GAMBLING GUIDE

Bookie Busters continues on an amazing run

Bookie Busters continues on an amazing run
Bookie Busters is making life miserable for the books. Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Guess who's back? The Bookie Busters cash machine and boy are we rolling. We are in the prime of the sports seasons with all types of action going off. The volume we throw out is 75-100 plays a week and still, we are hitting over 70% for over eight weeks. It's been tough to gauge all the live plays so Im planning on starting to organize things a little different to make it easier.

I'll try and post UPDATE and the time next to each new play in bold in hope of helping things sort out better since its a rolling column.

Last week read 142.9U  +24.6 + 167.5

+167.5 is what we will carry with us and I'm short changing myself all my wins from the huge NFL/NCAA weekend and Champions League. The new updates should make it easier to keep up with but the live plays skew everything and they are impossible to list on here and get updated at the same numbers.

RECAP

MLS
DC United/Tor
Over 3   5U MAX

MLB

Astros ML first 5 innings -140   5U MAX BANG
Astros -155    5U MAX BANG

10/18  UPDATE
NFL
Kirk Receptions over 3.5 5U MAX
Kirk   yards over 51 yards 3U
Prop of the night
Game over 4.5 sacks    5U MAX

MLB
Astros -1   -140 MAX 5U

NBA
76ers first half TT over 59.5    1U

Shatterday
Chelsea ML   3U
Hoffenheim at Nurnberg
Over 3 5U MAX 5U
RB Leipzig at Augsburg
Over 2.5  MAX 5U
Bournemouth/ Southampton
over 2.5 2U

UPDATE   10:42 AM CST
Virginia +7    2U
Hawaii -3    2U
Auburn -4  (seeing 4.5 some places get to 4)   5U

UPDATED 10:55 CST
Liverpool   Salah scores anytime 5U
UPDATE
Peru Soccer
Garcilaso game Over 3  MAX 5U

NBA
Rockets -2.5 3U MAX
Update   6:23 PM CST
NCAA
Utah -7   5U MAX

SNF
KC -6    5U BOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
KC TT Over 31 -127   5U typo it was a 5*  grade it 3 or 5 same to me. Just look at the 5 key its %
KC TT First half Over 16  3U
Watkins Over 3,5 receptions   5U MAX
Kelce TD 3U MAX
Mahomes Rush TD 1U +380

UPDATED
KC ML 3rd Q  (no spread)  MAX 5U -137
KC TT over 14  2nd half MAX 5U
KC scores next -180  1U

Monday 10/22 UPDATE  CST 1:30 PM CST
England
Arsenal/Lei City
Over 3      3U MAX

UPDATE    10/23 1:10 PM   CST
Ajax game over 2.5 3U MAX
Peoples Parlay   1u
Ajax game over 2.5
Lyon game over 3
Juventus pk draw no bet
Parlay #2   1U
Manchester City game Over 3
Ajax game over 2.5
Roma ML
Juventus TT over 1
Parlay #3   1U
Roma ML
Juventus TT over 1
Lyon game Over 3
Off the wall parlay Risk .5 U
Ajax draw +300
Lyon game over 3
HALFTIME   2:54 CST
Manchester City game over 3.5  5U MAX

NEW PLAYS

Wednesday  10/24
Champions League is back!

Red Star vs Liverpool
1st Half over 1.5   5U MAX   winner

 

Brugge vs Monaco

Over 2.5   -130 1u  LOSS

Dortmund/ Atl  -125  BTTS  3U MAX  LOSS

Tottenham BTTS and over 2.5   5U MAX  winner 

BTTS  2U   winner

Over 3   2U winner

Live over PSG 3-3.5   5U  winner

 

Parlay #1     1U  lose

Monaco Over 2.5

Dort/Atl    BTTS

PSG Over 3

 

UPDATE  10/25  11:22 am   CST

Europa

Leipz/ Celtic

Over 3    5U MAX BOMB

 

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz Twitter.

Be sure to check out my show MoneyLine with Josh Jordan on ESPN 97.5. We’re on every Sunday from 10-noon, and we’ll talk a lot of fantasy football and NFL gambling. Also, be sure to follow us @Moneyline975 on Twitter.

 

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Have the Astros turned a corner? Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images.

After finishing up with the Guardians the Astros have a rather important series for early May with the Seattle Mariners heading to town for the weekend. While it’s still too early to be an absolute must-win series for the Astros, losing the series to drop seven or nine games off the division lead would make successfully defending their American League West title that much more unlikely.

Since their own stumble out of the gate to a 6-10 record the Mariners have been racking up series wins, including one this week over the Atlanta Braves. The M’s offense is largely Mmm Mmm Bad, but their pitching is sensational. In 18 games after a 4-8 start, the Mariners gave up five runs in a game once. In the other 17 games they only gave up four runs once. Over the 18 games their starting pitchers gave up 18 earned runs total with a 1.44 earned run average. That’s absurd. Coming into the season Seattle’s starting rotation was clearly better on paper than those of the Astros and Texas Rangers, and it has crystal clearly played out as such into the second month of the schedule.

While it’s natural to focus on and fret over one’s own team's woes when they are plentiful as they have been for the Astros, a reminder that not all grass is greener elsewhere. Alex Bregman has been awful so far. So has young Mariners’ superstar Julio Rodriguez (though not Breggy Bad). A meager four extra base hits over his first 30 games were all Julio produced down at the ballyard. That the Mariners are well ahead of the Astros with J-Rod significantly underperforming is good news for Seattle.

Caratini comes through!

So it turns out the Astros are allowed to have a Puerto Rican-born catcher who can hit a little bit. Victor Caratini’s pedigree is not that of a quality offensive player, but he has swung the bat well thus far in his limited playing time and provided the most exciting moment of the Astros’ season with his two-out two-run 10th inning game winning home run Tuesday night. I grant that one could certainly say “Hey! Ronel Blanco finishing off his no-hitter has been the most exciting moment.” I opt for the suddenness of Caratini’s blow turning near defeat into instant victory for a team that has been lousy overall to this point. Frittering away a game the Astros had led 8-3 would have been another blow. Instead, to the Victor belong the spoils.

Pudge Rodriguez is the greatest native Puerto Rican catcher, but he was no longer a good hitter when with the Astros for the majority of the 2009 season. Then there’s Martin Maldonado.

Maldonado’s hitting stats with the Astros look Mike Piazza-ian compared to what Jose Abreu was doing this season. Finally, mercifully for all, Abreu is off the roster as he accepts a stint at rookie-level ball in Florida to see if he can perform baseball-CPR on his swing and career. Until or unless he proves otherwise, Abreu is washed up and at some point the Astros will have to accept it and swallow whatever is left on his contract that runs through next season. For now Abreu makes over $120,000 per game to not be on the roster. At his level of performance, that’s a better deal than paying him that money to be on the roster.

Abreu’s seven hits in 71 at bats for an .099 batting average with a .269 OPS is a humiliating stat line. In 2018 George Springer went to sleep the night of June 13 batting .293 after going hitless in his last four at bats in a 13-5 Astros’ win over Oakland. At the time no one could have ever envisioned that Springer had started a deep, deep funk which would have him endure a nightmarish six for 78 stretch at the plate (.077 batting average). Springer then hit .293 the rest of the season.

Abreu’s exile opened the door for Joey Loperfido to begin his Major League career. Very cool for Loperfido to smack a two-run single in his first game. He also struck out twice. Loperfido will amass whiffs by the bushel, he had 37 strikeouts in 101 at bats at AAA Sugar Land. Still, if he can hit .225 with some walks mixed in (he drew 16 with the Space Cowboys) and deliver some of his obvious power (13 homers in 25 games for the ex-Skeeters) that’s an upgrade over Abreu/Jon Singleton, as well as over Jake Meyers and the awful showing Chas McCormick has posted so far. Frankly, it seems unwise that the Astros only had Loperfido play seven games at first base in the minors this year. If McCormick doesn’t pick it up soon and with Meyers displaying limited offensive upside, the next guy worth a call-up is outfielder Pedro Leon. In January 2021 the Astros gave Leon four million dollars to sign out of Cuba and called him a “rapid mover to the Major Leagues.” Well…

Over his first three minor league seasons Leon flashed tools but definitely underwhelmed. He has been substantially better so far this year. He turns 26 May 28. Just maybe the Astros offense could be the cause of fewer Ls with Loperfido at first and Leon in center field.

Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via YouTube: stone cold stros - YouTube with the complete audio available via Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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