THE PALLILOG
H-Town's rooting interest shifting with Astros most-hated rivals in crosshairs
Jun 22, 2023, 1:17 pm
Up next, the Astros play the Dodgers on Friday. Photo by Getty Images.
Award nomination adds more proof Jose Altuve's vilification is unwarranted
The Astros’ longest home stand of the season was not a good one, but not good is better than miserable. Winning the last two games from the Mets made it four wins and five losses, and certainly makes for a happier off day after finishing a stretch of 26 games in 27 days with a 13-13 record. The Astros played a level of baseball not good enough to be a playoff team. Plenty of games remain to change that, including on their other nine game home stand, which comes up in a month. That one has the Rangers, Rays, and Guardians coming to town, so the Astros better be playing better when it rolls around. Presumably having Yordan Alvarez back in the lineup will help.
Wheels up
Now it’s on the road for 10 games starting with three in Los Angeles followed by three in St. Louis then four in Arlington. A great trip would be huge but can’t make the Astros’ season. A lousy trip could break it in terms of the American League West race. The Astros sit five and a half games back of the Rangers.
The Dodgers have been scuffling themselves and trail Arizona in the National League West. The Dodgers and Astros have been on parallel tracks. The Astros won June 3 to take their record to 35-23. Since then, 6-11. The Dodgers won on June 2 to take their record to 35-23. Since then, 6-10. The Dodgers’ bullpen has been a mess in recent weeks, so the Astros getting into it as early as possible takes on added importance this weekend. The Dodger organization is always cranking out starting pitching. In the first two games, uh oh, the Astros face pitchers they’ve never seen before. Friday it’s Emmet Sheehan who made his big league debut last weekend with six no-hit innings. Saturday it’s elite prospect Bobby Miller who the rampaging Giants roughed up in his last outing, but before that Miller gave up just two runs in 23 innings over his first four starts. Sunday, nasty-stuff Tony Gonsolin is the Astros’ challenge. The Astros have J.P. France, Ronel Blanco, and Hunter Brown lined up to pitch against a Dodger lineup that while top-heavy has four hitters in it (Freddie Freeman, Will Smith, Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez) having much better seasons than any Astro not named Yordan.
In a not common condition for them, the Cardinals stink. One of the best and proudest organizations in Major League Baseball history, a 93 win division champ last season, the Redbirds look like Deadbirds. At their current losing percentage the Cardinals are headed for their worst record since the year the Chicago White Sox threw the World Series. 1919! Other than strike-shortened seasons and the sixty game 2020 COVID sprint, the Cardinals last failed to win 70 games in 1978. Approaching the halfway mark of this season they are on pace for a feeble 66-96 finish. The Astros will catch them right after the Cards return from two games against the Cubs this weekend in London.
Much more on the Astros-Rangers series next week. Ahead of the Astros arriving at Globe Life Field the Rangers spend this weekend playing three at the Yankees, then are home for four versus the lowly Tigers. So, if a diehard Astros fan, do you choke down some bile and root hard for the Yankees against the Rangers? One might say it’s rooting against the Rangers and not for the Yankees. Semantics. If the Rangers ultimately are to be the AL West’s best this year, it actually would be better for the Astros if the Rangers were to whip up on the Yankees since the Astros could be battling with the Yanks (and Orioles, and Blue Jays, and Red Sox, and Angels, and Mariners) for a Wild Card berth.
On the bright side
The only silver lining to Yordan’s extended absence is it basically left Dusty Baker no choice but to play Yainer Diaz more. Diaz has started 10 of the last 11 games, batting .286 with two doubles and four home runs yielding a .914 OPS. He has work to do learning not to swing so much (a lousy three walks in 119 at bats) but the ball explodes off the man’s bat. Now if Dusty would only come to grips with the reality that Martin Maldonado being on pace to start 118 games at catcher is ridiculous. Maldonado is as ever a very poor offensive player. With obviously better lineup options for what has been an offensively-challenged team too often this season, playing him as often as Dusty does is now managerial dereliction of duty. Defensively, Maldonado’s movement behind the plate and throwing have obviously deteriorated. For all Maldy’s wisdom behind the plate, Astros’ pitchers still have a lower earned average this season in Diaz’s starts. Diaz should be catching at least half the games, with other starts at designated hitter and occasionally first base.
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It’s May 1, and the Astros are turning heads—but not for the reasons anyone expected. Their resurgence, driven not by stars like Yordan Alvarez or Christian Walker, but by a cast of less-heralded names, is writing a strange and telling early-season story.
Christian Walker, brought in to add middle-of-the-order thump, has yet to resemble the feared hitter he was in Arizona. Forget the narrative of a slow starter—he’s never looked like this in April. Through March and April of 2025, he’s slashing a worrying .196/.277/.355 with a .632 OPS. Compare that to the same stretch in 2024, when he posted a .283 average, .496 slug, and a robust .890 OPS, and it becomes clear: this is something more than rust. Even in 2023, his April numbers (.248/.714 OPS) looked steadier.
What’s more troubling than the overall dip is when it’s happening. Walker is faltering in the biggest moments. With runners in scoring position, he’s hitting just .143 over 33 plate appearances, including 15 strikeouts. The struggles get even more glaring with two outs—.125 average, .188 slugging, and a .451 OPS in 19 such plate appearances. In “late and close” situations, when the pressure’s highest, he’s practically disappeared: 1-for-18 with a .056 average and a .167 OPS.
His patience has waned (only 9 walks so far, compared to 20 by this time last year), and for now, his presence in the lineup feels more like a placeholder than a pillar.
The contrast couldn’t be clearer when you look at José Altuve—long the engine of this franchise—who, in 2024, delivered in the moments Walker is now missing. With two outs and runners in scoring position, Altuve hit .275 with an .888 OPS. In late and close situations, he thrived with a .314 average and .854 OPS. That kind of situational excellence is missing from this 2025 squad—but someone else may yet step into that role.
And yet—the Astros are winning. Not because of Walker, but in spite of him.
Houston’s offense, in general, hasn’t lit up the leaderboard. Their team OPS ranks 23rd (.667), their slugging 25th (.357), and they sit just 22nd in runs scored (117). They’re 26th in doubles, a rare place for a team built on gap-to-gap damage.
But where there’s been light, it hasn’t come from the usual spots. Jeremy Peña, often overshadowed in a lineup full of stars, now boasts the team’s highest OPS at .791 (Isaac Paredes is second in OPS) and is flourishing in his new role as the leadoff hitter. Peña’s balance of speed, contact, aggression, and timely power has given Houston a surprising tone-setter at the top.
Even more surprising: four Astros currently have more home runs than Yordan Alvarez.
And then there’s the pitching—Houston’s anchor. The rotation and bullpen have been elite, ranking 5th in ERA (3.23), 1st in WHIP (1.08), and 4th in batting average against (.212). In a season where offense is lagging and clutch hits are rare, the arms have made all the difference.
For now, it’s the unexpected contributors keeping Houston afloat. Peña’s emergence. A rock-solid pitching staff. Role players stepping up in quiet but crucial ways. They’re not dominating, but they’re grinding—and in a sluggish AL West, that may be enough.
Walker still has time to find his swing. He showed some signs of life against Toronto and Detroit. If he does, the Astros could become dangerous. If he doesn’t, the turnaround we’re witnessing will be credited to a new cast of unlikely faces. And maybe, that’s the story that needed to be written.
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