WeatherMap Update

Houston weather: Heavy rain is possible later this week, but don't let colorful maps scare you right now

weathermodels.com

This is an odd time for a post, I know, but there is the potential for some very heavy rain later this week and I wanted to get word out before you are blasted with bright colors and doomsday scenarios on the local news later this evening.

I am going to keep this relatively brief and will not be adding much in the way of pretty maps right now as I do not think they accomplish much in terms of messaging at this juncture (Yes, there is a map at the top of this post but I had to put something there and the information on it will likely change). Here is the story:

Over the weekend you may have heard there was a "tropical thing" in the Gulf of Mexico that had a low probability of developing into an organized storm but that was heading in our general direction and would bring us some much needed rain later on this week. This is all still true, however early this morning computer models suddenly began ramping up the rainfall potential, with a few double digit rainfall bulls-eyes that were concerning. This is what raised the level of concern from "much needed rain" to "uh oh that may be too much rain."

The general parameters for a heavy rainfall event from late Tuesday thru Thursday look to be coming together with the aforementioned tropical blob slowly meandering towards and along the upper Texas coast, however I want to pump the brakes on the mild hysteria you may see from the local news. At this point we have less than 24 hours of model support for a concerning heavy rain event. If models remain consistent with this signal through tomorrow, we can begin drilling into particulars. However right now, it is impossible to give you exact when, where and who and how much answers when it comes to heavy rains and flooding concerns.

I will be digesting more information about this storm system this evening and will have an update posted tomorrow morning. Like I said though, I wanted to give a brief overview of the situation before you get whacked over the head with a bunch of red, purple, and white colors on a map.

As always you can find me on twitter @stephenuzick if you have any questions or want more information.

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Jovan Abernathy is an international marathoner and blogger. Check out her new blog, HTown Run Tourist. Follow her on Twitter @jovanabernathy. Instagram @HTownRunTourist. Facebook @jovanabernathy. Join her facebook group: H-Town Run Tourist

Six years ago, I got this great idea to become a tourist of Houston on foot. I had no idea what I was doing or where it was going. All I knew was to put on my running shoes, walk out the door, and just go. Go learn, go talk, go ask without judgements. What I found is that Houston was full of diversity. We all knew that. However, let yourself be immersed in it. Look and listen to the sounds of different languages being spoken around you. Smell the scents of the different cuisines. You would think you were in a foreign country. This made me more curious.

As I explored the emotion of curiosity, it led me to change my behavior. Where I might have rushed to this place and to the next, I took it slower. Where, usually, I would have just assumed that I already knew, I found myself asking more questions. When I asked more questions, I had to acknowledge that I did not already know, so I practiced listening. As I listened more, I felt compelled to show more appreciation to the person who interrupted their busy day to educate me. This made me feel grateful.

I took that gratitude and wanted to share with others. It blew my mind when people would say that they hated Houston. It was boring. The people are mean and it was ugly. And even more shocking was Houston is not walkable. Instead of getting offended, I decided to do my part in brightening up the day of the Houstonians who were stuck in a rut. Who saw and did the same things day after day. I didn't judge because I knew they could get out of that rut by simply deciding that today they do something different. I braced myself for rejection, but put myself out there to share the wonderful things that I had learned about Houston. Given the chance, the vast majority, was ready to learn a different way. This made me proud.

It is true that 2020 has been full of disasters. These are opportunities if we choose to see them that way. If anything that COVID-19 taught me the answer was not MORE, but it is LESS. We have the tendency to take on too much, we had the unique opportunity to take on less. Thus, instead of going to exhaustion, we had the opportunity to rest.

Then, the tragedy of the death of Houston's own George Floyd happened. It could not have happened at a worse time. My heart goes out to his family. Some might use it as an opportunity to work out their own frustrations by causing more problems with violence and looting. My hope is that whatever happens will be an expression of appropriate sadness, but with Houston's best attributes; curiosity, gratitude, and pride. Instead of LESS it is time for MORE. MORE curiosity. To see if Houston's law enforcement cares about the well-being of Houston's black community and make changes in protocols. MORE gratitude. For the opportunity to express the frustration in a peaceful way. MORE pride. To not destroy this city and give it over to violence possibly doing more damage to the economics of business owners. We can see this as the opportunity to take time to heal.

Houston has changed. As I restart my exploration, I'm not looking for LESS. I'm looking for MORE this time. I'm looking with MORE curiosity. Because I know that we have even MORE to show each other. I'm looking with MORE gratitude because we have endured so much already and there are better times ahead. And, I'm looking with MORE pride because just as we did it before, we still have it in us to do it again. I have one request: if you see me in the streets, promise me that you will say hello.

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