The Pallilog

Astros just keep adding wins, records and likely post-season awards

Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

As the Astros continue their three team battle royal with the Yankees and Dodgers for postseason homefield advantage, this magnificent Astros' season has numerous interesting subplots for the stretch drive. The Astros are on pace for 104 wins which would top last year's franchise record 103. It's likely they'll need more than 104 to wind up with Major League Baseball's best record, which would be a first time achievement in club history.

MLB is too much of a juiced ball home run freak show this year so we need to grade on a curve, but the Astros are going to smash the franchise record for homers in a season. They enter the weekend with 229. The club record is 249 set in 2000, which came in the peak of the steroid era and year one of Enron Field. 249 is still the National League record. Well, until the Dodgers break it in the next two or three weeks. This year's Astros are on pace to hit 274. And to not even come close to leading the American League. The Minnesota Twins are on pace for 317. That is 50 more (50!) than the record of 267 set by the Yankees, last year.

Despite their 249 homers and finishing second in the NL in runs scored, the 2000 Astros stunk because the pitchers were a disaster. Their 5.42 earned run average was worst in the NL, even worse than Colorado where pitchers never have a fair chance. The 2000 Astros gave up a franchise worst 234 homers. This year's Astros' staff is one of the best in the game (yes the bullpen is shaky looking these days). The ERA rates third best in the AL. This year's Astros are on pace to give up 237 homers.

Individually, Yordan Alvarez has American League Rookie of the Year about cinched up. Justin Verlander is likely the leader on the course for the AL Cy Young Award. Gerrit Cole is probably running second. Heck, it's plausible that Wade Miley could wind up third. Michael Brantley is three points behind the Yankees' D.J. LeMahieu in the AL batting race.

Clown show continues

Mercifully, the joke that is the four game NFL preseason schedule has been completed. Along with the shameless fleecing of season ticket holders by making them pay for two meaningless outcome games every year, comes this shameful component. Three years ago the NFL eliminated the two step roster countdown. Teams used to go from 90 to 70 players before the last preseason game and then make the cut to the regular season maximum of 53 after the last preseason game. Now the roster stays at a max of 90 through the final preseason game, followed by a whacking of about 40 percent of the roster to get down to 53. Seems to me there is little doubt that one reason for the change is that teams can hold out even more legit players from playing in the preseason finale, merely using and then discarding more guys who have zero percent chance of making the team.

Speaking of jokes, if you didn't catch Bill O'Brien at the Texans' preseason luncheon he offered up pap even by Billy Bluster standards. Paraphrasing, O'Brien said he loves the Astros and Rockets but we all know what really matters around here, the Texans and football. To be fair, O'Brien was merely pandering to a paying audience, but it's still theatre of the absurd. One of Houston's big three teams has a championship pelt on the wall put up in the last two years, another was a serious contender two seasons ago, the third is the Texans. Going a step further, other than the two-team markets (New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco-Oakland), given the large Cowboys' fan base here and an ample supply of Saints' fans here, the Texans may have the lowest percentage in the NFL of home market fans who are devotees of the home market team.

Even with the endgame of the Jadeveon Clowney saga yet unclear (my though all along has been that he shows and signs next week just in time to be eligible to collect his weekly almost one million dollar paycheck) the Texans' AFC South hopes took a forward leap with Andrew Luck's stunning retirement announcement. With Luck the Colts had a better quarterback than the Texans, a better team than the Texans, and the look of an emerging Super Bowl contender. Now Indy looks to be you know what out of Luck. In a draft of backup quarterbacks before last Saturday night Jacoby Brissett would have been a top five pick. The Colts aren't dead with Brissett as the starter, but the division could revert to a morass of mediocrity where 9-7 wins it.

Buzzer Beaters

1. Louisiana Tech should show up in Austin for the Texas game Saturday wearing Maryland Terrapin uniforms. 2. Combined season opening scores: Clemson/Texas A&M 93 Opponents 21. The Tigers and Aggies will be more interesting head-to-head next weekend. 3. Best Earth, Wind, & Fire songs: Bronze-Fantasy Silver-Boogie Wonderland Gold-September


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Life after Correa may not be the worst thing. Composite image by Jack Brame.

Carlos Correa is having a damn good year. The Astros shortstop is hitting .285 with 24 homers, 87 RBI, 72 walks, .862 OPS, a 7.2 WAR, and a .981 fielding percentage. In any other year, those would be numbers worthy of being in the mix for AL MVP (if it weren't for that dastardly Shohei Otani). Correa is also in a contract year. He and the Astros were far enough apart that the season started and he's held true to not wanting to negotiate midseason.

The offers of six years for $120 million and five years for $125 million were both rejected by he and his camp. They're seeking something much longer and for more money on the annual average. With the team unwilling to meet those demands, it seems as if the team and the player are headed for a split.

Lots of Astros fans are not happy with the prospect of Correa leaving via free agency. Some think the team isn't doing enough and should pony up to bring him back. Some feel Correa should take what they're offering because it's a fair deal that'll allow the team to sign other players. Then, there's that small band of us that are totally okay with him leaving.

One of the main reasons I'm okay with him leaving is the players the team still has under control that are potential replacements. Aledmys Diaz and Pedro Leon are the first two guys that come to mind. Diaz is a 31-year-old vet who's stepped up when he's called upon. He can slide over to third and allow Alex Bregman to play shortstop. Leon is the team's 23-year-old hot prospect who signed as an outfielder that the team has been trying to turn into a shortstop. If Correa were to leave, he could instantly plug the hole Carlos would leave behind. Either of those options lead to my next point of being okay with Correa leaving which is to...

...allocate that money elsewhere. Whether it's signing a replacement (at short or third), or boosting the pitching staff, I'll be fine as long as it's money well spent. Signing a shortstop or third baseman would determine where Bregman would be playing. If said player takes significantly less than Correa and fills 70-80% of his offensive shoes, it'll be worth it. Others will have to step it up. If they find a deal on a top of the rotation starting pitcher, that would be ideal as well. As I stated a couple of weeks ago, this team has employed a six-man rotation, but doesn't have a true ace. Spending anywhere from $20-30 million a year on a top-notch pitcher to add to the staff would bolster this staff in more ways than one. It'll finally give them the ace they lack, plus it'll bump all the young talent (still under team control) down a peg creating depth and perhaps even creating bullpen depth.

The only way any of this works is if Correa isn't back. Zack Greinke and Justin Verlander's money comes off the books also. Freeing up that much payroll and not re-appropriating those resources to ensure this team stays in contention would be a first degree felony in sports court. I don't think Jim Crane wants that for this team. I for sure don't think James Click wants that as his legacy. Let's sit back and watch how the organization maneuvers this offseason and pray they get it right.


Editor's note: If you want to read the other side of the argument, check out Ken Hoffman's piece from Tuesday.

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