How latest comments from Texans GM reveal roadmap for immediate priorities
TEXANS ON TAP
25 January 2024
TEXANS ON TAP
With the Houston Texans 2023 season officially in the books, it's time to look ahead at what the roster will look like in 2024.
Texans GM Nick Caserio spoke recently about the priorities for the offseason. He noted that teams that are able to run the ball, and stop the run in January, are typically the ones that go deep in the playoffs.
Which makes sense, considering the Texans had no answers for Lamar Jackson and the Ravens running game. On the other side of the ball, the Texans struggled to get their rushing attack going all year. Texans OC Bobby Slowik was the passing game coordinator for the 49ers before joining the Texans. It's no surprise that he would have more success airing it out with superstar rookie QB CJ Stroud.
So how can the Texans get better in these areas? On offense, it starts with upgrading the run and pass blocking. With Laremy Tunsil, Shaq Mason, and Tytus Howard locked in for 2024 based on their contracts, center and left guard is where there's some uncertainty.
Juice Scruggs seems like the logical option at center, so left guard could be the position they look to upgrade through free agency or the draft. Ideally, left guard Kenyon Green will live up to being a first round pick this year and help improve the running game. But it's hard to count on him after the last two disappointing seasons.
They could also look for a dynamic running back that could take the rushing attack to the next level, either way, with only Dameon Pierce under contract, expect the Texans to add some competition in free agency or the draft. We also expect them to re-sign TE Dalton Schultz, which will likely cost around $10 million per season.
Outlook on defense
They were much-improved against the run in 2023. But there's room for growth, as we saw late in the season. The Colts and Ravens had success running against the Texans, so there's work to be done. If the Texans want to be true championship contenders going forward, they'll have to have an answer for the Ravens rushing attack. Even if you take Lamar Jackson's 100 rushing yards out of the equation, DeMeco's defense still surrendered 129 yards on the ground to Baltimore's running backs.
Two spots on the defensive line are up in the air for next season, with Sheldon Rankins and Jonathan Greenard both being free agents. And while re-signing Greenard seems like a no-brainer based on his 12.5 sack season, he's going to cost a lot. The Texans $70 million in cap space won't last long after signing Greenard to a 5-year, $75 million contract.
My only concern with Greenard is the injuries. He's great against the run and a very good pass rusher, but he'll play this upcoming season at 27 years old and has never played a full allotment of games due to injury. Plus, the Texans have a lot of players on 1-year contracts that are looking to get paid this offseason. They simply can't pay everybody.
Not to mention, kicker Ka'imi Faribairn and punter Cam Johnston are both free agents.
Blake Cashman is another player the Texans should consider bringing back. He shouldn't cost a ton of money, and he played well at linebacker for Houston this year. Corner Steven Nelson is also a free agent, and safety Jimmy Ward could be a cap casualty based on how often he was injured this year, and his age.
One thing is for sure, Nick Caserio and DeMeco Ryans will have some difficult decisions to make. Let's hope Caserio has another year of adding quality players in the draft and free agency. And it might be a little easier this season in free agency, with players excited to join a playoff team with a top tier young QB.
Through the first month of the season, the Houston Astros' offensive struggles are becoming impossible to ignore — especially when compared to division rivals like the Seattle Mariners.
Isaac Paredes currently leads the Astros with a .392 slugging percentage, which ranks just 88th overall in Major League Baseball. Jeremy Peña isn't far behind, sitting 93rd at .388. For context, not one Astro has cracked the .400 slugging mark, while the Mariners boast four players who have — though a few haven’t officially qualified for leaderboards.
Power outage
The power disparity is stark. The Mariners have already blasted 42 home runs this season — double the Astros’ total of just 21. Houston, in fact, ranks 27th in home runs, 26th in OPS, and 26th in slugging across all of Major League Baseball, dead last among AL West teams. Paredes is the only Astro with at least four home runs, while the Mariners have six such players.
The lineup issues are even deeper. Christian Walker and Yainer Diaz — both expected to provide significant offensive contributions — are batting under .200, placing them among the 22 worst averages in the league. Jose Altuve, typically a steady force, is also underperforming by his standards. His .310 on-base percentage is his lowest since the shortened COVID season, and he has only managed five extra-base hits thus far.
Should Joe Espada consider playing Altuve at second base more often?
With second base production sagging — Mauricio Dubón and Brendan Rodgers have failed to provide much punch — the Astros could face a difficult decision: increase Altuve’s time at second to open up opportunities for bats like Chas McCormick or Zach Dezenzo. While the organization has preferred to manage Altuve’s workload at second base carefully, their hand may be forced if the offense continues to sputter. At this point, another month of this and all bets are off.
On the pitching side, there’s some potential good news. Lance McCullers Jr. is nearing a return after an impressive rehab start and could rejoin the team during their series in Chicago. Meanwhile, Forrest Whitley has suffered another setback with a knee injury. A major question for Houston is which of the two — McCullers or Whitley — will be able to make a real impact this season. Given Whitley's struggles to stay healthy, McCullers appears the safer bet.
Don't forget the Astros' biggest goal for this season
Behind the scenes, the Astros’ front office remains focused on a bigger-picture goal: getting under the luxury tax threshold. With several large contracts set to come off the books after the season, Houston appears committed to resetting financially — even if that means enduring some growing pains in the short term.
For now, though, the Astros find themselves in unfamiliar territory: chasing the division both in the standings and at the plate.
We have so much more to discuss. Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!
The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday!
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