WATSON'S FINANCIAL HIT

The state of Texans franchise spurs dark humor and harsh economic lessons

Prices for Watson memorabilia should tumble. Composite image by Jack Brame.

That's one thing about Houston sports fans, there's no shortage of comedians around here. So when a photo of Deshaun Watson jerseys on sale for "50 percent off" (for real) at local sporting goods stores was posted on Twitter, it was like open mic night at Chuckles Comedy Club.

"That's half the cost of a massage session. Too soon?"

"Bill O'Brien is about to walk in and offer two first-round picks for a double XL."

And darkest ... "Uh, from what I've read, Deshaun Watson prefers his clothing 100-percent off."

Hey, it's a rough room. It didn't help that the same photo of Watson's jerseys for half-price showed Will Fuller's jerseys still going for full boat … and Fuller isn't even with the Texans anymore. The wide receiver signed with the Miami Dolphins several months ago as a free agent. Eddie George's Houston Oilers jersey from 25 years ago still sells for full price. Same for DeAndre Hopkins' and J.J. Watt's jerseys. Both now play for the Arizona Cardinals.

But seriously folks, Watson's problems go way deeper than his jerseys being put on the discount rack. The Texans quarterback is facing 22 civil lawsuits by masseuses claiming sexual misconduct, two of them accusing Watson of sexual assault, plus a separate investigation by the National Football League and the Houston Police Department. A report on ESPN says there's a strong possibility that Watson will be suspended for the entire 2021 NFL season for violating the league's personal conduct policy, and his days playing for the Texans likely are over.

Before Watson's legal problems mounted, his replica jerseys sold for about $100, children's sizes for $70. Now they're going for $50 and $27. Prices for Watson memorabilia, currently as high as $800 for autographed footballs and helmets, should tumble as his legal drama unfolds and a suspension and trade from the Texans appear imminent.

NFL insiders interpret the Texans' drafting of Stanford quarterback Davis Mills with their first pick (No. 67 in the third round) in last week's draft as the clinching sign that the Texans are resigned to move on from the Deshaun Watson era. The Texans quarterback crew now consists of journeyman Tyrod Taylor (47 starts over his 10-year career), Ryan Finley (four NFL starts} and rookie Mills (11 college starts).

Watson's financial hit, though not nearly as serious or troubling as his legal problems, is significant. Forbes estimated Watson's income from endorsements at $8 million last year. Some of his more lucrative endorsement deals already have been terminated or allowed to expire, like Nike, Reliant Energy, Beats by Dre and H-E-B supermarket.

His image, whether he is innocent or guilty, has received a blow that will be difficult to recover from. Unfair or not, Watson is no longer the untarnished local hero he was in 2020 when he signed a contract for $156 million that would keep him in Houston for many years. Now he wants out, he's demanded a trade, and many fans (and former fans) agree it'd be best for everybody if he left town.

Bobby Mintz, senior vice-president of talent relations for Houston-based TRISTAR Productions, one of the biggest sports memorabilia companies in the world, declined to comment specifically on Deshaun Watson's situation, but did explain what usually happens when a player is traded to another city or is suspended or becomes notorious for off-field actions. It isn't surprising that Watson's jerseys have lost half their retail value and trending downward.

"The market a player is traded from typically loses interest in him and thus resellers discount the items to move them," he said. In the case of a suspension, Mintz said, "Items typically don't sell at all until time passes and the player begins to play again. And when they do play, they need to play well."

There is the possibility that Watson memorabilia could regain value. The best hope for Watson collectors is for the quarterback to get back on the field, rehab his image and ultimately be elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

"If the player goes into the Hall of Fame, his products get hotter and hotter. If he doesn't make the Hall of Fame, prices usually remain steady but you don't sell as much as they are not in the public eye anymore."

What if the player achieves notoriety or becomes an outlaw, as Pete Rose has done?

"Pete Rose being banned from baseball doesn't seem to have affected his value. He has been banned for so long, he continues to sell at a steady rate as people still look at him as the all-time hit king."

There is the possibility that Rose's merch has held its value because he was tossed out of baseball because of gambling, a crime that many people don't consider as very criminal, certainly not as serious and unacceptable as the allegations made against Watson.

It's important to remember that Watson has denied all allegations made against him. As they say in newsrooms: this is a developing story.

Most Popular

SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome

Listen Live

Following a brilliant performance by Lance McCullers Jr against the Dodgers in LA, ESPN Houston's Charlie Pallilo joins us to discuss the Houston Astros' starting rotation. We discuss whether it's better to have a deep group of starters or a more top-heavy rotation.

SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome