win the Triple Crown? If Aaron Judge signs with a National League team, Yordan Alvarez will have a shot with defensive shifts outlawed and second basemen forced to stay in the infield next year. How many times did we watch Alvarez “ground out” to right field this year? Many of those outs will be hits next year. And Yordan still batted .305.
Has it ever happened that a team is silently hoping that its Cy Young Award winner signs with another team? That’s the ridiculous amount of pitching the Astros have, and most of it is relatively young, inexpensive labor.
And has this ever happened before? On the day a team won the World Series, the two other major sports teams in their city were sitting firmly and alone in last place. The Rockets were 1-9, the only one-win team in the NBA. They won their second game two nights later. The Texans were 1-6-1, now the only one-win team in the NFL.
After dropping a frustrating series to the Chicago White Sox, the Houston Astros find themselves in a familiar position—searching for answers, but still within striking distance. Despite their inconsistency, Houston sits just three games behind the AL West-leading Mariners, who are currently 7 games over .500 and riding an 8-2 stretch. For as up-and-down as the Astros have been, the division remains tantalizingly close.
That inconsistency was on full display throughout the White Sox series. Jake Meyers and Zach Dezenzo each played the roles of both hero and heartbreaker. Dezenzo launched a massive home run in Game 3, a moment that energized the dugout and briefly shifted momentum. But his costly defensive error later in the game flipped the script. Meyers was a spark plug in Houston’s lone win, delivering a clutch performance at the plate, only to run the team out of a rally in the finale when he was picked off second—right before Jeremy Peña ripped what would have been an RBI single.
Jose Altuve’s struggles are quietly becoming more worrisome. He’s recorded just one multi-hit game since April 19 and has only one homer since April 8. On Sunday, he swung at the first pitch after Lance McCullers had grinded through a 33-pitch inning—a decision that raised questions about his awareness in a veteran moment. Should manager Joe Espada have reminded Altuve of the situation? Or is this on Altuve, who should have known what to do as one of the team leaders?
Signs of life
There are flickers of life from the bats. Last week, Houston's team OPS was an underwhelming .667 (23rd in MLB), with a slugging percentage of .357 (25th). They've nudged those numbers up to .684 (19th) and .370 (21st), respectively. It’s modest progress, but enough to suggest this offense might be trending in the right direction. Still, their 5-5 record over the last 10 games feels emblematic of who they are right now—a .500 team with both talent and flaws.
Looking ahead
The upcoming schedule could be a turning point. Three of the next five opponents have losing records, and none of them are elite. This stretch offers a prime opportunity for Houston to finally build momentum and close the gap in the division—assuming the Mariners cool off from their current tear, which seems inevitable given their unsustainable 8-2 pace.
McCullers is officially back!
Lance McCullers returned for the first time since 2022 and, despite being limited to 3.2 innings due to command issues (three walks and a hit batter), there were encouraging signs. His velocity was there, and the stuff looked sharp. It’s a start, and perhaps a step toward stabilizing a rotation that still needs length.
Steering the ship
Manager Joe Espada, however, continues to draw scrutiny. His decision-making in the finale raised eyebrows again. Giving Isaac Paredes a day off when Yordan Alvarez was already sitting left the lineup depleted. Rather than using promising young infielder/outfielder Cam Smith, he opted for Mauricio Dubón and Brendan Rodgers—a defensive combo that didn't inspire confidence. It feels at times like Espada isn’t prioritizing winning the final game of a series, a pattern that could haunt the team down the stretch.
The plot thickens
Meanwhile, Christian Walker’s slump is dragging on. He went 0-for-5 twice in the last two series and looks out of sync at the plate. The Astros need more from their power hitters if they hope to make a real run. And with Alvarez now heading to the IL with hand inflammation, runs will be even harder to come by.
All told, this team still feels like one hovering just above or below .500. But in a division that remains wide open, the path forward is clear: play better, hope the Mariners come back to earth, and capitalize on a soft schedule. The race is far from over—but it’s time for Houston to start acting like contenders.
We have so much more to discuss. Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!
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