Gambling Guide

Bookie Busters: The grind

Photo by Brett Hemmings/Getty Images

If anyone ever tells you this game is easy, run the other way. It's a grind, and you probably heard that term used in gambling a few times by now.

But why grind?

You literally have to grind out wins and profits in this game. Take some, lose some, pick more spots, rinse and repeat. We've had our runs that got us over 300+ units for 2018. The weekend punched us, but we turned right around and started another streak.

Let's keep pushing towards a goal. This year is just getting started, Set a goal and reach it.

Previous Plays
NBA
Mavs vs Wolves

Over 222.5 1U +1

England

Leeds vs Derby

Over 2.5 -9

P.Mahomes rushing yards over 16½ 2U -2.4

T.Kelce pass receptions over 6½ Kidney +8

yards over 88.5 3U +3

Cowboys +4.5 -5.5U
Cowboys +8.5 8U MAX +8
TT over 3rd 3U +3
1 unit 10 Point Teaser -1

Colts +14.5

Cowboys+17

Under 59

Parlay 1U -1

Colts ML

Dallas+7

Under 50

Chargers+4

Saints TT over 30.5

Colts +4.5 3U -3.6

ML 3U -3

Zeke Rush TD 5U MAX +5

Gurley over 4 receptions 5U MAX -6

Man U vs Tottenham Over 2,5 8U MAX -9.5

BTTS and over 2.5 8 U MAX -8.8

Saints first Q TT over 6.5 5U MAX -6.5

Saints TT first half over 14.5 8U MAX -8.8

Saints Game TT over 30.5 8U MAX -8.8

Brees over 2 pass TD 10U MAX Prop of the season PUSH
Saints -2.5 8
Saints -2.5 +3
Pats -27.5 2U -2.2
Pats TT first half over +2
Game over 63.5 5U +5
Chargers-2.4
Man City first half -1 2U +2

KANSAS TT over 80.5 5U MAX -5.6
Texas vs. Kansas 2nd half over 75 2U +2
Australia

BRISBANE ROAR FC VS MELBOURNE VICTORY Over 3 3U MAX +3.2

Melbourne TT over 1.5 5U MAX +5

Melbourne 1U +1.2

Arkansas/Tenn

Over 150 3U +3

Buffalo -14 2U -2.2

TT over 86 2U +2

-29.9

The last article read +33.2U -29.9= +3.3

This doesn't include a lot of my wins from live bets as its hard to be on the same page. All those plays graded on my page on Twitter.

New Plays
England
Derby at Southampton
Over 2.5 1U


UPDATE 10:54 CST

Juventus -1 3U

UPDATE 11:15 CST

Juventus TT over 1.5 3U


UPDATE

Ronaldo Goal 1U


Update 133 CST

France

Saint Etienne vs Marseille

St E TT over 1.5 +115 2U

St E ML draw no bet 5U MAX

Over 2.5 1U

UPDATE

Saint Etienne +1 5U MAX


UPDATE

NCAA Hoops

Houston PK 3U


UPDATE 745 CST

NCAA Washington -9 -120 ( 9.5 Buy the hook) 3U T

eam total over 75 3U

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz Twitter.

Be sure to check out my show MoneyLine with Josh Jordan on ESPN 97.5. We're on every Sunday from 10-noon, and we'll talk a lot of fantasy football and NFL gambling. Also, be sure to follow us @Moneyline975on Twitter.

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The Texans host the Steelers at NRG this Sunday. Composite Getty Image.

What: Texans vs. Steelers

When: 10/1 12pm CST kickoff

Where: Houston, TX NRG Stadium

TV/Radio: KHOU-TV, KILT-Radio

Betting Lines: Steelers -2.5 (-120), O/U 42 (-110) *As of this writing

The Watt Brother Bowl takes place on Sunday. I'm calling it that because the Texans are honoring their all-time great J.J. while they're playing his younger brother and current hell raising edge rusher for the Steelers T.J. The Steelers have won four of the last five matchups vs. the Texans by an average score of 28-17. The biggest difference is that the Steelers have a second year starter at quarterback in Kenny Pickett, and the Texans have a rookie in C.J. Stroud. When you look at the two quarterbacks, both organizations have full faith in each guy. Both teams have tried to build a defense to help their young signal callers. Both are still trying to surround their franchise guys with weapons.

When the Steelers have the ball: Here's a game where Will Anderson Jr can make headway as a proven EDGE. Stacking consistent performances together and helping your team win games by making winning plays. It helps that Pickett has tiny hands. This was a knock on him during draft season last year. Hand size for a quarterback impacts grip. That can not only impact accuracy, but it could make it easier to strip the ball from him.

While he doesn't have the weapons to torch this defense, Pickett does hand the ball off to Najee Harris who's more than capable. Averaging only 67 yards rushing as a team can't be taken lightly. Denzel Perryman is expected to miss the game Sunday, so hopefully that won't help jumpstart the Steelers' run game. The Texans defense will have to key in on the run, given that they average giving up 117 a game on the ground. Those aforementioned weapons may not be scary, but the injuries to the defensive backs has hurt. Tavierre Thomas is expected to miss the game recovering from hand surgery. Jimmie Ward coming back last week showed what happens when they have a top safety back there, especially when the pass rush is turning up. Hopefully, the Texans can capitalize again this week, with safety Jalen Pitre expected to return to action.

When the Texans have the ball: Good luck stopping Tank Dell and Stroud! These guys have already established themselves as a formidable duo three games into their careers. A great way to get that connection going is to pound the rock. The Steelers are giving up over 150 yards on the ground per game so far this season. That's also a good way to keep T.J. at bay while J.J. watches. With Laremy Tunsil and Josh Jones both expected to miss the game, here are the offensive line starters: Austin Deculus, Kendrick Green, Jarrett Patterson, Shaq Mason, and George Fant.

Making the younger Watt brother slow down a bit instead of going balls to the wall after Stroud because a run could be coming will help the pass game tremendously. Stroud will have to continue to make quick decisions, but even quicker this game. I wouldn't be surprised to see his first pick of his career here, given the pressure he's most likely to be under. Especially when your offensive line starters were mostly all backups to begin this season.

Outcome: I failed to place a money line bet on the Texans last week because the game started and the live bet wasn't as profitable. I wanted to take a chance on them given their recent record against the Jags. Looking at their last five vs. the Steelers, one would say why make that bet this week? It's because I believe in Stroud more than I believe in Pickett. While T.J. Watt is a different kind of monster, Will Anderson Jr is on his way to becoming something special. Texans win/cover, and hit the over, but barely: Texans 24, Steelers 20.

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