THE PALLILOG

How exciting Texans solutions are coming into focus as needs, options narrow ahead of draft

How exciting Texans solutions are coming into focus as needs, options narrow ahead of draft
This is shaping up to be one of the most exciting off-seasons in Texans history. Composite Getty Image.

For Astros fans, ongoing concerns include the future uniforms to be worn by Alex Bregman if he hits free agency at the end of the approaching season and Kyle Tucker if he hits the market after the 2025 season. For Texans fans, the additions and subtractions of free agency are much nearer at hand. This coming Wednesday at 3:00 p.m. Central Daylight Time (Yay! Clocks go forward an hour this Sunday!) the free agent spending spree officially begins, though many deals will be agreed upon a couple of days earlier.

The biggest decision the Texans had to make for this free agency cycle was what to do about Jonathan Greenard. With no contract extension, to use or not use the franchise tag on him was the question. No tag was the answer. Given his injury history and up and down career production the Texans didn’t see Greenard worth the more than 21 million dollars he’d have counted on the books. He counted under a million and a half last season. The soon-to-be 27-year-old Greenard timed his breakout 12 and a half sack season perfectly, but how much of that was attributable to attention drawn on the other side by NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Will Anderson? Conversely however, if Greenard is not retained or a suitable replacement landed, how much tougher does life get for Anderson?

The Texans made a quantum leap forward last year, another leap is within reach, but far from a sure thing. Speaking of quantum leaps, the ever-richer National Football League boosted the team salary cap by more than 30 million dollars for the 2024 season to $255,400,000 per team. The Texans start free agency among the top six teams in cap space. The other five (Patriots, Titans, Commanders, Cardinals, Bears) finished last in their divisions.

Several of the dreamiest Texans’ free agent possibilities are already off the table. Galveston native/former Texas Aggie star Tampa Bay wide receiver Mike Evans took a two year 52 million dollar extension with the Bucs. Franchise tags were used on Ravens’ defensive tackle (and also former Aggie) Justin Madebuike, Bengals’ wideout Tee Higgins, Jaguars’ edge rusher Josh Allen, Panthers’ edge rusher Brian Burns, Chiefs’ cornerback L’Jarius Sneed, Bears’ cornerback Jaylon Johnson, and Bucs’ safety Antoine Winfield Jr. All are kept off the open market. So who are a few guys available who would address Texans’ needs?

Offensively, the buzzy name is running back Saquon Barkley. The three years older Derrick Henry is in play too. Devin Singletary had a fine season overall but money aside, no one should prefer him over Barkley or Henry.

Guard is the sorest upgrade need offensively, unless Kenyon Green is to prove himself something other than a bust. Tytus Howard was not very good at guard and has declared himself a RIGHT TACKLE ONLY. The Rams’ Kevin Dotson may be the top guard on the board. The Dolphins’ Robert Hunt is in range. The Texans have notable ground to make up on the Ravens. Both Baltimore starting guards are free agents, either veteran Kevin Zeitler or run game masher John Simpson would be a Texans’ improvement and Ravens' decline.

Defensively, if the Texans do not re-up Sheldon Rankins they have a glaring need for a tackle to line up next to Maliek Collins who has one year left on his deal. It’s hard to envision them ponying up the gobs of cash it would take to lure Chris Jones from the back-to-back Super Bowl champion Chiefs. The Dolphins have salary cap issues and a massive extension looming for quarterback Tua Tagavailoa, so they did not put the tag on Christian Wilkins. Miami is an attractive situation and the door is not closed on Wilkins staying there, but if the Texans (or any other teams) bid aggressively, he could be had.

Cornerback Steven Nelson led the Texans in defensive snaps played and had a very solid season. He is 31 years old but showed no slippage. If not keeping Nelson the Texans need a starting level CB to pair with the studly but thus far not exactly durable Derek Stingley Jr. (eight games missed as a rookie, six more in his second season). Corner Kendall Fuller seems a good Nelson comp and is two years younger. He’s been with Washington the last four seasons. Stephon Gilmore turns 34 early next season but played very well for the Cowboys. Ex-Cowboy Chidobe Awuzie graded out well with the Bengals.

Safety Jalen Pitre had a disappointing second season, while free agent signee Jimmie Ward was hurt too much, missing seven regular season games. Kamren Curl is just 25 years old after four seasons with Washington. He’d be an unglamourous but strong addition. The Giants’ Xavier McKinney might be a pricier alternative.

The Texans won’t fill all their gaps in free agency, but remember they have the NFL Draft to come as well. They are on a clock of sorts, with a three-year window remaining of having C.J. Stroud under contract dirt cheap by the standards of upper echelon QBs. Stroud’s cap figure for 2024 is 8.25 million, 25th among NFL QBs. In 2025 and 2026 the cap numbers are just 9.89 million and 11.54 million. Come 2027 if playing under the fifth year option the Texans have on him, Stroud’s cap number projects to jump to the 40 million range. Closer to 50 million if he makes the Pro Bowl either of the next two seasons as a non-injury or Super Bowl participant replacement.

Our second season of the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast is off and running. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics weekly. On our regular schedule the first post goes up Monday afternoon. You can get the video version (first part released Monday, second part Tuesday, sometimes a third part Wednesday) via YouTube: stone cold stros - YouTube with the complete audio available at initial release Monday via Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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The Astros beat the Phillies, 2-1. Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images.

Cam Smith hit an RBI single in the eighth inning to give the Houston Astros a 2-1 win over the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday.

The rookie's second hit of the game came off Orion Kerkering (5-3) and gave the Astros their fourth straight win.

Brandon Marsh tied the game on a sacrifice fly in the top of the inning to end the Phillies' 26-inning scoreless streak.

The Astros took a 1-0 lead on Yainer Diaz’s RBI single in the second inning. They only managed three more hits off Phillies starter Christopher Sanchez, who struck out 11 with zero walks over six innings. Sanchez has not issued a walk in three straight starts.

Hunter Brown lowered his league best ERA to 1.74 by scattering three singles over seven shutout innings, with nine strikeouts. He did not allow a runner to reach second base.

Bryan Abreu (3-3) struck out Trea Turner to end the eighth, and then struck out Kyle Schwarber, Alec Bohm, and Nick Castellanos in the ninth.

Abreu joined Julia Morales after the game and talked about his impressive performance!

Rafael Marchán had two of the Phillies' four hits. Bryson Stott reached base twice and scored the Phillies' lone run.

Key moment

Smith’s RBI.

Key stat

Brown’s 1.74 ERA is the fourth best in Astros history through 16 starts and the best since Justin Verlander posted a 1.60 ERA through 16 starts in 2018.

Up next

The Astros open a three-game series against the Cubs on Friday with LHP Brandon Walter (0-1 3.80 ERA) on the mound.

The Phillies open a three-game series at the Braves on Friday with RHP Mick Abel (2-1 3.47 ERA) against Atlanta RHP Bryce Elder (2-4 4.77).

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