THE GOLF GUIDE

El Niño in Singapore; Don Juan Rahm; Fleetwood not Mac; and Tiger Watch: 2018. It’s your weekly golf report

El Niño in Singapore; Don Juan Rahm; Fleetwood not Mac; and Tiger Watch: 2018. It’s your weekly golf report
John Rahm could be a force this year. PGATour.com

El Niño in Singapore

There were quite a few tournaments going on this weekend in the world of golf, with Spain prevailing in two of them. First was the newly acquired Callaway golfer, Sergio Garcia. In his first tournament of 2018 (and playing the newly minted Callaway Rogue driver), Sergio produced a win at the Singapore Open. Now, before you go off and put all your money on the fiery Spaniard; the Singapore Open is an Asian Tour event. That’s not to say the win means nothing, but most of the big players were playing elsewhere in the world. That being said, it’s still a great start for the defending Masters champion. He played well in tough scoring conditions; and despite his past issues, putted well. To be hoisting any world trophy is a good thing.

Don Juan Rahm

The more impressive win this weekend was the young Spaniard John Rahm’s win at the CareerBuilder Challenge. The tournament format was a touch different than most, with it being a Pro-Am style event. The event was played on three different courses, with the cut coming on Saturday instead of the normal Friday cut. Rahm opened up with a career-best 62 on the La Quinta course (notably the easiest of the three.) This situated him very well to enter Sunday’s final round at the Stadium Course only two shots off the lead, and in the penultimate group. He shot a closing round 67 to gain the lead at 22-under. Andrew Landry started Sunday with the lead, but came to the last hole needing birdie to force a playoff with Rahm. Landry converted birdie on the 72nd hole, but Rahm prevailed on the fourth playoff hole as Landry failed to convert his 11-foot birdie putt. With his second career win on the PGA Tour, Rahm vaulted himself up to #2 on the OWGR, passing the likes of Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. He will go into the coming tournament, The Farmers Insurance Open, as the defending champ; and will have a chance to take over as No. 1 in the world with a win. Many in the golfing world (including the very knowledgeable Joel Blank), are predicting a very big year for Rahm. He is playing well to start and looks poised for a big season. He will definitely be a favorite at each tournament he enters. 

Fleetwood keeps his “Dreams” alive

The other big tournament this past week was on the other side of the planet in Abu Dhabi. This European Tour event is a popular one with players. Quite a few big names teed it up, including Dustin Johnson, Henrik Stenson, and Rory McIlroy. However, the one to lift the trophy at the end of the week was Tommy Fleetwood. He’s an Englishman, with a few credentials in the States; but a staple on the European Tour and reigning Race to Dubai champion. He entered the back nine on Sunday a full five shots behind the leader. That’s when he decided to turn on the afterburners. A closing-nine 30 saw Fleetwood successfully defend his title. The other positive to come out of Abu Dhabi was the performance of Rory McIlroy. He entered Sunday contending for the lead, but a wayward day off the tee box en route to a final round 70 landed him at 18-under for a T3 finish. The poor Sunday aside, Rory showed flashes of his brilliance all week. In his first event back from a long layoff (due to injury and self-admitted poor play), he shined brightly with plenty of great golf shots. Rory will garner a lot of attention this year as he is a perennial favorite at every tournament.

Tiger Watch: 2018

It’s officially upon us ladies and gentlemen. The week has arrived where we will get to see a fully healthy Tiger Woods back in action. What should we expect from Tiger? Will he win again? Let’s start with the expectations. I don’t think anyone inside the ropes expects Tiger to compete for a win (except maybe Tiger.) However, his performance is important. Not only to the fans at the Farmers, but also for the golfing world as a whole. Tiger has always stood by his statement that he would not tee it up in a tournament if he didn’t feel like he had a chance to win. There’s no reason to expect he has wavered in that stance. Meaning, as long as he is playing well, we will get to see more Tiger playing golf. Like I’ve said before, that is better for everyone. However, let’s temper our expectations a bit right out of the gate. He hasn’t played in a sanctioned PGA Tour event since the Farmers Insurance Open this time last year. He failed to make the cut at that tournament and later withdrew (citing injury) from his next outing. I think it’s safe to say that Tiger is the healthiest he has been since 2013 when he won five times. He was swinging well and athletically in the Bahamas at the Hero World Challenge (his own tournament), where he finished ninth in a field of eighteen. It’s probably smart not to expect him to contend. Torrey Pines is a big course that requires length and precision. His short game is still in question, and has looked “hurky-jerky” at times. That could prove to be his undoing this week. Needless to say, Tiger knows his way around Torrey Pines very well, having won there an amazing eight times as a professional. I expect him to make the cut, and land somewhere in the top 40. However, you can guarantee that if he is anywhere near the first page of the leaderboard, it will be a circus of “what-ifs” the entire weekend. He will have to contend with the defending champ (and most recent winner) John Rahm, as well as Phil Mickelson, Jason Day and Rickie Fowler. Come Monday, we will all know a little more about his game, and so will he. The difference this year, he will be evaluating his play without the aid of a swing coach for the first time in his career. Tiger knows plenty about his golf swing, but sometimes analyzing yourself is tough. Trust me, I occasionally evaluate my swing only to be shocked I put the ball anywhere near the green. Self-instruction aside, this weekend will be a good measuring stick for Tiger. I know I’m rooting for him to play well, and hopefully reclaim some of that Tiger magic.

 

 

 

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We've been waiting for this! Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images.

The NFL Draft, NBA playoffs, and NHL playoffs all dwarf baseball in the sports pecking order this week, but that doesn’t detract from the Astros playing their best stretch of baseball in the still young season. Following up taking two of three from the previously sizzling hot Padres by sweeping the Blue Jays three straight has the Astros’ record at a just fine 13-11 as they open a three-game weekend series in Kansas City. 13-11 may not sound special, because it isn’t, but having come home from St. Louis last week with the record at 8-10 makes 13-11 a quality leap. Plus, a 13-11 pace over 162 games extrapolates to 87 wins, which last season were enough to win the American League West and for an AL Wild Card spot.

Batter up!

While no one will be confusing the potency of this Astros’ lineup with those of the 2017 or 2019 juggernauts, some welcome perking up may have kicked in, despite Yordan Alvarez still not getting rolling. After Joe Espada gave Christian Walker a “mental rest” game off Monday, Walker produced a three-hit game Tuesday and a two-hit follow-up Wednesday, including a home run. Walker’s .202 batting average and .640 OPS are still lousy, but a much lesser grade of lousy than the statistical abyss he was in starting the Toronto series. Yainer Diaz has been much worse than Walker to this point. Diaz managed at least one hit in all three games of the Jays series. Baby steps. He is still sitting on an unacceptable three walks in 78 plate appearances.

Speaking of hits and walks, Jeremy Pena carries a 14-game hitting streak into the weekend. One-quarter of the way to Joe DiMaggio’s big league record! Willy Taveras set the Astros’ record with a 30-gamer back in 2006. Pena hasn’t been crushing it during the streak, during which he has just two multi-hit games. He’s had stretches where he has hit better and slugged harder (2022 postseason anyone?), but while too small a stretch to declare a leap has been made, it is noteworthy that over the 14 games Pena has drawn six walks. That gives him eight free passes in 24 games this season. More math fun! That’s one walk drawn per three games, which over 162 games would make for 54. Last season in 157 games played Pena drew a paltry 25 walks. Add in that his defense has been superb so far this season with a number of fabulous plays made and just one error committed, and Pena could be making modest offensive improvement that makes him a meaningfully better player.

Furthermore speaking of hits and walks, it’s been a struggle on both fronts the last couple of weeks for Jose Altuve. A two-week funk does not represent a crisis, but there are troubling trends that bear watching as Altuve sets to turn 35 years old May 6. Over his last 14 games, Altuve’s OPS is a sub-Maldonadian .547. In this stretch he has two doubles as his lone extra base hits and drawn just two walks. Altuve has struck out 22 times in 24 games. Setting aside the short 2020 COVID season when Altuve never got it going, last year he had the worst strikeout percentage of his career, while his walk rate was his worst since 2015. So far this season, Altuve’s strikeout rate is more than 20 percent worse than last year’s, with his walk rate down 30 percent from 2024. He is hitting line drives at a much lower rate than ever before, and struggling to get the ball in the air. The season still isn’t 20 percent old, but since Altuve last season finished with his lowest OPS (.790, again, exempting 2020) since 2013, and his current .728 OPS is 62 points lower than that, the antennae of at least mild concern are up. This is the first season of Altuve’s five-year 125 million dollar contract extension. Remember, the Astros would not offer Kyle Tucker a contract that took him to age 35.

Bringing the heat!

Hunter Brown makes his next start Sunday in Kansas City. Good luck Royals! Until getting a doubleheader against the pathetic Rockies Thursday, K.C. was averaging under three runs per game. Brown's earned run average through five starts is 1.16! It's waaaaay early to focus on this, but the best season ERA for an Astro pitcher who qualified for the statistical lead (one inning pitched per team game played) belongs to Nolan Ryan who posted a 1.69 in the strike-shortened 1981 season. Over a full-schedule season, Justin Verlander's 1.75 in 2022 is the standard. Brown has fired 24 consecutive shutout innings. Ryan Pressly holds the Astros’ record with 38 consecutive scoreless innings pitched. Orel Hershiser set the Major League record by finishing the 1988 regular season with a ridiculous 59 straight shutout innings. Yes he won the National League Cy Young Award. The Cy Young is strictly a regular season award. Hershiser in 1988 also won the League Championship Series Most Valuable Player Award, and World Series MVP.

For Astro-centric conversation, join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday.

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