WeatherMap Update

Houston weather: Heavy rain is possible later this week, but don't let colorful maps scare you right now

weathermodels.com

This is an odd time for a post, I know, but there is the potential for some very heavy rain later this week and I wanted to get word out before you are blasted with bright colors and doomsday scenarios on the local news later this evening.

I am going to keep this relatively brief and will not be adding much in the way of pretty maps right now as I do not think they accomplish much in terms of messaging at this juncture (Yes, there is a map at the top of this post but I had to put something there and the information on it will likely change). Here is the story:

Over the weekend you may have heard there was a "tropical thing" in the Gulf of Mexico that had a low probability of developing into an organized storm but that was heading in our general direction and would bring us some much needed rain later on this week. This is all still true, however early this morning computer models suddenly began ramping up the rainfall potential, with a few double digit rainfall bulls-eyes that were concerning. This is what raised the level of concern from "much needed rain" to "uh oh that may be too much rain."

The general parameters for a heavy rainfall event from late Tuesday thru Thursday look to be coming together with the aforementioned tropical blob slowly meandering towards and along the upper Texas coast, however I want to pump the brakes on the mild hysteria you may see from the local news. At this point we have less than 24 hours of model support for a concerning heavy rain event. If models remain consistent with this signal through tomorrow, we can begin drilling into particulars. However right now, it is impossible to give you exact when, where and who and how much answers when it comes to heavy rains and flooding concerns.

I will be digesting more information about this storm system this evening and will have an update posted tomorrow morning. Like I said though, I wanted to give a brief overview of the situation before you get whacked over the head with a bunch of red, purple, and white colors on a map.

As always you can find me on twitter @stephenuzick if you have any questions or want more information.

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The Houston Texans approach to the offseason has caused quite a bit of controversy among Texans fans and media. Some really like what the team is doing in free agency, while others are underwhelmed.

But the argument that keeps getting thrown around is whether the Texans are ready to win this season, or if the team will have to suffer through another disappointing season. Most would agree the Texans roster has a number of holes, but how will that roster look after the NFL Draft and hopefully a new franchise QB is taking snaps for the team?

The great thing about the NFL is how fast teams can turn things around and start winning. When we looked at the teams coming off a bad season and drafting around the Texans in 2021, many of them showed a huge improvement the following season.

The Lions were 3-13-1 in 2021, last year? 9-8. The Jaguars went 3-14 in 2021. Last year they won the AFC South and notched a playoff win over the Chargers. Look at the New York Giants, they went 4-13 in 2021. They improved to 9-7-1 and also won a playoff game just one year later. And don't get us started on the Jets. They went 4-13 in 2021, improved to 7-10 with bad QB play, and now Aaron Rodgers wants to play there.

The point being, most of these teams hired new coaches in the last couple of years, added some talent through the draft and free agency and started winning. Why are Texans fans and media so convinced they're in for another season of losing? Why can't the Texans be the team that turns things around and competes for a division title? Especially if they land a franchise QB as expected.

The AFC South isn't a very tough division. In fact, the Texans beat the Jags, Colts, and Titans just this year. Shouldn't we expect them to take a step forward with better players and DeMeco Ryans leading the way?

Be sure to check out the video above as we break it all down!

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