MLB SEASON PREVIEW
Barry Laminack: An in-depth look at every MLB team, plus postseason predictions
Mar 29, 2018, 6:42 am
A few weeks ago I promised you all an in-depth preview and breakdown of the 2018 major league baseball season, so here it is.
There’s a lot to be excited about in 2018 if you’re a baseball fan, especially if you’re an Astros fan. On paper, the Astros are the best team in baseball, again. It’s scary to think that the team that just won the World Series actually got better, but that’s exactly what happened when they traded for Gerrit Cole. The Astros have an outstanding chance to be the first back-to-back champs since the Yankees did it in 1998/1999/2000. It won’t be easy, though because the Yankees and Indians are stacked as well, and the Cubs, Dodgers and Nationals are also elite teams that have what it takes to win a title.
Something that stood out to me during my prep is how many rookie managers there are this year. In total, 3 of the 4 rookie managers this year are with teams that should be in contention all year.
The Mets hired Mickey Callaway away from the Indians and he could do for the Mets what Bud Black did for the Rockies last year.
The Red Sox tabbed former Astros bench coach Alex Cora to be their skipper. Cora was an excellent hire, with a bright baseball mind. I think of the four he’ll be the least likely to show like a rookie manager.
The Yankees hiring first-time manager Aaron Boone was a bit of a head scratcher for me, but it’s a team that has enough talent to overcome any first year issues he may face, but take a peek at my preview of them for more on that.
The other rookie manager is Gabe Kapler of the Phillies. Kapler is a perfect fit for the Phillies. They’re a team that’s going to surprise some folks but are probably a year or two away from being a serious threat to make the playoffs. A perfect amount of time for the out of the box thinking Kapler to learn the ropes as the head man.
Records: 93-69
Division Finish: 1st
Run Differential: +117 (784 RS - 668 RA)
Key Additions:
OF J.D. Martinez
1B Mitch Moreland
IF Eduardo Nunez
Key Losses:
RP Addison Reed
SP Doug Fister
OF Chris Young
RP Blaine Boyer
RP Fernando Abad
The Sox had a really good lineup BEFORE adding the power hitting J.D. Martinez. Unfortunately for first year manager Alex Cora the question all year will be “Can the Red Sox score/pitch/hang with the Yankees?”
I’m not sure they can put up the kind of run production the Yankees will, but Even if Rick Porcello has regressed back to his mean, as long as David Price returns to form the Sox will hang tough all year.
Records: 91-71
Division Finish: 2nd
Run Differential: +198 ( 858 RS - 660 RA)
Key Additions:
OF Giancarlo Stanton
2B Neil Walker
1B Adam Lind
3B Brandon Drury
Key Losses:
2B Starlin Castro
3B Chase Headley
SP Michael Pineda
SP Bryan Mitchell
SP Jaime Garcia
3B Todd Frazier
As scary as this team was last year, the Yankees actually got better in the offseason. A lot better. The 2017 NL MVP (Giancarlo Stanton) joins the 2017 AL MVP runner-up to form the 2018 version of the “bash brothers” The Yankees don’t have a lot of weaknesses but they could use some rotation help, so it won’t surprise anyone if guys like Haap, Stroman or Archer are wearing pinstripes come August 1.
The biggest question on this team is probably with rookie manager Aaron Boone. Is he ready for the job in New York? Before you answer, recall that he forgot to warm up a pitcher during a game this spring, so the recently exited Dellin Betances had to come back in after already being in the clubhouse cooling down.
That aside, the Yankees feel too big to fail. They have two guys that could win MVP and/or lead the AL in home runs. They have the best bullpen in baseball, and a good rotation (though it does have some questions).
Oh, and two guys on the way up in Gleyber Torres and Miguel Andujar that could win Rookie of the year in 2018...if they Yankees can find a spot for them.
Ugh, god I hate the Yankees.
Records: 80-82
Division Finish: 3rd
Run Differential: -10 ( 694 RS - 704 RA)
Key Additions:
OF Denard Span
OF Carlos Gomez
1B CJ Cron
RP Daniel Hudson
Key Losses:
3B Evan Longoria
RP Brad Boxberger
RP Steve Cishek
RP Tommy Hunter
SP Alex Cobb
SP Jake Odorizzi
OF Steven Souza Jr.
1B Lucas Duda
1B logan morrison
LF Corey Dickerson
Kevin Cash says he plans on using a 4 man rotation and on days when a fifth starter is needed, he’ll use relievers.
Yes, that seems kind of crazy, but what’s not crazy is that their rotation isn't that bad.
On the other hand, the offseason was bad. Not only did they lose a ton of talent, but they replaced it with guys like Carlos Gomez. That was their best pickup. The worst part is he's projected to hit THIRD in their lineup. Yes, the lifetime .256 hitting CarGo is their #3 hitter. Yikes.
Only one team (Toronto) scored less runs in the AL. They'll "overtake" the Jays for last place this year as they head in the wrong direction in the standings.
Records: 76-86
Division Finish: 4th
Run Differential: -91 (693 RS - 784 RA)
Key Additions:
OF Curtis Granderson
SS Aledmys Diaz
INF Yangervis Solarte
RP Seung Hwan Oh
SP Jaime Garcia
Key Losses:
OF Jose Bautista
SP Tom Koehler
The Blue Jays didn’t get better in the off-season. They’ll probably be near the bottom of the league in run production again. It’s a team that’s not ready to compete with New York and Boston.
Justin Smoak hadn't hit more than 20 HR and 59 RBi before hitting 38 and 90 last year. Will he regress? Probably.
If you need an idea of what’s going on long term, all of their off season signings were for a year or two, and with Josh Donaldson, J.A. Haap, Marco Estrada all due to be free agents in 2019, if the Jays are out of it by july, look for them to be big time sellers at the trade deadline thus officially kicking off their rebuild.
BUT, if you’re putting together an “All Sons of Former Players” team, look no further than the Blue Jays who count both Vlad Guerrero, Jr. and Bo Bichette as prospects in the organization.
Records: 75-87
Division Finish: 5th
Run Differential: -98 ( 743 RS - 841 RA)
Key Additions:
SP Alex Cobb
SP Andrew Cashner
Key Losses:
C Welington Castillo
SP Jeremy Hellickson
SP Wade Miley
SS J.J. Hardy
Baltimore was a team in desperate need of pitching so they grabbed Alex Cobb and Andrew Cashner this past offseason. Sandwich Dylan Bundy in between them and the squad has a chance of running out a respectable 1-3 every week.
Jonathan Schoop had a breakout season and is a star in the making, and the Birds should score some runs, despite their lack a prototypical leadoff hitter.
Records: 102-60
Division Finish: 1st
Run Differential: +254 ( 818 RS - 564RA)
Key Additions:
1B Yonder Alonso
Key Losses:
1B Carlos Santana
OF Jay Bruce
RP Bryan Shaw
RP Joe Smith
OF Austin Jackson
One of the best bullpens in the majors last year had some significant losses in Bryan Shaw and Joe Smith. They also lost Carlos Santana, so in comes Yonder Alonso to try and replace Santana’s production in a still very potent lineup that includes MVP candidate Francisco Lindor.
The offseason losses could see the Indians regress slightly, but with a four headed monster of Corey Kluber (reigning Cy Young winner), Lindor (MVP candidate) and a bullpen combo of Andrew Miller and Corey Allen, the Indians will compete for a pennant again.
Records: 85-77
Division Finish: 2nd
Run Differential: +27 ( 815 RS - 788 RA)
Key Additions:
RP Fernando Rodney
RP Addison Reed
SP Michael Pineda
RP Zach Duke
SP Lance Lynn
SP Jake Odorizzi
1B Logan Morrison
Key Losses:
SP Bartolo Colon
Ervin Santana (last years ace) will miss the first 8-10 weeks of the season and Michael Pineda might miss the entire year, which is partly why they had to step up and sign Lance Lynn. Outside of chasing the Indians (no, they won't catch them) the Twins don't have to worry about anyone else in the division, but are they better than the Red Sox and Angels for the wild card? They surprised many last year and appear to have had a fine offseason, so it should be a tight race
Records: 80-82
Division Finish: 3rd
Run Differential: -89 ( 702 RS - 791 RA)
Key Additions:
SP Ricky Nolasco
OF Jon Jay
1B Lucas Duda
Key Losses:
OF Lorenzo Cain
RP Joakim Soria
SP Mike Minor
1B Eric Hosmer
RP Peter Moylan
SP Jason Vargas
RP Ryan Buchter
RP Scott Alexander
DH Brandon Moss
The Royals are circling the rebuild drain, and once they are out of the race (probably early June) they'll consider officially starting said rebuild. Look for them to be sellers at the trade deadline.
Records: 67-95
Division Finish: 4th
Run Differential: -114 ( 706 RS - 820 RA)
Key Additions:
C Welington Castillo
RP Joakim Soria
SP Luis Avilan
SP Miguel Gonzalez
Key Losses:
None.
The White Sox are still a few years away, but I think this team is going to turn a few heads and make a bit of noise this year. They should be fun to watch...until they start fading around July.
Records: 64-98
Division Finish: 5th
Run Differential: -159 ( 735 RS - 894 RA)
Key Additions:
SP Mike Fiers
RP Francisco Liriano
OF Leonys Martin
SP Ryan Carpenter
Key Losses:
2B Ian Kinsler
SP Anibal Sanchez
If Mike Fiers is your club's big off season move, your club's off season was pretty bad. Sorry Tiger fans, but this year is going to be a rough one.
Records: 101-61
Division Finish: 1st
Run Differential: +196 ( RS 896 - RA 700)
Key Additions:
SP Gerrit Cole
RP Joe Smith
RP Hector Rondon
Key Losses:
RP Luke Gregerson
SP Mike Fiers
OF Carlos Beltran
RP Joe Musgrove
SP Michael Feliz
It’s crazy to think that a team that won the World Series last year, and was as dominant as the Astros were got better in the offseason, but that’s exactly what happened. The rotation got deeper with the trade for Gerrit Cole, and that move also made the bullpen deeper by moving Brad Peacock and Colin McHugh out there. If Lefty Specialist STILL
If the team gets hit with a big injury, expect to see Kyle Tucker up, otherwise it might make sense to leave him at triple A to get ABs.
If you want to get picky about this team, it would be in the bullpen. The could use a reliable left handed arm that can get lefties out, as it’s doubtful that Tony Sipp returns to his 2014 form. Ken Giles had a fantastic regular season but was terrible in the playoffs, but there are plenty of capable options to plug in should they need to until the trade deadline.
The Astros have the best rotations in baseball, the deepest/best lineup in baseball. And the second best bullpen in baseball.
Records: 80-82
Division Finish: 2nd
Run Differential: +1 ( 710 RS - 709 RA)
Key Additions:
SP Shohei Ohtani
INF Zack Cozart
2B Ian Kinsler
RP Jim Johnson
OF Chris Young
Key Losses:
RP Yusmeiro Petit
RP Bud Norris
1B C.J. Cron
HEALTH, HEALTH, HEALTH. That's the key to the Angels making a run at the wild card. Can Mike Trout stay healthy? Can the rotation stay healthy? Is Albert Pujols healthy (enough)?
Defensively this team IS GREAT.
Ohtani hasn't looked good in the spring and comes in as a huge question mark for the club. If he meets expectations they'll probably win a wild card. If he struggles, heck they'll probably still win a wild card spot.
Keep an eye on the six-man rotation experiment. I don't think this staff is deep enough to pull it off, but I could be wrong.
It's a right handed dominant lineup (only two lefties and no switch hitter), so look for them to add a lefty stick at the deadline.
Records: 78-84
Division Finish: 3rd
Run Differential: -22 ( 750 RS - 772 RA)
Key Additions:
INF/OF Dee Gordon
1B Ryon Healy
RP Juan Nicasio
RP Wade LeBlanc
RF Ichiro Suzuki
Key Losses:
1B Yonder Alonso
RP Yovani Gallardo
OF Jarrod Dyson
SP Drew Smyly
RP Emilio Pagan
A less than stellar off season and an aging King Felix could be trouble for the Mariners in 2018. They have a good 1-4 punch in the order and a rotation and bullpen that isn’t top notch but not terrible. It’s hard for me to gauge what they’ll do this year. This team could contend for a wild card, or could be a total bust.
Records: 78-84
Division Finish: 4th
Run Differential: -17 ( 799 RS - 816 RA)
Key Additions:
RP Mike Minor
SP Matt Moore
SP Doug Fister
Key Losses:
SP Miguel Gonzalez
OF Carlos Gomez
SP Andrew Cashner
A lackluster off season from a team that needed to do more in order to gain ground on the Astros. On the surface they look like they can hit, but some of the advanced metrics show otherwise. Everything about the team is slightly above average. The lineup, the rotation and the pen. Much like the Mariners, I haven’t figured out what this team is yet. I guess that means they are just a .500 ball club. Come to think of it, that sounds about right.
Records: 75-87
Division Finish: 5th
Run Differential: -87 ( 739 RS - 826 RA)
Key Additions:
OF Stephen Piscotty
RP Yusmeiro Petit
RP Emilio Pagan
C Jonathan Lucroy
DH Brandon Moss
RP Ryan Buchter
Key Losses:
1B Ryon Healy
1B Chris Carter
SP Heath Fillmyer
SP Jesse Hahn
It seems as though a lot of talking heads around the baseball world thiink the A’s are going to surprise some folks. That may be true, but if they are going to be this years Rockies/Twins/Diamondback they need more pitching. They’ll probably hit better than I’m giving them credit for, but a -87 is a pretty significant run differential so even if they improve on both sides, they still aren’t ready to compete with the big boys for the wild card.
Records: 97-65
Division Finish: 1st
Run Differential: +147 ( 819 RS - 672 RA)
Key Additions:
1B Matt Adams
RP Brandon Kintzler
RP Joaquin Benoit
SP Jeremy Hellickson
Key Losses:
RP Matt Albers
RP Oliver Perez
Outside of the Dodgers, this might be the most complete team in the NL, and one of the truly elite teams in baseball. Last year they had a ton of issues closing out games thanks to a subpar bullpen, but a trade for Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson helped big time. Adding Brandon Kintzler in the offseason means that it's actually a very good pen now. They can hit, pitch, and now thanks to the names I just mentioned close out teams. The only real question about this team is rookie manager Mickey Callaway. That said, put them on your short list to make a serious run at the World Series.
Records: 77-85
Division Finish: 2nd
Run Differential: -44 ( 778 RS - 822RA)
Key Additions:
2B Starlin Castro
OF Cameron Maybin
OF Lewis Brinson
Key Losses:
OF Giancarlo Stanton
OF Marcell Ozuna
OF Christian Yelich
2B Dee Gordon
OF Ichiro Suzuki
Adding Jeter (j/k?)
Nothing to see here folks, move along. Derek Jeter has gutted a team that had a lot of young talent, but some bad contracts. Just be glad you're not a Marlins fan, unless you are then be glad that the Dolphins season starts soo...wait, be glad the Heat...ummm...hey the beaches are nice, right???
Records: 72-90
Division Finish: 3rd
Run Differential: -89 ( 732 RS - 821 RA)
Key Additions:
SP Brandon McCarthy
SP Scott Kazmir (released)
SP/RP Anibal Sanchez
Key Losses:
1B Matt Adams
OF Matt Kemp
The Braves are still a few years away from the playoffs, but not as far as you might think. Ronald Acuna is just about everyone’s favorite to win Rookie of the Year, and rightfully so because dude is a stud (don't sleep on Austin Riley either).
Records: 70-92
Division Finish: 4th
Run Differential: -128 ( 735 RS - 863RA)
Key Additions:
OF Jay Bruce
1B Adrian Gonzalez
INF Jose Reyes
RP Anthony Swarzak
3B Todd Frazier
Key Losses:
RP Chasen Bradford
RP Josh Edgin
OF Norichika Aoki
The Mets went out and hired rookie manager Mickey Callaway to lead a club that could make a wild card, or could end up near the bottom of the division again.
One big question I have is will this lineup hit? I don't think they will, but they did get a bit better with Bruce and Frazier.
As for the rotation, after the 1-2 punch of Thor and DeGrom 3-5 are question marks, and health is a major concern for almost the entire staff. The bullpen was shaky at times last year so Swarzak was a nice pickup, plus a full year of A.J. Ramos (acquired via trade last year) and Jeurys Familia (missed most of 2017) will help. I think they’ll be in it for most of the year, but then fade a bit around September.
Records: 66-96
Division Finish: 5th
Run Differential: -92 ( 690 RS - 782 RA)
Key Additions:
1B Carlos Santana
RP Pat Neshek
RP Tommy Hunter
SP Jake Arrieta
Key Losses:
None
Watch out for this team. They had a tremendous off season and have a ton of money to spend. Rookie skipper Gabe Kapler will do a lot of things different and the team has enough talent to rattle a few cages this year. They might even be in the playoff hunt until August-ish.
Arrieta is still good but he's lost some velocity and is trending down. The rotation still needs help and the bullpen doesn’t have a clear solution for a closer.
I do think this team is going to be a lot of fun to watch, but they are still a year or two away.
Records: 92-70
Division Finish: 1st
Run Differential: +127 ( 822 RS - 695 RA)
Key Additions:
SP Yu Darvish
RP Brandon Morrow
SP Tyler Chatwood
RP Steve Cishek
SP Drew Smyly
RP Dario Alvarez
Key Losses:
RP Wade Davis
RP Hector Rondon
SP Jake Arrieta
OF Jon Jay
C Alex Avila
OF Leonys Martin
The Cubs had a decent off season. The losses of Davis and Arrieta were countered with additions of Darvish, Morrow and Chatwood. They're the cream of the crop in the NL Central but if they falter at all, the Cards and Brew Crew are ready to pounce.
Records: 86-76
Division Finish: 2nd
Run Differential: +35 ( 732 RS - 697 RA)
Key Additions:
OF Lorenzo Cain
OF Christian Yelich
SP Jhoulys Chacin
SP Yovani Gallardo
RP Matt Albers
RP Boone Logan
Key Losses:
RP Jared Hughes
2B Neil Walker
OF Lewis Brinson
RP Jared Hughes
RP Anthony Swarzak
RP Wily Peralta
I was really impressed with the Brewers offseason. This is a team that should score a ton of runs. Do they have enough pitching? The pen was a strength last year (carried the team for most of the season) but they need their starters to step up in a major way if they are going to compete.
I think they’ll be in it all year and will swing for the fences with a big arm at the trade deadline.
Records: 83-79
Division Finish: 3rd
Run Differential: +56 ( 761 RS - 705 RA)
Key Additions:
OF Marcell Ozuna
RP Luke Gregerson
SP Miles Mikolas
RP Bud Norris
Key Losses:
RP Juan Nicasio
RP Zach Duke
SS Aledmys Diaz
SP Lance Lynn
RP Seung Hwan Oh
The Cardinals added a HUGE bat in Marcell Ozuna to go with break out SS Paul DeJong. Lance Lynn is gone but Luke Weaver is a stud and will have cards fans saying "lance who?" soon. Tony PHam is one to keep an eye on (.411 OBP!!!). He's playing for a big payday in arbitration next year after turning down a 2 year deal from the club.
Is Luke Gregerson good enough to be a closer again? Hold that thought because he's opening the season on the DL - Greg Holland (still available) would make for some nice insurance.
Look for the Cards to get go after an upgrade at the back end of the pen around the trade deadline.
Overall, the team has a good mix of solid veterans and young kids eager to prove themselves. At worst they’ll just miss out on a Wild Card bid, at best, but they could also shock the Cubs this year if everything bounces their way.
Records: 75-87
Division Finish: 4th
Run Differential: -63 ( 668 RS - 731 RA)
Key Additions:
LF Corey Dickerson
RP Josh Smoker
RP Michael Feliz
3b Colin Moran
SP Joe Musgrove
Key Losses:
OF Andrew McCutchen
RHP Gerrit Cole
SP Wade LeBlanc
RP Daniel Hudson
RP Joaquin Benoit
C Chris Stewart
Remember when you were a kid and you tried to beat your dad at arm wrestling and he'd let you hang in there for a few seconds before you just gave up? That's pretty much the Pirates over the last few years (with the Cubs playing the part of the dad in the division). After and off-season that included trading away Cole and McCutchen (and pissing off the entire fan base) it’s obvious they have thrown in the towel.
A bad offense last year didn't get better and the pitching is actually worse. 100 loses isn't out of the question.
Records: 68-94
Division Finish: 5th
Run Differential: -116 ( 753 RS - 869 RA)
Key Additions:
RHP Jared Hughes
RP David Hernandez
Key Losses:
SS Zack Cozart
A bad team that didn't do much to get better now. This team might lose 100 this year, if those darn Pirates don't beat them to it.
Records: 104-58
Division Finish: 1st
Run Differential: +190 ( 770 RS - 550 RA)
Key Additions:
OF Matt Kemp
RP Scott Alexander
SP Tom Koehler
Key Losses:
RP Brandon Morrow
RP Brandon McCarthy
1B Adrian Gonzalez
OF Curtis Granderson
RP Luis Avilan
RP Tony Watson
SP Yu Darvish
With the losses of Morrow, Watson and McCarthy, the bullpen might not be as good/deep as it was last year. Adding Kemp didn't move my needle, but the Dodger faithfull seem to love him.
The offseason was mixed overall. The team saw a lot of talent leave and very little come in, but they got their payroll right so they might have an eye on Harper next year.
They can hit (though I don’t think theyll score like they did last year), they have the best pitcher and closer in the game, but…
They play in the toughest division in baseball, so don't be surprised if they aren’t as dominant as they were last year. In fact, if you made me pick one of the elite teams that could fall off this year it would be the Dodgers.
Records: 93-69
Division Finish: 2nd
Run Differential: +153 ( 812 RS - 659 RA)
Key Additions:
RP Yoshihisa Hirano
RP Brad Boxberger
RF Steven Souza Jr
C Alex Avila
OF Jarrod Dyson
Key Losses:
RP Fernando Rodney
OF J.D. Martinez
3B Brandon Drury
RP David Hernandez
C Chris Iannetta
This team won't have the element of surprise on their side like they did last year. Everybody knows the Diamondbacks are for real now. Are they good enough to win the West? The Dodgers and Rockies will have something to say about that.
They need help in the pen and a big year from Souza and Greinke (again). They have enough to win the division, but it’s the best division in baseball so that won’t be easy.
Records: 87-75
Division Finish: 3rd
Run Differential: +67 ( 824 RS - 757 RA)
Key Additions:
RP Wade Davis
RHP Bryan Shaw
C Chris Iannetta
Key Losses:
RP Pat Neshek
RP Tyler Chatwood
RP Greg Holland
C Jonathan Lucroy
We know the rockies can hit. that's never been a question. It's always been about the players on the bump. But, as I predicted last year, Bud Black is a wizard and turned the entire mindset of this team around as it pertains to pitching. They have a lot of young talent in the rotation and the bullpen is actually better now. They are a real threat for a wild card again and I think they can finish second behind the Dodgers. But if the Dodgers slip up don’t be surprised if the Rockies end up winning this division.
Records: 71-91
Division Finish: 4th
Run Differential: -212 ( 604 RS - 816 RA)
Key Additions:
1B Eric Hosmer
3B Chase Headley
RP Bryan Mitchell
Key Losses:
SP Jhoulys Chacin
2B Yangervis Solarte
The youngest team in the majors isn't going to do much now, but in a few years they could be a real threat to the division. Hosmer was on odd add to a team in the midst of a rebuild, but I guess you have to start somewhere. Put the Padres in the class of young, in the middle of a rebuild but will have moments that will be fun to watch.
Records: 64-98
Division Finish: 5th
Run Differential: -137 ( 639 RS - 776 RA)
Key Additions:
OF Andrew McCutchen
3B Evan Longoria
OF Austin Jackson
RP Tony Watson
SP Derek Holland
OF Gregor Blanco
Key Losses:
OF Denard Span
The Giants didn’t play like they were capable of playing last year. The went out and got better in the offseason, I’m just not sure good enough to fade half a season without MadBum, who isn’t expected back until June/July.
McCutchen and Longoria make them better, but are on the downside of their careers as are Buster Posey and Hunter Pence.
The Giants enter 2018 the oldest team in the majors, so if they plan to compete with Arizona and Colorado they can't play like it.
1 Yankees
2 Red Sox
3 Blue Jays
4 Orioles
5 Rays
1 Indians
2 Twins
3 Royals
4 White Sox
5 Tigers
1 Astros
2 Angels
3 Rangers
4 Mariners
5 Athletics
1 Nationals
2 Mets
3 Phillies
4 Braves
5 Marlins
1 Cubs
2 Brewers
3 Cardinals
4 Reds
5 Pirates
1 Dodgers
2 Rockies
3 Diamondbacks
4 Giants
5 Padres
1 Astros
2 Yankees
3 Indians
WILD CARD
1 Red Sox
2 Angels
1 Nationals
2 Cubs
3 Dodgers
WILD CARD
1 Brewers
2 Rockies
Astros def Yankees
Nationals def. Cubs
Nationals def. Astros
AL: Mike Trout
NL: Bryce Harper
AL: Chris Sale
NL: Noah Syndergaard
AL: Willie Calhoun, OF Rangers
(Other Candidates: Francisco Mejia, C Indians, Gleyber Torres, 2B, Yankees)
NL: Ronald Acuna, LF Braves
(Other Candidates: Ryan McMahon, 1B Rockies, Scott Kingery, 2B Phillies, Lewis Brinson, OF Marlins)
AL: Aaron Boone
NL: Dave Martinez
As we embark on another week waiting to hear which team Alex Bregman will land on, there are some new developments to discuss regarding the potential makeup of the 2025 roster.
First, it appears that Jose Altuve will get some opportunities to play left field, whether Bregman returns or not. The Athletic's Chandler Rome recently reported that the Astros were planning on playing Jorge Polanco in the infield, if they had signed him.
But the Mariners outbid the Astros, and Polanco is headed back to Seattle. Polanco's value on the market was more than the Astros anticipated in my opinion, and the team wasn't content with going past the first tax threshold in order to sign him.
Another news item that broke over the weekend was the Tigers signing of pitcher Jack Flaherty. Many were wondering if that deal would preclude Detroit from signing Bregman. But according to reports, the Flaherty contract won't impact their decision on Bregman.
What about the Cubs?
Reports indicate the Cubs are serious about adding Bregman, but they also suggest there is some concern that a 6-year deal without any opt-outs could prevent the Cubs from signing Kyle Tucker long-term. Would Breggy roll the dice on signing a deal Chicago could void after one season?
Jeff Bagwell speaks about Bregman
For those wondering if the Astros will up their offer to Alex, I think we got our answer. Baggy basically said the team gave Alex their “best offer,” and it's on him to go shop it.
On the farm
Keith Law of The Athletic recently posted his list of the best minor league systems. To no one's surprise, the Astros are near the bottom of the list coming in at 29th out of 30 teams, and they only have one Top 100 prospect (Cam Smith). Only the Angels are ranked lower (30th), but it is worth noting that the Braves system (Houston GM Dana Brown's former organization) came in right in front of Houston at number 28.
I only say that to point out that Brown was brought in from Atlanta for his scouting ability, and the Braves having seemingly fallen off when it comes to minor league talent. No fault of Brown's, but worth noting.
Houston's dearth of talent in the minors is the main reason this offseason is so crucial if they want to continue their winning ways. They can't count on any help coming from the farm, and the outfield is already a huge concern.
Finally, Bleacher Report shared their offseason grades last week, and they gave Houston a D. Based on the amount of talent that left this offseason, it's hard to argue with their assessment. Ryan Pressly, Kyle Tucker, Justin Verlander, Yusei Kikuchi, and Bregman (the Astros have maintained re-signing him is a “long shot.” )
There's no way around it. That's a lot to overcome. But it doesn't mean they can't win the division as presently constructed.
We have way more to get to! Be sure to watch the video above for the full discussion!
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