What’s really behind CJ Stroud’s struggles and growing frustrations over Texans gaslighting
REALITY CHECK
28 November 2024
REALITY CHECK
Coming off a frustrating loss to the Titans, the Texans head to Jacksonville looking to get back on track against the Jaguars.
With both CJ Stroud and DeMeco Ryans under the heaviest scrutiny of their tenure, a victory heading into the off-week after Sunday's game feels more critical than ever.
Stroud is taking heat for his uptick in interceptions, and Ryans is being called out for his refusal to admit that the offense is the main reason the team is losing games.
It's pretty amazing to see Ryans double down on the offense not being the problem when we know how pathetic they have been in the second half of games.
Here are some stats from PFF to put the issues with the offense in perspective:
In Houston's last 6 games, they have 1 second half TD, over 30 drives. Which was Joe Mixon's 1-yard TD in garbage time vs. Dallas.
They had 7 drives of 5 plays or fewer vs. the Titans.
The Texans have 56 punts on the season, 3rd-most in the NFL.
Only 3 times this season in the entire NFL has a team been unable to gain a single first down on the ground. Two of them are the Texans. Verses theTitans and Vikings.
Historic performances
There is clearly an issue. The Texans continue to lose games in historic fashion. Whether it's a game in which they sack Will Levis a whopping 7 times in the first half, or they find a way to lose to the Lions after intercepting Jared Goff 5 times. The Texans are making history, and not in a good way. If DeMeco and the team can't admit there's a problem with Bobby Slowik and his offense, how are they going to fix it?
Stroud's regression
It's apparent to anyone watching the Texans that Stroud isn't playing as well as he did last year, but it's not all on him. And anyone calling him "CJ Fraud" needs to have their eyes checked.
The pass protection and scheme have been atrocious in 2024, and as you can see from the stats, the running game has been bad too.
Joe Mixon has under 2-yards per carry in two of the team's last three games. The Texans o-line is also one of the worst run blocking units in the NFL, per PFF.
In the video below, we discuss some of the most impactful plays from the Texans' loss to the Titans. Stroud's interception where he underthrew Nico Collins, and the 3rd and 9 play with about 2 minutes left in the game before Ka’imi Fairbairn missed a short field goal.
Conclusion. The Texans scheme and the play of the o-line are much more at fault than Stroud.
On the interception, the Texans had 7 pass protectors to deal with 4 rushers, and Stroud was still hurried.
What happened? Here's the short answer.
Right tackle Tytus Howard gets beat and the defender falls at CJ's feet, making him step up. Juice Scruggs and Jarrett Patterson lose a double team to the DT, which allows pressure right up the middle.
Right guard Shaq Mason runs all the way to the left edge to pick up the outside pass rusher. He barely got there in time and left a massive hole up the middle in the process. Mason also had help from a TE and RB. No doubt, CJ should have made a better throw, but he shouldn't have been under this much pressure to begin with.
On the 3rd and 9 play, Stroud had a free rusher in his face immediately and was lucky to throw the ball away. We get into more detail in the video about what caused the pressure and who deserves the blame for the play. Let's just say this was easily avoidable.
Finally, we share our game preview for this week's matchup against the Jaguars. If there was ever a week for the Texans passing game to take a step forward, this is it.
The Jags defense allows 28.7 PPG, which is 30th in the league. Their pass defense is dead last in the league, and they're 31st in completion percentage.
What does Vegas think?
The Texans are favored by four points, and the total is set at 43.5.
Don't miss the video above for the full discussion, our predictions for Texans-Jags, and much more!
Most Astros fans have come to terms with how the team is taking shape for the 2025 season. We've heard reports that the club is looking to avoid the competitive balance tax this year, which means Christian Walker is the only big piece joining Houston through free agency.
But according to a recent report from MLB insider Hector Gomez, the 'Stros may have another big move in the works.
#Astros are the biggest threats for the #BlueJays in Anthony Santander sweepstakes while #Angels have offered similar offer than the Jays. https://t.co/OnX2XBZG9h
— Héctor Gómez (@hgomez27) January 3, 2025
Certainly, signing Anthony Santander would force the Astros to pay the competitive balance tax once again. Something we didn't believe they would entertain. But we all thought the same thing last year until the club shocked the world by signing Josh Hader to a 5-year, $95 million contract.
The fit makes a lot of sense, considering how bad the outfield projects to be this season. And the reported contract offer, is basically the same deal Houston signed Walker to, but with one additional year at about $20 million. So who knows, maybe the Astros have one big move left in them.
Scott Boras strikes again?
The Athletic's Chandler Rome shared some insight on how contract negotiations could play out with Hunter Brown, who's represented by Boras.
Rome made the case that Houston may have already missed the window to strike a deal with Brown, similar to the contract Cristian Javier signed with the club before the 2023 season.
Rome made an interesting point when he said players don't typically hire an agent like Boras just to negotiate a deal that buys up arbitration years.
Which is pretty wild to think about considering Brown only has one good season under his belt. Javier was a more proven player when he inked his extension, and that deal hasn't aged well, with Javier regressing in 2024 before having season-ending Tommy John surgery.
If Rome is correct and Brown is looking to hit the open market, it's not the end of the world. He's under team control for the next four years. However, one thing is for certain, the Astros will be counting on Brown and Javier to anchor this rotation moving forward after Framber Valdez likely leaves after the 2025 season.
If Dana Brown can't strike a deal with Brown, perhaps Yainer Diaz could be an option. He's on the same timeline as Brown when it comes to reaching free agency. Hopefully, he doesn't hire Boras anytime soon.
Finally, why are we still hearing rumblings about Alex Bregman being connected to the Astros? NorthJersey.com's Pete Caldera is predicting Bregman will sign a $175 million deal with the 'Stros.
And what's with this recent post from former Astros front office member Reggie Jackson?
Good Luck Astros with signing Alex Bregman. He’s a very important piece. He’s an Astro thru and thru. He’s a baseball player all the way.
— Reggie Jackson (@mroctober) January 4, 2025
It's technically possible the Astros could bring back Bregman and trade Isaac Paredes, but we're not counting on it.
Plus, we've heard reports about the Astros looking to dump Ryan Pressly's salary. But would the club be better off waiting until the trade deadline to do so?
Don't miss the video above as we break it all down!