The Big 12 Report Championship week

The Red River Rematch: 3 things to watch in Texas-Oklahoma 2

The Red River Rematch: 3 things to watch in Texas-Oklahoma 2
Sam Ehlinger will be a big key for the Longhorns. Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images

This year’s Big 12 Championship game should be one for the ages as Oklahoma and Texas face off in a heated rematch for the conference title. On Dec. 1 the Sooners and the Longhorns will clash in Jerry’s World (AT&T Stadium) with not only the Big 12 title on the line but also a chance at the college football playoffs for OU. Oklahoma currently sits just one spot outside the final four and a big win over a talented Texas team will go a long way in making their case to the playoff selection committee.

The last time OU and UT went head to head in week 6 the Longhorns topped the Sooners 48-45. Just as Oklahoma, lead by star quarterback and Heisman hopeful Kyler Murray thought they made a historic comeback by scoring 21 points in the fourth quarter, Texas broke Sooner fans hearts with a last second 44-yard field goal. While Texas took bragging rights for a year, OU got the last laugh after Texas would go on to lose three games and fall outside of national championship contention. Oklahoma on the other hand kept from losing another game all season and holds one of the best records in the nation at 11-1. Now the two will face off again for what is looking to be an epic battle.

3 things to watch for

The elite quarterback showdown: While Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray has captured the attention of the nation all season with jaw dropping displays of athleticism and big play ability, Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger should not be overlooked. Ehlinger has not only been one of the most prolific passers this year but also has been one of the most efficient. The young star has racked up 24 touchdowns while only throwing four interceptions. Another big element of Ehlinger's game that separates him as one of the best young quarterbacks in college football is his physical but elusive running ability. Ehlinger has toted the rock 128 times for 376 yards and an impressive 11 touchdowns. The Longhorns dynamic leader causes fits for opposing defenses and will look to do so for a second time this season vs. Oklahoma. While there is no doubt that Ehlinger is an elite talent, he will be hard pressed to steal the show from Oklahoma’s Kyler Murray. In his first year as a starting quarterback on the collegiate level Murray is ranked 7th in the nation with 3,674 passing yards with 37 touchdowns and like Ehlinger is a dangerous threat with his legs as well. Murray has racked up 853 yards rushing and 11 touchdowns in 2018. No matter which way you look at it, these two young stars will be the highlight of the Big 12 championship and are sure to go blow for blow on Saturday.

Which playmakers will outshine the others? While the quarterbacks in this matchup are true next level talents, a large part of their success is directly related to the playmakers they have at the wide receiver position. Both the Longhorns and the Sooners have wide receiver duos that are among the best and most dangerous in all of college football. What is interesting is the fact that they do it with completely different styles. Texas has two towering wide receivers in 6’6 Collin Johnson and 6’4 Lil’ Jordan Humphrey, who play with a physicality that utilizes their size advantage to dominate opposing defensive backs. Oklahoma on the other hand relies on two speedsters at the wide receiver position, CeeDee Lamb and Marquise Brown, who constantly take the top off of defenses and live for the deep ball. Brown and Lamb are amongst the tops in the country in yards per reception, both averaging more than 17 per.

Not only has the duo combined for over 2,000 yards this season but they have also been responsible for 19 total touchdowns. Though Johnson’s and Humphrey’s numbers may not be as jaw dropping, the Texas duo still deserves their respect as they have combined for nearly 1,800 yards and 14 touchdowns, in an offense that is not nearly as fast paced or pass oriented as the Sooners. Putting all the numbers and accomplishments aside, these dangerous playmakers will have plenty of chances to impact the game on Saturday and could very likely make the play that ultimately decides which one of their teams come out on top.

Whose defense will show up? The final aspect of this game to keep your eye on is the defensive comparison. While the Longhorns defense arguably has the more difficult assignment ahead of them trying to slow down one of the most prolific and dangerous offenses in college football, Oklahoma’s defense has struggled mightily in 2018 and has already been gashed by Texas once this season.

In their first matchup this season both defenses gave up over 500 yards of total offense. The biggest difference was the fact that the Longhorns defense was able to collect the lone turnover of the game when safety Brandon Jones intercepted Kyler Murray. What this shows is whichever defense is able to win the turnover battle, will most likely give their team a greater chance of winning the game as well. Don’t be surprised if defensive playmaking turns out to be the deciding factor or difference maker in this heated rematch, despite all the focus on each team’s offensive capabilities.

 

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Should Brice Matthews be untradable now? Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images.

The phrase most associated with the late former Oakland-Los Angeles-Oakland Raiders’ owner Al Davis was “Just win baby.” One has to think Al would strongly approve of the Houston Astros. Going to the fifth inning Sunday against the Mariners the Astros were facing a 3-0 deficit and staring at the prospect of being swept out of Seattle and having their American League West division lead slashed to just two games. Now after roaring from behind with 11 unanswered runs to take the series finale in the Emerald City, and then sweeping three games from the Diamondbacks in Phoenix, the Astros stand six games up with 60 games to go. So, if the Astros play just .500 ball the rest of the way (which would have them finish with 90 victories), the Mariners have to play .600 ball to catch them. If somehow the Astros are to maintain their season long win pace to the finish line they’d close with 95 wins, and the race is already over unless someone thinks the M’s are poised to uncork a finishing kick of 41-19 or better. It’s quite a pleasing perch from which the Astros survey the standings. Coupled with the freefalling Detroit Tigers having dropped nine of their last ten games, the Astros amazingly start this homestand sporting the best record in the entire American League. On the homestand they follow four games against the team with the second-worst record in the American League (Athletics) with three versus the team with the second-worst record in the National League (Nationals). I know, I know. There is fear of the Astros playing down to the competition, but that is not the way to look at it. A bad Major League team can beat a good team in a series at any time. If it happens it happens, but it wouldn’t mean it happened only because the Astros didn’t take their opponent seriously. This isn’t the NBA.

Trade deadline looming

Of course, It hasn’t been all good news with Isaac Paredes badly injuring a hamstring Sunday. Paredes could be back in three weeks (doubtful), he could miss the rest of the season. GET WELL SOON JEREMY PENA! Lance McCullers’s latest Injured List stint could be considered addition by subtraction for the Astros’ starting rotation. Whether impacted by his blister issue, Lance was lousy in four of his last five starts. So, one week from the trade deadline, if general manager Dana Brown has the ammo to get one deal done, where does he make the upgrade? The left-handed hitter everyone knows the Astros can use regardless of Yordan Alvarez’s status is a natural priority. With the Astros’ weak farm system it would seem difficult for Brown to put forth the winning offer for the top bats that could be in play. That probably rings even truer now, since if he wasn’t already untouchable, Brice Matthews may have cemented untouchable status by darn near winning the first two games of the Diamondbacks series by himself. Matthews is going to struggle mightily to hit for a good average if he can’t make notable improvement in the contact department, but the power is obvious, as is the athleticism in the field. The 23-year-old Matthews and 22-year-old Cam Smith (though presently mired in a three for 36 slump) are the clear (and right now only) two young shining beacons for the lineup’s future.

You can't have enough pitching

While Brandon Walter has been a revelation, a starting pitcher would make sense unless the decision is to hope Spencer Arrighetti and/or Cristian Javier can contribute meaningfully upon return to the big leagues, likely sometime next month. Going after a reliever or two may make more sense in terms of availability and transaction cost. Overall the Astros’ bullpen has been excellent, but Bryan Abreu is the only trustworthy right-handed option for Joe Espada. Back to Walter. Barely two months ago no way Walter himself would have believed he’d be where he is now. Nine starts since being summoned basically out of desperation, Walter has a 3.35 earned run average, and a stunning 13 to one strikeout-to-walk ratio with his 52 strikeouts against a measly four walks allowed in 53 2/3 innings. Walter has pitched fabulously in seven of his nine starts. He only has two wins, but that’s because in five of the six Walter starts the Astros didn’t win the game they failed to score more than two runs. Walter turns 29 years old in September. His only prior big league experience was 23 innings in relief with a 6.26 ERA for the Red Sox two years ago. The Bosox released him last August, the Astros signed him basically as minor league depth. Look at him (and the Astros) now.

For Astro-centric conversation, join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday. Click here to catch! 

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