CASE CLOSED
How mounting evidence confirms these popular Astros narratives no longer add up
Jul 6, 2023, 1:42 pm
CASE CLOSED
Astros manager Dusty Baker is so maddening. I’d love to take one of those instruments that doctors use to look into your ears … just to see what’s going on inside Dusty’s head.
Baker continues to confound some fans – and most of the ones on social media – by making moves that defy common sense and most forces of nature.
And yet here the Astros sit, wracked with injuries and underperforming regulars, only two games behind the Texas Rangers for first place in the American League West .
Just one week ago, the Astros were six games back, with the Rangers fans in a frenzy to deliver the kill shot with four games at Globe Life Park in Arlington.
How’d that work out, Rangers fans?
The question that lingers: are the Astros making all this noise because of genius Baker? Or despite hard-headed Baker?
You don’t need to be a math wizard or an Ernst and Young numbers cruncher to read batting averages and box scores. Up to a few weeks ago, fans were lighting up radio call-in shows pleading with Baker to bench first baseman Jose Abreu. Eat the contract, they said. He’s killing rallies. He’s costing us games. And they had good reason to squawk about Abreu’s everyday presence in the lineup. The Astros’ big-money free-agent acquisition was hitting .211 with less power in the clutch than ERCOT.
Naturally Dusty stuck with Abreu, who flipped the switch and the power is back on. You realize that Abreu today has a higher batting average than Alex Bregman? Abreu is at .243. Breggy, .241.
A recent article listed the five Astros who might not be here after the trade deadline: Martin Maldonado, Grae Kessinger, Bligh Madris, Rafael Montero and Shawn Dubin.
You can’t argue with the list, but Maldonado is the one that makes Astros fans throw their arms up in frustration. OK, maybe Montero, too.
Last week, in the crucial series against the Rangers, Maldonado started and caught all four games. He went 0-13. He is now batting .171. To put that in perspective, of all the players with enough at bats to qualify for the title (3.1 plate appearances per game), the lowest batting average in MLB belongs to Kyle Schwarber at .185. Mike Muncy is hitting .195. Pete Alonso is down there, too, at .217.
But, Schwarber has 22 home runs, Muncy has 19 and Alonso has 25.
Maldonado has come to the plate 222 times this season. He’s batting .171 with five homers and 13 RBI, 19 walks and 69 strikeouts.
Meanwhile, Astros rookie catcher Yanier Diaz is batting .267 with 10 homers and 21 RBI in only 174 plate appearances. Diaz played catcher and blasted two home runs against the Rockies on Wednesday.
Dollars to Shipley glazed donuts, Maldonado will be behind the plate Thursday night when the Astros host AL West rivals Seattle Mariners.
I hear it – Maldy is a defensive specialist, one of the best in baseball. Baker is a defense guy, and Astros pitchers love pitching to Maldonado.
Maldonado has caught 63 games this season. Diaz has caught 24 games.
You realize that Astros pitchers have a lower earned run average in games that Diaz has caught? Diaz has a stronger arm. His throws to second on steal attempts average 85.1 mph, Maldonado’s average 81.8 mph.
Runners have attempted 49 steals and Maldy’s thrown out only 9, or 18 percent of them. He has committed six passed balls this season.
Runners have attempted 24 stolen bases against Diaz and he’s thrown out 10, or 42 percent of them. He has absolute zero passed balls.
Pitchers prefer Maldy behind the plate? Well, maybe it’s time they listened to the advice of noted life coach Ric Flair who said, “If you don’t like it, learn to love it.”
There’s nothing not to love about watching your catcher round the bases after a 425-foot home run to save your W.
It's no secret that the Texans' offense hasn't been the same since Stefon Diggs went down with an ACL injury midseason. To make matters even worse, Houston lost Tank Dell for the year, suffering a catastrophic knee injury against the Chiefs just a few weeks ago.
In an attempt to replace that production, the Texans took a flier on the talented and temperamental Diontae Johnson, who has worn out his welcome with now four NFL teams.
That's right. Aaron Wilson is reporting that the Texans have cut Johnson and elevated Jared Wayne from the practice squad.
When Diontae Johnson, now cut by #Texans, was with #Ravens he was suspended for conduct detrimental for refusing to play. After games, if he wasn't involved to his liking, he was highly upset and had to be calmed down. Pattern continued in Houston and now he's off his third #NFL… https://t.co/wF3WnRfBvg
— Aaron Wilson (@AaronWilson_NFL) January 14, 2025
This move is disappointing on so many levels. Houston desperately needs a playmaker to pair with Nico Collins, that's why they took a chance on the disgruntled receiver to begin with.
And while it's fair to blame Johnson for displaying displeasure about his role in a playoff game in which his team won, there are two sides to every story.
I certainly don't put this on the Texans. Johnson has proven many times to be a bad teammate, and who wants to deal with that during a playoff push?
But the Texans did only target Johnson one time in the game, which he caught and led to a field goal. While receiver John Metchie got most of the playing time despite losing a fumble on the first offensive possession of the game, costing the Texans three points.
Metchie almost had another fumble shortly after the first one, but luckily the refs ruled an incomplete pass on the play. My guess is Johnson correctly thought he was a better option than Metchie, who hasn't done anything of significance at this point in his NFL career, and was playing like the moment was too big for him.
As Metchie was making mistakes, I found myself looking for Diontae on the field and wondering why he wasn't getting more opportunities with Metchie looking like a disaster.
What's even more concerning was Nico Collins not receiving a target until the second quarter, but that's a story for another day.
As we look back at the stat sheet, Johnson was only on the field for 16 snaps, by far the fewest of Texans receivers. Robert Woods and Xavier Hutchinson played a much bigger role than he did.
If the Texans could do things over, planning to get the ball to Collins and Johnson early could have gotten the offense rolling, instead of waiting for the broken play that sparked CJ Stroud and the offense in the second quarter.
But instead, the former Pro Bowler had almost no role in the game, complained about it following a huge win, and is now off the team.
He could have been a very valuable asset against the Chiefs, who will likely take away Collins, forcing Stroud to go to his other options. Now, those options will be players that couldn't crack the starting lineup on any decent team.
Plus, tight end Cade Stover broke his collarbone against the Chargers, and has been placed on IR. It might not seem like a big deal losing Stover, after all, he hasn't been a very big piece of the offense this year.
But he hauled in four passes against the Chargers, the second-most on the team, tied with Metchie. Which also shows you how much Houston needs help at receiver.
At the end of the day, the friction with Johnson probably couldn't have been avoided. It's hard to get newly acquired players comfortable with a new offense and quarterback. Especially if he has an attitude.
But the Texans did know his frustration with the Ravens was all about his role, or lack there of. One can't help but wonder what might have been had the Texans decided to get him the ball early, to try to get some buy-in from a talented player they desperately needed.
There's a reason Jared Wayne (who collided with Dell in KC, ending his season) is being added from the practice squad, and Johnson is a former Pro Bowler.
And kudos to Nick Caserio and DeMeco Ryans for taking a chance on Johnson. Often, this franchise has avoided rolling the dice on a volatile player.
They gave it a shot, it didn't work, and they cut him. It was a low risk move worth trying that didn't pay off. And for Johnson, good luck finding another team.
This dude clearly prioritizes complaining over winning football games. Have fun explaining your antics to other teams when trying to get a contract next season. If you can't play for John Harbaugh or DeMeco Ryans, that says a lot about the player.