The week in wagering

Gambling review: Come rain, come snow or hail: The game must go on

Jadeveon Clowney and the Texans covered the spread. Photo by Michelle Watson/Catchlight Group

Play, Action or Pass Week 8 went 3-4 and is 7-5-1 on the year.

Bengals-9.5 LOSS

Saints-9 LOSS

Cowboys/Redskins over 48  WIN

Seahawks -5.5   Loss

Steelers-2.5   WIN

Panthers +3 (hook) WIN

Teaser of the Week

Saints-3/Waskington+8   LOSS

Favorites went 12-1 Straight up and 8-5 ATS. In three of our loses we had the winning team, they just didn't get to the number. The one that leaves you with the worse heartburn has to be the Saints game. New Orleans controlled the game but two fourth quarter fumbles by Mark Ingram turned the momentum and opened us up for a backdoor cover. In a game where he was playing well, Ingram was on the bench for the closing moments being punished for nearly giving the up the game and also killing all the Saints backers. This game opened at 8.5-9 and was hit early by pro bettors, sending it back down to 7.5. The game ended 20-12: middling the opening and closing numbers.

From the cashiers window

Most bet Teams:

Eagles 78%

Saints 77%

Steelers 73%

Panthers 73%

Falcons 72%

In the Day slate, favorites dominated going 9-1 straight up. This was big for the public that was betting money line parlays and teasers using the favorites. With The NFL matinee siding with the bettors, money came pouring in late for the Sunday night matchup in Detriot driving the Steelers to -3 (-125). The Steelers covered the spread winning 20-15, giving the books a futile day.

Largest Favorite to cover  Eagles -13:

The Eagles are quickly becoming one of the league's best teams and gamblers agree. With a double-digit spread in wet conditions and a somewhat low closing total of 44, taking the points is usually the smart move. The Eagles have been flying at Lincoln Financial Field; where they are now 4-0 straight up, and 3-1 ATS a and have covered the last five overall. The Eagles look great, and this has a lot to do with Carson Wentz developing into a leader so quickly, leading the Eagles to 6-2 ATS.

This week the only underdog to win outright was the Panthers+1 (+105) defeating the Buccaneers 17-3.


In Week 8  the over/under went 8-5.

Cowboys/Redskins O/U 48 closed 46.5:

Over Bettors rejoiced, as they were gifted a late defensive score to push the total over the closing number of 46.5. The total opened up at 48. but as game day approached and weather reports confirmed a forecast of heavy rain for the second half of the game, the under was pounded pregame, bringing the total down.

Rain also played a factor in the Falcons vs. Jets matchup. Metlife Stadium was hammered with rain, and the gameplay was somewhat affected. The ball was so wet that quarterback Matt Ryan was running around with a towel under his jersey. Atlanta failed to cover the closing number of 5.5 winning the game 25-20. The game had a total of 43 and went over despite the conditions.

Weather and totals:

Both of these games were affected by substantial rainfall, but both went over the total. Games calling for heavy precipitation usually drives the total down because of what is perceived from the public and recreational bettors.  Yes, ideally a game is the lower 80's with clear skies is fancied, but don't overreact to a wet forecast. It's easier for an offensive player to get to a spot in the rain knowing where he is going, opposed to a defender backpedaling guessing what direction the opponent is going.

When speaking of the elements,  wind is the factor to watch out for. Winds crossing the 15 mph will affect a game and total drastically.  A strong wind calls for a playbook to be deprived of the deep ball. With heavy winds, you ordinarily tend to see Coaches turn to a running game and a short pass game of underneath passes. These factors result in the clock to keep running and the game to be shortened giving the under extreme value. On Sunday, the Panthers Vs. Bucs game had winds in the 20's. The home team was unable to get anything going with Jameis Winston underthrowing multiple deep balls. His leading receiver Sunday? The tight end with four receptions. The game ended 17-3 with a total that closed at 46.

Regarding temperature, the colder the game usually, the lower you see totals. This is because it's more difficult to pass and catch in frigid temperatures but easier to run. Again, resulting in the clock running. When playing unders, the clock running is exactly what you want to see.

Super Bowl odds

NE 5-1

Pit, Phi 7-1

Sea 9-1

KC 10-1

Min, NO 18-1

Dal 20-1

LAR, Atl 25-1

Jax, Car, Hou 40-1

Ten 50-1

Den, GB 60-1

Buf 65-1

For any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter.

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Rockets blast Thunder in home opener, 124-91

Rockets take care of business in home opener. Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images.

The Houston Rockets had an impressive outing versus the Oklahoma City Thunder after an embarrassing loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves Wednesday night. They took care of business at home on Friday night, which was a surprising blowout. The Rockets didn't have to worry about Karl-Anthony Towns screaming at Alperen Sengun or Anthony Edwards telling Coach Silas to call a timeout. Instead, they took their frustrations out on the Thunder (another younger core).

"We responded and bounced back from that game 1," Silas said. "I wouldn't say it was taking anything out. It was just learning and applying to what you learn and that's going to be us this year. Applying to what you learn and getting better and having some games like we had the other day. Veteran teams have some games when they don't play as well they want."

Christian Wood led the way, as he controlled the paint on all aspects with rebounding and putbacks. He played an incredible game after having a poor performance versus the Timberwolves. Silas showed complete trust in allowing Wood to open sets, as he walked the ball down the court several times, and in transition too. Wood became aggressive on the perimeter with open shooting and tough shots, and long strides towards the rim. He finished the night with 31 points and 13 rebounds off 66 percent shooting from the field.

The young core for the Thunder had a tough night defending Wood from every aspect. Hopefully, he keeps this play up. Silas loved the space that was created throughout the game for Wood, which included the help from Eric Gordon, as he continued to play better. Wood continues to develop underneath the Silas umbrella. He had a great feel for off-the-dribble shooting a few times. Wood becomes more dangerous when space is created on the court.

"It allows me to show what I can do. It allows the floor to be open and I can create for other guys and create for myself," Wood said.

As Gordon continues to impress, his teammate Kevin Porter Jr was amazed with his performance.

Gordon looked marvelous inside and outside of the paint, as it looked like a time ripple. The younger guards of the Thunder had a tough time staying in front of Gordon. His size and strength gave the Thunder a huge problem. Gordon is shooting the ball better too, as he is shooting the three-ball at 70 percent this season. Although it's a small sample size, Gordon is trying to overcome his shooting struggles from last year. Gordon finished with 22 points on 66 percent shooting versus the Thunder.

"EG is the biggest part of this squad," Porter said. He comes in and just scores. We need somebody off the bench to do that. He is our guy when me and J come out, it's EG time and he knows that, and comes in aggressive. So much energy on the bench, and we need that every night from him if we want a chance to win."

As I recently mentioned Porter, his facilitation did look better versus the Thunder than the Timberwolves. Porter had nine turnovers in his first game but managed to have two Friday night. He made great slip passes and found open teammates in the open corner. Porter forced a good number of passes versus the Timberwolves but looked more relaxed Friday night. The hardest position in the NBA is the point guard position, but Silas will not allow Porter to fail. Instead of nine turnovers, Porter dished out nine assists. Silas said:

"Bounce back right, going from nine turnovers to nine assists… I think he had two turnovers tonight, which is great. He is making plays for his teammates, and he was really focused."

Porter's shiftiness and creative ability allowed his teammates to get open looks near the rim. He had 18 points because of his step-back threes and first step going towards the basket. Thankfully, Porter is a great ball handler, which confuses defenders on different spots on the court. It's almost like watching a ballerina skate on ice in the Olympics. Hopefully, his confidence continues to get better throughout the year. Porter shot the three-ball at 50 percent tonight. Efficiency is key for Porter this year.

"I'm just trying to let the game slow down," Porter said. "I had a lot of turnovers last game and I just wanted to piggyback and learn from them and learn from some of my forced passes and reads. And sometimes I still force it a little bit. My guys hate that, and sometimes I'm still passive and I'm working on that. When to pass and score and bounce it out, and tonight I felt like I did a good job of that."

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