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How Astros' bold offseason strategy is already giving off familiar vibes
Mar 5, 2025, 1:44 pm
Christian Walker's oblique injury appears to be lingering. Composite Getty Image.
Heading into Wednesday's Grapefruit League game, reports indicate that Astros first baseman Christian Walker has been scratched with left oblique soreness.
Worth noting that Christian Walker had a left oblique injury last season that kept him on the IL for more than a month https://t.co/13IZ7P6Dtd
— Chandler Rome (@Chandler_Rome) March 5, 2025
As Chandler Rome mentions in the post above, Walker missed the entire month of August in 2024 with a left oblique injury. He only hit .231 for the remainder of the season after recovering from the injury.
Walker was off to a hot start this spring, hitting .500 with 3 doubles in 8 at-bats. Hopefully this is just a precautionary move, and he'll be back in the lineup shortly.
However, these are the types of risks owner Jim Crane likes to take. Only willing to commit big money on short-term deals to aging players. Walker will be 34 years old at the end of March. He signed a 3-year, $60 million contract with Houston this offseason.
The reality is, sometimes these moves work, and sometimes they don't. Older players are more likely to have their production falloff and deal with injuries. Michael Brantley is a prime example of getting good value from an older player on a short contract. His 2-year deal for $32 million with the Astros for the 2019 and 2020 seasons turned out to be a solid move. He played the 2019 and 2020 seasons at 32 and 33 years old, respectively. His contracts with the 'Stros following that original deal did not work out nearly as well, with injuries keeping him out of the lineup regularly.
Justin Verlander is another example of Crane's willingness to roll the dice on aging players. Verlander joined the Astros during his age 34 season. Houston saw a wide range of results with Verlander. He won two Cy Young awards and two championships with the club, but also missed significant time due to injury, and struggled to get batter outs when healthy in 2024. Verlander was left off the postseason roster in his final year in Houston.
And we can't help but mention the Jose Abreu contract as a cautionary tale. Especially since the terms of his deal and his age are similar to Walker's.
But clearly, Crane was more comfortable making the cheaper 3-year deal with Walker over extending Kyle Tucker or paying Alex Bregman market value. Had the Astros kept one of those two players, they likely would have felt better about keeping Jon Singleton at first base and passing on Walker.
Only time will tell if the Astros made the right decisions. The trade haul for Kyle Tucker looks terrific so far, but we all know it's not wise to put too much stock in spring training games.
It's also worth noting, both Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez missed time in 2023 dealing with oblique injuries.
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As the Astros gear up for the season, several key questions loom over the team, from depth concerns at first base to emerging leadership roles and long-term positional shifts.
Can the Astros withstand a Christian Walker injury?
Houston made a big bet on soon-to-be 34-year-old Christian Walker as its everyday first baseman, but what happens if he misses time with his oblique injury? Jon Singleton, the primary backup, is in excellent shape but has struggled this spring, hitting just .118. Here's something to keep an eye on. Walker's injury could also create a platoon situation between Singleton and Victor Caratini. Either way, the Astros' depth at the position could be tested early, raising concerns about whether their strategy of signing aging stars could backfire again.
Hunter Brown taking on leadership role
Pitcher Hunter Brown is stepping into a leadership position this season, according to both Spencer Arrighetti and manager Joe Espada. With veterans like Justin Verlander no longer in the clubhouse, Brown's rise as a vocal presence signals a changing of the guard within the Astros’ rotation. Which could be an even bigger factor when Framber Valdez likely exits after the season with free agency looming. Plus, Arrighetti is working on a new secret pitch. Could it be a splitter?
Peña gets the green light to run
Jeremy Peña’s elite sprint speed (98th percentile) has long made him a stolen base threat, but he didn’t have the green light last year. That could be changing in 2025, as Espada appears to be giving Peña the freedom to run. The shortstop has set an ambitious goal of 50 stolen bases—and has a bet in place with first base coach Dave Clark based on that number. Espada, however, predicts a more conservative 30 steals.
Cam Smith’s position switch?
Cam Smith has been a standout at camp, earning praise from GM Dana Brown as the most exciting player to watch. However, with just five games of Double-A experience, counting on him at the big-league level seems premature. Adding to the intrigue, first base coach Dave Clark revealed that Smith has begun working in the outfield. This development, paired with the Astros’ reported interest in Nolan Arenado, suggests the team may view Smith as an outfielder long-term. Should Arenado have waived his no-trade clause, his contract would have blocked Smith at third base for at least three years, making a position switch logical for the young prospect.
Jake Meyers’ defense vs. offensives struggles
Jake Meyers’ bat remains a question mark, but his defense—particularly his range on balls to his glove side in the left-center gap—could be a crucial asset with Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez manning left field. Meyers has been named the starter in center field, so he's not going anywhere for the foreseeable future. It's no secret that center field is massive at Daikin Park, and the Astros have valued defense in that spot in recent years, going back to when Myles Straw roamed the outfield.
We have so much more to get to. Don't miss the video below as we cover the topics above and much, much more!
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