How Astros pitching excellence creates huge rotation implications
PITCHING REVOLUTION
03 September 2024
PITCHING REVOLUTION
As we begin the month of September, you can't find a pitching staff hotter than the Houston Astros.
Over the last thirty days, the 'Stros have recorded an MLB-best 2.54 ERA and have climbed to 5th overall for the entirety of the season.
How they're getting it done is also a big part of the story. Framber Valdez and Spencer Arrighetti have both flirted with no-hitters recently, and Hunter Brown and Yusei Kikuchi have also been brilliant.
Astros GM Dana Brown recently revealed that Ronel Blanco will move to the bullpen, as the team goes back to a 5-man rotation in the coming days.
One element of the Astros rotation, however, is a bit of a wild card. Can the Astros count on Justin Verlander to deliver in the playoffs?
Before we get to the playoffs, we have to see how he pitches down the stretch. His three starts since returning from injury have delivered mixed results.
He still has time to regain his Hall of Fame form over the month of September, but the clock is ticking. Some Astros fans have already counted Verlander out, believing he's not one of the best four starters on the roster.
There's a narrative about Verlander that many repeat, even though it's not factually accurate. The argument that Verlander isn't good in the playoffs just isn't true.
He's struggled in the World Series, but has pitched very well in the ALDS and ALCS over the years. JV has pitched 226 innings in the playoffs over the course of his career, with an ERA of 3.58.
Just last year, at 40 years old, he pitched in three postseason games. He had two good starts and one poor one. Hopefully, all the starters pitch well down the stretch and give Joe Espada a good problem to deal with.
Astros front office
Houston GM Dana Brown has certainly faced his share of criticism this season, but overall, it's hard not to be impressed with the results entering the last month of the regular season.
He helped navigate an injury ravaged pitching staff through the storm, and come out on the other side as one of the best rotations in baseball.
Not to mention, he was able to convince Jim Crane to move on from Jose Abreu and Rafael Montero. Which couldn't have been easy with Jeff Bagwell in the mix.
Plus, Brown added Kikuchi to the Astros depleted rotation at the trade deadline, which he received a lot of criticism for. It's hard to imagine the Astros having a 6-game lead over Seattle right now without the Kikuchi trade.
Be sure to watch the video above as we examine the Astros playoff rotation, reflect on the job Dana Brown has done as GM in 2024, and much more!
Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via The SportsMap HOU YouTube channel or listen to episodes in their entirety at Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
As players continue to arrive at Astros spring training, the updates we are receiving are very positive for the most part. Astros pitcher Lance McCullers is very optimistic about his chances to return and produce a successful and healthy season.
At this point, we'll just have to wait and see with McCullers, but it is encouraging to hear how happy he is with where he is physically. Lance pointed out that his velocity is sitting right around 90mph, which is where it was typically in spring training in previous years.
When McCullers spoke about how he would be used this season, something really stood out. He stated that he expected to continue to be used as a starter, despite GM Dana Brown talking about the possibility of Lance coming out of the bullpen.
McCullers even said he wasn't sure where that narrative is coming from, he anticipates starting because he feels like pitching in relief would be harder on his body.
The puzzling communication trend continued when Jose Altuve told reporters on Monday that the team asked him to give left field a try after the conclusion of last season.
Which doesn't line up with the reports that Altuve volunteered to move to left field in an effort to convince Alex Bregman to return to Houston after the team traded for infielder Isaac Paredes.
Speaking of Bregman, we heard reports last season that Alex wasn't happy with how he was communicated with when the team dropped him in the batting order due to his offensive struggles.
However, there is one common factor between these players. Bregman, McCullers, and Altuve are all represented by Scott Boras. It wouldn't surprise us if the reports about Altuve being willing to switch positions was actually something that was floated by Boras to increase leverage in the Bregman negotiations.
Making it seem like Houston was still interested in re-signing Bregman after seemingly filling his position with Paredes could make some sense.
Another element to consider in this communication narrative is Yordan Alvarez making his feelings known on where he hits in the batting order. Yordan didn't request to hit second or third, but he did make it clear he would like the club to pick a spot for him and leave him there.
Based on Altuve's inclination to swing at the first pitch, it wouldn't surprise us if Yordan would prefer to hit third, so he won't find himself regularly in the batter's box for the second pitch of the game.
The club has publicly stated they would like the hitters to see more pitches this season, hopefully that starts with Altuve. Opposing pitchers know Altuve's tendencies, so ambushing fastballs on the first pitch of the game is not as effective as it once was.
One final thought on the mixed signals between the players and front office. We have to take anything Dana Brown says with a grain of salt. He says a lot of things that turn out to be false, and not necessarily on purpose. This is the same guy that said Kyle Tucker would sign an extension with Houston, and Bregman was the top priority in free agency.
I think he's quickly learning that Jim Crane isn't the one that's going to have to “fasten his seatbelt.”
Be sure to watch the video above for the full discussion!
Spring training is up and running. Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday.
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