Fred Faour's analysis

Free plays for the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby

Game Winner. Getty Images.

Saturday will be the Kentucky Derby, and we are hoping to get back on track with our plays this year. If you want a look at every horse, please read this. For my premium plays, please go to pregame.com. That will give you precise trifecta and exacta plays.

The scratch of favorite Omaha Beach does hurt our plays a little, because it means Game Winner will likely be the favorite. We were hoping to get the 5-1 morning line, but that will not be the case now. Here are three plays I will be making on the Derby and Friday's Kentucky Oaks:

1) Kentucky Oaks

I like three horses here, the 1, 4 and 14. The 4 will be a heavy favorite and looks tough. I will do an exacta box with these three horses, and also play the 14 in weighted win/place/show bets (more to place and show than to win). So depending on your bankroll, a minimum play would be $2 to win, $4 to place and $8. Whatever your base win bet is, double it to place and then double again to show.

2) The Derby

I have it narrowed down to Tacitus and Game Winner to be first or second. So you can key them first and second in the exactas and tris with the logical contenders, but throw in long shots War of Will and Win Win Win. I also believe Tacitus is worth a win/place/show bet. My specific plays are on pregame,

Game Winner has been second in both starts this year after being 2-year-old champ. In his first start, he just missed against Omaha Beach despite a wide trip, coming off a layoff and losing training time because of the issues with the Santa Anita surface. In his second start, his stablemate Roadster needed a win to guarantee a spot in the Derby. Game Winner ran second to Roadster. Conspiracy theories aside, he will be 100 percent cranked up for this and we should see his best effort yet.

Tacitus has not faced the top 3 year olds, but he is bred out the ears to get a mile and a quarter, and his two starts this year were solid. He grinned out a win on the rail in the Tampa Bay Derby, then overcame tons of trouble to win the Wood Memorial. Traffic happens in the Derby, and the fact that he has already overcome it is a good thing.

Other legit contenders include Roadster, Maximum Security, Improbable. Potential long shots include War of Will and Win Win Win.

3) The pick 4

We will be playing a pick four, starting with the ninth race. It will be a .50 cent ticket. The horses to use: 1-9-10-12 with 4-10 with 2-6-9-12 with 5-7-8-16-17.

Good luck with all your wagers. Hopefully we will all be cashing tickets.


Here are my selections for Saturday. These are not meant to be in exact order, but merely the four horses I think have the best chance to win. For beginners, I suggest exacta boxes with three horses, using two of mine and one of your own. And you can always pick up a copy of Acing Racing 2016 to learn everything you need to know. (These are the picks and format that are available on the free tip sheet at SHRP). And that's a wrap for the 2019 racing season at SHRP. Hope you enjoyed it!

FIRST

1-5-2-7
MONA LISA TLC has been solid in both efforts


SECOND
7-4-8-5
RELEVANT JESS has been knocking on the door and might break through


THIRD
5-7-4-6
CORONITA DEL CAPO is worth a flyer at a decent price


FOURTH
5-8-9-2
MIGHT CORONA JR. has been very sharp in last two and looks tough


FIFTH
3-2-4-5
BE ZOOMIN FIRST could surprise at a decent price


SIXTH
2-9-10-6
JESS FIRE AND ICE might improve in this spot


SEVENTH
6-10-9-8
BULLET is bred to win early and works are solid


EIGHTH
6-10-2-9
BE A FREIGHT TRAIN improved in last and more of that could win this


NINTH
4-8-7-1
STONE COLD LEADER is a win machine and will be tough here


TENTH
8-7-4-2
GBH STREAKINFORGIRLS looks to break through in the last race of the meet

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