Will Small Ball be the New Wildcat offense?
Overcoming obstacles: The new era of Rockets small ball
Feb 12, 2020, 2:24 pm
Will Small Ball be the New Wildcat offense?
What is the definition of insanity? According to Albert Einstein insanity is "Doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results." Being a Rockets fan is exactly that. During the trade deadline, Houston traded away their starting Center Clint Capela out East to the Atlanta Hawks. Subsequently the founder of "Small Ball," Mike D'Antoni could go back to his old ways of playing with five perimeter players at once to spread the floor and opening up the opportunity to shoot more threes. Although this style of play is fun to watch and caters to his personnel, this will not bring sustainable success. Since the small ball experiment has begun, the Rockets are 2-2 and have had impressive wins over the Los Angeles Lakers and Boston Celtics. However, how long will this last?
Let's start with the facts there are a bunch of good teams in the Western Conference, but for the Rockets standpoint, it's really a three-team race. The Nuggets have a good team, but will not likely outscore or be able to defend Houston, unless the Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray P&R is too much to handle. Then there is Utah who I believe is a little better suited to match up with Rockets, but will eventually fall in six to seven games. Finally, there are the LA teams. With this small ball lineup to work its best the floor has to spaced properly and you have to make a high percentage of your threes. However, the two LA teams have something most teams don't, and that is mobile big and versatile defenders.
The Lakers have the best power forward in the league who is a legit DPOY candidate every year in Anthony Davis. Davis also can give you 25 point double-double night in and night out. The Brow is agile enough to move around defensively and contest three-point shots while being disciplined and athletic enough to hold is own against perimeter players. Keep in mind the Lakers have versatile defenders that can get in a stance and guard. If Davis learns to be more patient in the post when he catches it and find the open shooters or seals off defenders under the basket instead of taking contested fadeaways. The Lakers could beat the Rockets in six games.
As for the Clippers, they are all about defensive versatility and have interchangeable wings that are 6'7 and taller. I know the Rockets are 2-1 against the Clippers this season, but the addition of Marcus Morris makes them a lot more dangerous on both ends of the floor and is the piece they need to win a title this summer. With so many switchable defensive players they can switch everything and not worry too much about getting beat off the dribble. Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are the best two defensive wings in the NBA and playing small ball against them could be an issue. The Clippers, in my opinion, are the last team Houston wants to face in the playoffs.
Going forward, the Rockets will win around 55 games a year, but this new lineup will not bring long playoff success. They will be lucky to make it to the WCF consistently. This style of play reminds of the Miami Dolphins in 2008 when they brought in the wildcat offense. For about a year this offense seemed impossible to stop, the Dolphins even won the AFC East division. Soon after teams began to figure it out and catch on sending the Dolphins back to drawing board once again. Yes, they are making more threes but it won't matter when the opposing teams are getting 20 more shot attempts due to Houston's inability offensive rebound. This lineup change will wear them down eventually, it is hard to bang down low when your body isn't used to it. Both LA teams are ranked in the top 10 in NBA Team Opponent three-point percentage, Defensive Efficiency, and NBA Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage. Since 2012 when James Harden has become a Rocket he hasn't had much playoff success and there is always some excuse. He hasn't played with several future Hall of Famers, a coach that created a system around him and an organization that has backed him when he comes up short. It's time to put up or shut. Get the job done or continue to be on the list of seven NBA MVPs to never win a championship.
Imagine if he takes this shot on the block? How much easier would this shot be. Good move but he’s making Tuckers j… https://t.co/op3rP1QeNw— Tobias Bass (@Tobias Bass) 1581118450.0
Same issue here, why fade-away? Kick it out to LeBron for a step-in 3pt shot. No reason the Rockets should of beate… https://t.co/9w3JoRbNZH— Tobias Bass (@Tobias Bass) 1581117413.0
AD needs to get deeper in the post. Why Shoot a contested hook-shot over a 6’3 Eric Gordon? He could also be more p… https://t.co/DdiwzT9HiS— Tobias Bass (@Tobias Bass) 1581117219.0
As we begin another week of MLB free agency, we still haven't seen any movement when it comes to Alex Bregman. Several reports are indicating that the market for Bregman is being impacted by Orioles outfielder Anthony Santander.
The thought being, Santander is expected to command less than Bregman, and teams are waiting to see how his market shakes out before making an offer to Breggy.
Which is interesting, because we're seeing reports about Santander softening his stance on demanding a four or five year deal. It appears he's willing to consider a shorter contract with a high yearly salary.
If that is indeed the case, should the Astros consider moving some salary if they can come to an agreement on a short-term deal with Santander?
In theory, trading Pressly's $14 million contract along with Victor Caratini's $6 million dollar deal could allow them to pay Santander $20 million. Of course finding a club to take on all of Pressly's money may not be realistic, but if they could pull it off, should they do it?
This move would weaken the bullpen and the depth at catcher, but the team still has Caesar Salazar to back up Yainer Diaz. And both Pressly and Caratini aren't likely to be back with the Astros anyway after their contracts expire after the 2025 season.
Should we be worried about the Rangers?
MLB Network's Robert Flores (huge Astros fan) joined the Locked on Astros YouTube channel last week and said he likes the Rangers chances to win the AL West this year, despite Vegas giving Houston better odds to win the World Series. Does he have a point?
Farewell to Justin Verlander
Verlander signed a one-year deal with the Giants last week, so it appears he's played his last game in an Astros uniform. But should we close the door on him being traded to Houston again if the 'Stros need another starter and the Giants are looking to move him at the deadline?
Plus, we share some of our favorite Verlander moments from the team's dynastic run!
Be sure to watch the video above as the guys from Stone Cold 'Stros break it all down! And be sure to share your favorite Verlander memories in the comment section on YouTube.