Culley already has his hands full considering Watson's trade request. Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images
You would like to give the Texans the benefit of the doubt on the hiring of David Culley as head coach. The Ravens assistant has worked for top minds like Andy Reid and John Harbaugh. But he is also a 65-year-old who has never called plays and seems like an out of nowhere hire.
Still, you would like to hope that it works out. But since Jack Easterby arrived on the scene and starting his bible-thumping and backstabbing, the Texans have traded Jadeveon Clowney for peanuts, overpaid on multiple contracts, made the horrid DeAndre Hopkins deal, lied to their quarterback who now wants a trade, hired a GM under suspicious circumstances and have generally become the joke of the league. If Watson is moved, it will look truly horrible if they are unable to get a Herchel Walker-type haul, and based on what we have seen so far from this group, they will probably give him away for nothing.
The hope is that Nick Caserio is the adult in the room, and that he and Culley will pull a big time deal and the team will start back on the road to mediocrity. Caserio is well respected around the league, and maybe he works out. His first coaching hire, however, has been met with a collective "huh?" Most surprising hires don't go so well. Remember Jim Tomsula?
However, there are some reasons to think it can work out. Yes, you have to dig pretty deep, but let's take a look:
1) You don't have to be a play caller to be a good coach. One only need to look at Culley's most recent boss, Harbaugh. The difference is everyone thought Harbaugh would be a great head coach and he was much younger, but he wasn't a play caller either. Neither was recent Eagles hire Nick Sirianni. Eric Bieniemy, everyone's favorite for the job, is not a play caller either. So there is no reason to hold that against him.
2) We've been begging for a coach and GM with a non-Patriots pedigree. So the Texans failed on that GM wise, but Culley is certainly a win in that regard. He was a part of two of the most successful non-Patriots coaching staffs, so if he can bring a little Chiefs and Ravens to the table, the Texans will be better for it.
3) Assistants will be the key. Tim Kelley will return as OC. He wasn't great last season, but his offense looked better than what Bill O'Brien ran (not saying much, I know). The run game was a disaster, but a better OL coach and better running backs could fix that. On the other side of the ball, Lovie Smith is an excellent hire. A very good DC who was not great as a head coach but has experience. That's exactly what a first-time head coach needs.
4) Culley seems to be respected and well liked. Let's face it, hardly anyone outside of Baltimore knows much about the man. He has not been considered a head coaching candidate, and seemed to be a lesser prospect than Ravens OC Greg Roman and DC Wink Martindale. It says a lot that he impressed the Texans more than some of the hotter names. Harbaugh raves about him, and others around the league sing his praises. Of course, many coaching hires are praised at the time and turn out to be Gus Bradley.
5) Winning back trust and delegating. The fan base is ready to revolt and wants Easterby's head. It's only going to get worse when the Watson trade happens, even if it turns out to be the right thing to do and a good haul for the Texans. Culley will have to manage that and get the franchise through the transition. If he can be a CEO-type coach who delegates responsibilities to his assistants and focuses on big picture and game management, the Texans could be just fine.
That's asking a lot. Maybe it will all be fine. Coaching hires are always a crap shoot. No one outside the Ravens knows what impact or responsibilities he had. Only the Texans know his plans and vision.
In the end, it's still a 65-year-old first time coach with no track record hired by a franchise that has made one bad move after another.
Hopefully this isn't another one.
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Coming off their bye week, the Texans host the Dolphins with big playoff implications at stake. A win over Miami paired with a Colts loss secures another playoff berth for Houston.
Injuries will be a factor in this contest, with guard Juice Scruggs (foot) expected to be unavailable and safety Jalen Pitre now out for the year with a pectoral injury.
The Texans will also be without LB Azeez Al-Shaair (suspension), but a glimmer of hope has arrived as LB Christian Harris has returned to practice after missing the entire season up to this point.
Houston #Texans Thursday Injury Report for Week 15 vs. the Miami Dolphins: pic.twitter.com/7cDUTFbFZV
— Houston Texans PR (@TexansPR) December 12, 2024
Left guard Kenyon Green has also returned to practice and could be available this Sunday as well. If he's not, look for Zach Thomas, who was claimed off waivers from the Patriots about a month ago, to step in. Offensive line play and protection in general will be a main area of focus once again, as the Texans are arguably the worst in the NFL in this category.
This is most damning set of stats I've seen regarding the #Texans offense.
From no. 1 to no. 20 - 4.7% gap
From no. 21 to no. 31 - 4.9% gap
From no. 31 to Texans - 4.9% gap
Last in blown blocks by more than 1 BB per game.
Last in QB pressures & 50 more BB+PR than any other team https://t.co/vwAS16Diay
— Adam Wexler (@AdamJWexler) December 11, 2024
As you can see from the graphic above, the Texans have blown a block or allowed a pressure on over 30% of their offensive plays, and the next closest team is the Bears at 25.4 %.
Speaking of blocking, the Texans face three of the best teams against the run down the stretch (Chiefs, Ravens, Titans). With that being the case, let's hope that Stroud and the Texans found some answers in the passing game during the bye week.
If the Texans can keep Stroud upright, perhaps we see a resurgence from Tank Dell, who has seemingly disappeared from the offense. Tank hasn't scored since October 13, and has only recorded one game with over 100 yards all season.
Swarm!
On defense, the Texans will have their hands full with the Dolphins explosive offense. Miami has scored 32 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games.
The Texans are averaging just under 24 PPG this season, so they could really use a breakout game from the offense to help cement a victory.
Houston has the best duo of pass rushers in the league, but they will be challenged against Tua Tagovailoa, who gets rid of the ball extremely quickly and accurately.
Tua also has two speedsters in Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle that can take a short pass to the house at any given moment. Speed could be the difference in this contest, but the Texans do have two corners in Derek Stingley and Kamari Lassiter that are both Top 3 in lowest catch rate allowed this year.
DBs with the lowest Catch Rate Allowed this season 🔒
1. Kamari Lassiter - 42.0%
2. Nate Wiggins - 43.8%
3. Derek Stingley Jr. - 44.6%
4. Donte Jackson - 49.1%
5. Kristian Fulton - 50.0%
6. Jakorian Bennett - 51.1%
7. Jaylon Johnson - 51.2%
8. Denzel Ward - 51.9%
9. Jaycee Horn… https://t.co/muJHduiHQn pic.twitter.com/nVJlKYsWwc
— The 33rd Team (@The33rdTeamFB) December 11, 2024
What does Vegas think?
The Texans are favored by 3 points and the total is set at 46.5, which is the third-highest this week.
Don't miss the video above as we break down this week's game, the final stretch of the season, and much more!
Also, be sure to watch Texans on Tap with Charlie Pallilo, Brandon Strange, and Josh Jordan live following every Texans game on our SportsMapTexans YouTube channel!