What wide receiver(s) in next month's draft, could replace DeAndre Hopkins?
2020 NFL Draft: Wide receivers and the Houston Texans
Mar 23, 2020, 6:56 am
What wide receiver(s) in next month's draft, could replace DeAndre Hopkins?
Last week, the Houston Texans traded one of the game's best wide receivers, DeAndre Hopkins, along with a 2020 fourth-round pick to the Arizona Cardinals for running back, David Johnson, a 2020 second-round pick and a 2021 fourth-round pick. Houston went on to sign Randall Cobb to replace some of Hopkins' production, but the team will look towards the draft to find Hopkins' long-term replacement.
I've studied 20 NFL prospects at the wide receiver position with an eye towards the Texans. If you've followed my draft evaluations for the past decade, you'll know that my rankings typically look different from the majority opinion. I block out most outside noise around this time of year and come to my conclusions based solely off of my personal film study. I'll miss some and I'll hit on some.
I also include comparisons to other receivers that have entered the NFL Draft in the past, in hopes to paint a better picture for your mind's eye. These players' comps usually display similar height and weight with similar attributes like burst, speed, physicality, etc. The comparisons are not to be taken as mirror images of the prospects in which they are linked to. These comps will not suggest future projections in stats or the exact location in which they'll be drafted.
I've ranked the prospects from 1-20 based off what I saw on film. I've also included some thoughts on a few players that may fit with the Texans.
1) CeeDee Lamb - Oklahoma (6'2 - 198)
40 Time: 4.50
Vertical: 34.5"
Draft Round: Top 10 Pick
Comp: Larry Fitzgerald
Lamb does everything naturally and effortlessly, while maintaining unusual body control. A natural hands catcher that will pluck everything, even through contact. Slippery and elusive after the catch. Lamb should be out of the Texans reach, even with a possible trade up.
2) Jerry Jeudy - Alabama (6'1 - 193)
40 Time: 4.45
Vertical: 35"
Draft Round: Top 15 Pick
Comp: Stefon Diggs
Jeudy, like Lamb, would have been ideal replacements for DeAndre Hopkins in Houston. He's a premier route-runner that has an amazing understanding of setting up the route. His quickness and explosion makes him unguardable vs man or zone. Again, it's hard to imagine the Texans moving up as high in the first round as it would take, to secure Jeudy or Lamb.
3) Denzel Mims - Baylor (6'3 - 207)
40 Time: 4.38
Vertical: 38.5"
Draft Round: Top 20 Pick
Comp: AJ Green
This is where the draft gets interesting for the Houston Texans, in regards to possibly moving up and selecting a wide receiver. Houston could create a package with their two 2nd round picks and attempt to move up for Mims. He'd be a huge step to replacing DeAndre Hopkins. Not only would they secure him at a rookie wage, much below the cost of Hopkins, at a time when they are looking to save in areas, while paying big to extend Deshaun Watson and Laremy Tunsil. Move up to the first round would give them a fifth-year option on the contract of their new playmaker. Mims is difficult to press due to his almost 34" arms, 4.38 speed that is seen in engulfing stides. Smart in setting up routes with the ability to adjust to any vicinity throw. A devasting blocker as well, that looks to flatten as if he were a tight end.
4) Jalen Reagor - TCU (5'11 - 206)
40 Time: 4.47
Vertical: 42"
Draft Round: 1st Round
Comp: DJ Moore
Reago could bring a his deadly juke step to Houston, which he readily displays in routes or on returns. He's fast and elusive in space. Reagor plays faster than his listed 4.47 speed and displays an ability to get over-the-top or burst through weaknesses in the defense. O'Brien has an affinity for speed at the receiver position. One could speculate that O'Brien may have traded Hopkins with the idea of running a Nascar offense. Houston already stables two 4.3 receivers in Will Fuller & Kenny Stills. While Reagor times in the mid 4.4 range, like Randall Cobb, he plays to a more similar speed of Fuller and Stills.
5) Bryan Edwards - South Carolina (6'3 - 212)
Draft Round: 2nd Round
Comp: Allen Robinson
If Houston decides to stick with the #1 receiver being a prototypical big-body, Edwards would make sense. The added benefit being that Houston may not have to move up from their newly acquired second-round pick to select Edwards. Bill O'Brien coached Allen Robinson at Penn State and may see the similiarities between Robinson and Edwards, specifically in their ability to make a Matrix style move off press coverage.
6) Henry Ruggs III - Alabama (5'11 - 188)
40 Time: 4.27
Vertical: 42"
Draft Round: 2nd Round
When you run a 4.27 and jump vertically 42", you'll get drafted a few spots higher than your film deserves, typically. Ruggs' game is all speed. He'll plant his foot off the line and go. He's a spacing problem. While he'll get caught up in man at times, he's a force versus zone coverage. In the NFL he will be used on jet sweeps and gadget plays, on top of his roles as a wideout. Ruggs will most likely go in the first round and 4.27 could be the type of flirt O'Brien saw at the combine that made him call it quits with Hopkins. If that's the case, then O'Brien would have to load up his two second round picks this year and probably more, to secure another speedster.
7) Michael Pittman Jr - USC (6'4 - 223)
40 Time: 4.52
Vertical: 36.5"
Draft Round: 2nd Round
Comp: Vincent Jackson
Pittman Jr gets back to the idea of the big-body receiver as Watson's go-to-guy. Pittman wouldn't require Houston to move up and would probably be available with their later, second round pick at 57, instead of drafting receiver at 40. Pittman always uncovers on his comeback routes. He'd give Watson a sure-fire chain mover that runs sharp routes, tracks the ball extremely well and highpoints.
8) Tee Higgins - Clemson (6'4 - 216)
40 Time: 4.55
Vertical: 31
Draft Round: 2nd/3rd Round
Higgins spent most of his college career in the spotlight, playing yearly in the college football playoffs. Standing 6'4 and making big catches, in big games from the likes of Trevor Lawrence could leave us with a bias opinion on the prospect, even before studying the tape. I believe Higgins is a good receiver that still has development left, but he's getting pushed up in the draft. He has great concentration and fights through press. His size and ability to track the ball are the only ways he consistently seperates. Against bigger, faster NFL cornerbacks, I feel Higgins will have his work cut out for him.9) Tyler Johnson - Minnesota (6'1 - 206)
Draft Round: 3rd Round
Comp: Jarvis Landry
Johnson has the type of game that isn't ideal for offseason measurements. He's savvy in how he sets up defensive backs, while tracking the ball. He displays great concentration and secures contested catches as if he's in the backyard.
10) Justin Jefferson - LSU (6'1 - 202)
40 Time: 4.43
Vertical: 37.5"
Draft Round: 3rd Round
Jefferson is another receiver that is getting a lot of love. He's a fast slot receiver that can feast against zone coverages. I believe Jefferson benefitted heavily from the offensive scheme and Joe Burrow at LSU.
11) Van Jefferson - Florida (6'1 - 200)
Draft Round: 3rd Round
Comp: Victor Cruz
Jefferson, like Cruz can uncover so quickly off the line. He combines a great burst with sharp routes.
12) Quintez Cephus - Wisconsin (6'1 - 202)
40 Time: 4.73
Vertical: 38.5"
Draft Round: 3rd Round
Comp: Hakeem Nicks
Cephus will be a great value pick for some team. He'll go later than his talent dictates based on lack of deep speed. He has a knack for getting his numbers around quick and will be a starting possession receiver for some team, soon.
13) Antonio Gandy-Golden - Liberty (6'4 - 223)
40 Time: 4.60
Vertical: 36"
Draft Round: 4th Round
Comp: Kenny Britt
Here's another bigger receiver that may not fly by defenders but will earn any veteran quarterbacks trust with his ability to highpoint as a natural hands catcher.
14) Donovan Peoples-Jones - Michigan (6'2 - 212)
40 Time: 4.48
Vertical: 44.5"
Draft Round: 4th Round
Comp: Rueben Randle
Peoples-Jones vertical is eye-popping but his film shows a guy that will be a backshoulder weapon but not an all out star.
15) Brandon Aiyuk - Arizona State (6'0 - 205)
40 Time: 4.50
Vertical: 40"
Draft Round: 4th Round
A dangerous kickoff and punt return with a deadly "electric slide" step that he combines with quickness. He'll laul a defensive back to sleep in his route and then explode. Concerning nature of concentration drops are drops on contested passes.
16) Laviska Shenault Jr - Colorado (6'1 - 227)
40 Time: 4.58
Draft Round: 5th Round
Comp: Mohamed Sanu
17) Devin Duvernay - Texas (5'10 - 200)
40 Time: 4.39
Vertical: 35.5"
Draft Round: 5th Round
18) Lynn Bowden Jr - Kentucky (5'11 - 204)
Draft Round: 6th Round
Comp: Antwaan Randle El
19) KJ Hamler - Penn State (5'9 - 178)
Draft Round: 6th Round
20) Collin Johnson - Texas (6'6 - 222)
Draft Round: 6th Round
Comp: James Hardy
While the rolling Astros have a week of possible World Series preview matchups against the Phillies and Cubs, it’s the Rockets who made the biggest local sports headline with their acquisition of Kevin Durant. What a move! Of course there is risk involved in trading for a guy soon to turn 37 years old and who carries an injury history, but balancing risk vs. reward is a part of the game. This is a fabulous move for the Rockets. It’s understood that there are dissenters to this view. Everyone is entitled to an opinion, including people with the wrong opinion! Let’s dig in.
The Rockets had a wonderful season in winning 52 games before their disappointing first-round playoff loss to the Warriors, but like everyone else in the Western Conference, they were nowhere close to Oklahoma City’s caliber. While they finished second in the West, the Rockets only finished four games ahead of the play-in. That letting the stew simmer with further growth among their young players would yield true championship contention was no given for 2025-26 or beyond.
Kevin Durant is one of the 10 greatest offensive players the NBA has ever seen. Among his current contemporaries only Stephen Curry and Nikola Jokic make that list. For instance, Durant offensively has clearly been better than the late and legendary Kobe Bryant. To view it from a Houston perspective, Durant has been an indisputably greater offensive force than the amazing Hakeem Olajuwon. But this is not a nostalgia trip in which the Rockets are trading for a guy based on what he used to be. While Durant could hit the wall at any point, living in fear that it’s about to happen is no way to live because KD, approaching his 18th NBA season, is still an elite offensive player.
As to the durability concern, Durant played more games (62) this past season than did Fred VanVleet, Jabari Smith, and Tari Eason. The season before he played more games (75) than did VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, and Alperen Sengun. In each of the last two seasons Durant averaged more minutes per game (36.9) than any Rocket. That was stupid and/or desperate of the Suns, the Rockets will be smarter. Not that the workload eroded Durant’s production or efficiency. Over the two seasons he averaged almost 27 points per game while shooting 52 percent from the floor, 42 percent from behind the three-point line, and 85 percent from the free throw line. Awesomeness. The Rockets made the leap to being a very good team despite a frankly crummy half-court offense. The Rockets ranked 21st among the 30 NBA teams in three-point percentage, and dead last in free throw percentage. Amen Thompson has an array of skills and looks poised to be a unique star. Alas, Thompson has no credible jump shot. VanVleet is not a creator, Smith has limited handle. Adding Durant directly addresses the Rockets’ most glaring weakness.
The price the Rockets paid was in the big picture, minimal, unless you think Jalen Green is going to become a bonafide star. Green is still just 23 years old and spectacular athletically, but nothing he has done over four pro seasons suggests he’s on the cusp of greatness. In no season has Green even shot the league average from the floor or from three. His defense has never been as good as it should be given his athleticism. Compared to some other two-guards who made the NBA move one year removed from high school, four seasons into his career Green is waaaaaay behind where Shae Gilgeous-Alexander, Anthony Edwards, and Devin Booker were four seasons in, and now well behind his draft classmate Cade Cunningham. Dillon Brooks was a solid pro in two seasons here and shot a career-best from three in 2024-2025, but he’s being replaced by Kevin Durant! In terms of the draft pick capital sent to Phoenix, five second round picks are essentially meaningless. The Rockets have multiple extra first round picks in the coming years. As for the sole first-rounder dealt away, whichever player the Rockets would have taken 10th Wednesday night would have been rather unlikely to crack the playing rotation.
VanVleet signs extension
Re-signing Fred VanVleet to a two-year, 50 million dollar guarantee is sensible. In a vacuum, VanVleet was substantially overpaid at the over 40 mil he made per season the last two. He’s a middle-of-the-pack starting point guard. But his professionalism and headiness brought major value to the Rockets’ kiddie corps while their payroll was otherwise very low. Ideally, Reed Sheppard makes a leap to look like an NBA lead guard in his second season, after a pretty much zippo of a rookie campaign. Sheppard is supposed to be a lights-out shooter. For the Rockets to max out, they need two sharpshooters on the court to balance Thompson’s presence.
For Astro-centric conversation, join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday. Click here to catch!
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