RIGHT PLACE—RIGHT TIME

Despite setbacks, here's why things are lining up just right for Astros

Despite setbacks, here's why things are lining up just right for Astros
The AL Central could be the Astros' best friend. Composite Getty Image.
How latest “curveball” in contract negotiations could impact Houston Astros

The All-Star break is typically the time when Houston’s baseball analysts and commentators file their mid-term report cards on the Astros season.

You’ve seen them: Mauricio Dubon gets an A+ for filling in at second base during Jose Altuve’s excused absence for injury. Dubon has been a steady and clutch hitter and, truth be told, an improvement over Altuve at second base.

Jose Abreu earns a D at first base. While he’s improved over his disastrous first 60 games when he was an undeniable flop, he’s retreated to his below-average, certainly below-expectation ways (one hit in the 4-game series against Seattle).

In reality, the whole Astros roster gets an Incomplete for the 2023 season. First, the season has more than two months to go, the dog days of summer are upon us, when the season seems to drag on and games seem to matter less. But that’s really not the case. A “businessman’s special” (remember when they used to call Thursday day games by that gender-specific name?) counts just as much in the standings as a Sunday night “Game of the Week” on national TV.

Let’s not dwell on Astros first-half injuries and disappointments – the team is in second place and looking up at the Texas Rangers, no Astros in the All-Star starting lineup, none in the Home Run Derby, most of the 1-9 starters having a letdown season and the pitching rotation a patchwork of Space Cowboy call-ups.

A path to a deep post-season run

Despite all that misery, let’s be optimistic. The Astros are sitting just two games out of first place. The schedule will give the Astros all the time and games they need to win the division. The Astros have six more games against the Rangers and, perhaps more important, seven left with the Oakland A’s. Because of the mediocrity of the AL Central, where a .500 record might take the division, whoever wins the AL West is all but assured of a first-round bye in the post-season.

I am concerned about the arrogant inevitability I hear from fans that the Astros will win the American League West just by snapping their fingers. That’s the product of the Astros’ crazy success since 2017. As Charles Schwab will tell you, past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Put it this way, the Rangers are in first place, two games up. Right now, it’s better to be them than to be us. There’s work to be done. The Astros can always do some extra credit to get their grade up.

First, what to do when Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve return? Alvarez is one of the most fearsome sluggers in the game and Altuve is the heart and soul of this team. They have to play. Where does that leave Dubon and Yanier Diaz? They have to play, too. Who’s the everyday – or most days – center fielder? Will the Astros land a bat or starting arm at the trade deadline?

Will Dusty Baker bite the bullet and put Diaz at catcher and push Maldonado to backup? Will Dubon become the regular left fielder? Will Alvarez get time at first base? Will Alex Bregman turn it around? And will the Astros finally stop saying “when Michael Brantley returns?”

More questions than The Weakest Link, and the Astros could be in jeopardy if Baker doesn’t have the correct answers. Astros fans should strap themselves in tight, it could be a bumpy ride.

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The Tigers beat the Astros, 7-4. Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images.

Javy Báez capped a five-run third inning with his ninth career grand slam, and the Detroit Tigers avoided a series sweep by beating the Houston Astros 7-4 on Wednesday.

Baez’s two-out homer off AJ Blubaugh (0-1), a 24-year-old right-hander making his major league debut, put the Tigers ahead 7-1. All five runs were unearned due to shortstop Jeremy Peña throwing error on Kerry Carpenter's grounder.

Riley Greene tied his career high with four hits.

Brenan Hanifee (2-0) pitched two scoreless innings in relief of Jackson Jobe, who allowed three runs, four hits and four walks in three innings. Detroit has won five of seven and nine of 13.

Blubaugh (0-1) struck out two in a 1-2-3 first and gave up seven runs — two earned — and five hits in four innings with six strikeouts and a walk.

Blubaugh was optioned back to Sugar Land after the game.

Peña hit the first career leadoff home run, the first of his three hits, but Colt Keith hit a two-run homer in the second to put Detroit ahead for good.

Jose Altuve hit a two-run double in the fifth and Victor Caratini homered in the seventh against Tyler Holton.

Holton struck out Yainer Diaz to strand two runners in the seventh and Tommy Kahnle struck out Christian Walker to leave two runners on in the eighth.

Houston went 2 for 10 with runners in scoring position and stranded 12 runners.

Key moment

Báez drove a high sweeper over the left-field scoreboard.

Key stat

Houston allowed five unearned runs in the third inning after giving up three in its first 29 games.

Up next

Astros: LHP Framber Valdez (1-3 4.00 ERA) opens a three-game series at the Chicago White Sox on Friday night.

Tigers: RHP Casey Mize (4-1 2.12 ERA) opens a four-game series against the Los Angeles Angels and LHP Yusei Kikuchi (0-4, 4.31) on Thursday night.

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