Despite GM denial, here’s why Texans timeline likely not so cut-and-dry

EASIER SAID THAN DONE

The NFL Draft is right around the corner, and the Houston Texans are causing quite a stir in the local and national media.

Many expect the Texans to take a QB with their top pick, but that narrative is shifting and many believe the team may pass on CJ Stroud if Bryce Young is off the board.

If the Texans pass on QB, will that be deflating for the fan base that was just starting to buy back in after the hiring of DeMeco Ryans?

Plus, Texans GM Nick Caserio spoke with the media this week and said the rumors about him leaving after the draft were not correct.

Now, Caserio may not be leaving after the draft, but ESPN Houston's Lance Zierlein thinks his time as the Texans GM could come to an end after the season.

Be sure to check out the video above as we lay it all out.

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Listen to The Bench with John Granato and Lance Zierlein weekdays from 7-10 AM on ESPN 97.5 and 92.5 FM.

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Everyone is talking about the Texans! Composite Getty Image.

How quickly things can change in a year. Just last April, Texans fans were on the edge of their seats hoping the organization would land their franchise quarterback in the NFL Draft.

Fast-forward to 2024 and the state of the Texans franchise is almost unrecognizable. NBC Sports' Mike Florio is making statements about how the NFL must love the Texans because they are the proof that any team can turn their franchise around in one year. Which makes the NFL Draft look even more important. Draft picks give fanbases hope, and unlike baseball and to some extent basketball, many of the top picks start right away.

More Texans love

Other national media members like Colin Cowherd are creating segments about which teams could be the 2025 version of the Texans. In fact, Cowherd praised the Texans last week for reaching out to him two years ago for information about Notre Dame safety Kyle Hamilton.

Post-free agency he picked the Texans to miss the playoffs, but it seems like he's rethinking his prediction.

Counterpoint

Some in the media have their concerns about the Texans trade for Stefon Diggs. Ross Tucker was a guest of the Rich Eisen Show and questioned if wiping the remaining years off of Diggs' contract was a good idea.

First, he thought trading a 2025 second-round pick was too much to give up for a player on a one-year deal. But his second point made us stop and think. He compared this situation to something he experienced in his playing career. He's worried that if Diggs isn't getting enough targets and production in a contract year, he might become a problem.

And the Texans have plenty of weapons to spread the ball to this year with Nico Collins, Diggs, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz, Noah Brown, Robert Woods, Joe Mixon…you get the point.

So we did a little digging into the numbers. There's a scenario in which the Texans could have two receivers go over one thousand yards.

Everybody eats!

We can just look around the league and see that both the Eagles (AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith) and Dolphins (Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle) did it in 2022 and 2023. The Bengals (Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins) also had two receivers go over a thousand yards in 2021 and 2022.

CJ Stroud averaged 274 passing yards per game in 2023, if we multiply that number by seventeen games that puts CJ at 4,658 yards. Nico Collins had 1,297 yards in 15 games last season, and Stefon Diggs recorded 1,183 receiving yards. So that would leave 2.178 yards for the other pass catchers in the offense.

While it's unlikely Tank Dell gets to one thousand if everyone stays healthy, he could get fairly close. Stroud doesn't throw to his running backs all that often, and the Texans should have Dell, Diggs, and Collins together on the field more than fifty percent of the time.

Don't count him out

Texans quarterback CJ Stroud met with the Houston media this week and talked about the team's wide receiver room, which now includes Stefon Diggs.

One of the other names he brought up was receiver John Metchie III. Stroud said he's looking good in workouts, so he could be another mouth to feed in the Houston offense.

And considering how the season finished in Baltimore for the Texans, having too many receivers is a good problem to have. If we only look at the wide receivers and eliminate tight ends and running backs from the conversation, the picture becomes very clear. Collins led the wide receivers with 5 catches for 68 yards. Which receiver came in second, you ask? Robert Woods with 1 catch for 6 yards.

Bring on the receivers!

Don't miss the video above for the full discussion about Diggs, the Texans' new-look offense, and how they are being perceived by the media.

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