How Astros pitching excellence creates huge rotation implications
PITCHING REVOLUTION
03 September
The starting pitchers are leading the way for Houston! Composite Getty Image.
As we begin the month of September, you can't find a pitching staff hotter than the Houston Astros.
Over the last thirty days, the 'Stros have recorded an MLB-best 2.54 ERA and have climbed to 5th overall for the entirety of the season.
How they're getting it done is also a big part of the story. Framber Valdez and Spencer Arrighetti have both flirted with no-hitters recently, and Hunter Brown and Yusei Kikuchi have also been brilliant.
Astros GM Dana Brown recently revealed that Ronel Blanco will move to the bullpen, as the team goes back to a 5-man rotation in the coming days.
One element of the Astros rotation, however, is a bit of a wild card. Can the Astros count on Justin Verlander to deliver in the playoffs?
Before we get to the playoffs, we have to see how he pitches down the stretch. His three starts since returning from injury have delivered mixed results.
He still has time to regain his Hall of Fame form over the month of September, but the clock is ticking. Some Astros fans have already counted Verlander out, believing he's not one of the best four starters on the roster.
There's a narrative about Verlander that many repeat, even though it's not factually accurate. The argument that Verlander isn't good in the playoffs just isn't true.
He's struggled in the World Series, but has pitched very well in the ALDS and ALCS over the years. JV has pitched 226 innings in the playoffs over the course of his career, with an ERA of 3.58.
Just last year, at 40 years old, he pitched in three postseason games. He had two good starts and one poor one. Hopefully, all the starters pitch well down the stretch and give Joe Espada a good problem to deal with.
Astros front office
Houston GM Dana Brown has certainly faced his share of criticism this season, but overall, it's hard not to be impressed with the results entering the last month of the regular season.
He helped navigate an injury ravaged pitching staff through the storm, and come out on the other side as one of the best rotations in baseball.
Not to mention, he was able to convince Jim Crane to move on from Jose Abreu and Rafael Montero. Which couldn't have been easy with Jeff Bagwell in the mix.
Plus, Brown added Kikuchi to the Astros depleted rotation at the trade deadline, which he received a lot of criticism for. It's hard to imagine the Astros having a 6-game lead over Seattle right now without the Kikuchi trade.
Be sure to watch the video above as we examine the Astros playoff rotation, reflect on the job Dana Brown has done as GM in 2024, and much more!
Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via The SportsMap HOU YouTube channel or listen to episodes in their entirety at Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
Here's what the next era of Astros baseball will look like
Dec 13, 2024, 8:31 pm
The Chicago Cubs acquired All-Star outfielder Kyle Tucker in a trade with the Houston Astros on Friday, paying a big price for one of baseball's best hitters.
The Cubs sent third baseman Isaac Paredes, right-hander Hayden Wesneski and Cam Smith, one of their top infield prospects, to the Astros for Tucker, who is eligible for free agency after the 2025 season.
Be sure to watch the video below as the crew from Stone Cold 'Stros reacts to the trade and lays out what the future holds for the new-look Astros.
Tucker was limited to 78 games this year because of a fractured right shin, but he hit .289 with 23 homers and 49 RBIs for the AL West champions. He batted .284 with 29 homers, an AL-best 112 RBIs and 30 steals for Houston in 2023.
Tucker, who turns 28 on Jan. 17, joins a crowded situation in Chicago's outfield, but the Cubs are reportedly looking to trade Cody Bellinger, who also can play first base. They also have talked to Seiya Suzuki's agent about the outfielder's no-trade clause.
The Cubs have finished second in the NL Central with an 83-79 record in each of the past two years, and there is increased pressure on president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer to get the team back into the playoffs for the first time since 2020.
The Cubs announced later in the day that they had agreed to an $11.5 million, two-year contract with catcher Carson Kelly, a Chicago native. He played for Detroit and Texas this year, batting .238 with nine homers and 37 RBIs in 91 games.
The New York Yankees also were in the mix for Tucker before the trade was completed.
“We certainly had many conversations with the Astros.” Yankees general manager Brian Cashman said. “At the end of the day I’m glad that Mr. Tucker is not in the American League East or the American League at all. But it’s a big get for the Chicago Cubs.”
Paredes is an option for Houston at third base if Alex Bregman departs in free agency. The 25-year-old Paredes hit .238 with 19 homers and 80 RBIs in 153 games this year. He made the AL All-Star team with Tampa Bay and then was traded to Chicago in July.
Paredes, who bats from the right side and is known for his pull power, chuckled as he talked about taking aim at the Crawford Boxes in left field at Minute Maid Park.
“I feel very happy. It's not only a beautiful stadium, but it's a stadium that benefits my hitting,” he said through a translator.
Even with the acquisition of Paredes, who also can play first, Astros general manager Dana Brown did not close the door on a reunion with Bregman.
“Pretty much Alex Bregman's status is still the way it is,” Brown said. “Nothing has changed since the last time I've talked to you guys.”
Wesneski, a Houston native who played college ball for Sam Houston State, will compete for a spot in the Astros’ rotation.
The right-hander, who turned 27 on Dec. 5, went 3-6 with a 3.86 ERA over 21 relief appearances and seven starts this year. He was on the injured list from July 20 to Sept. 20 with a right forearm strain.
“It’s just a dream-come-true kind of thing,” Wesneski said. “I am excited to be an Astro.”
Houston is hoping the addition of Paredes and Wesneski will help the team continue its impressive run as one of baseball's best teams. It has made the playoffs for eight straight years, winning the World Series in 2017 and 2022. It was swept by Detroit in the wild-card round this year.
“Look, make no mistake. We're still going to compete,” Brown said, “and this is probably one of those moves that I think in the future people will see and understand like, yeah, wow, I understand it now, I get it. ... I would say that this is more to strengthen our opportunities down the road without losing any footage in the current year.”
While Paredes and Wesneski could have an immediate impact, Smith also was a key component of the deal.
Smith, 21, was selected by Chicago with the No. 14 pick in this year's draft out of Florida State University. He hit .313 with seven homers and 24 RBIs in 32 games over three minor league stops, finishing the year with Double-A Knoxville.
“It's a really good first-round college bat with power, with a chance to hit, and he's pretty athletic as well,” Brown said. “So we're really excited about Cam Smith.”
Tucker was Houston's first-round pick in 2015, taken No. 5 overall. He made his big league debut with the Astros in 2018.
Tucker had a breakout performance three years after his debut, hitting a career-best .294 with 30 homers and 92 RBIs in 140 games in 2021. He won a Gold Glove the following year.
The Tampa, Florida, native is a .274 hitter with 125 homers, 417 RBIs and an .869 OPS in 633 career games — all with Houston. He also has appeared in 64 postseason games, batting .229 with eight homers and 28 RBIs.
Kelly gets $5 million in each of the next two seasons, and his deal with Chicago includes a $7.5 million mutual option for 2027 with a $1.5 million buyout. He can earn $500,000 in performance bonuses during each of the three seasons; $250,000 each for 81 and 91 games started.
The Cubs were in need of more depth behind the plate. They also have Miguel Amaya, who played in a career-high 117 games this year, and Matt Thaiss, who was acquired in a trade with the Angels on Nov. 20.
