THE PALLILOG
H-Town's rooting interest shifting with Astros most-hated rivals in crosshairs
Jun 22, 2023, 1:17 pm
THE PALLILOG
The Astros’ longest home stand of the season was not a good one, but not good is better than miserable. Winning the last two games from the Mets made it four wins and five losses, and certainly makes for a happier off day after finishing a stretch of 26 games in 27 days with a 13-13 record. The Astros played a level of baseball not good enough to be a playoff team. Plenty of games remain to change that, including on their other nine game home stand, which comes up in a month. That one has the Rangers, Rays, and Guardians coming to town, so the Astros better be playing better when it rolls around. Presumably having Yordan Alvarez back in the lineup will help.
Wheels up
Now it’s on the road for 10 games starting with three in Los Angeles followed by three in St. Louis then four in Arlington. A great trip would be huge but can’t make the Astros’ season. A lousy trip could break it in terms of the American League West race. The Astros sit five and a half games back of the Rangers.
The Dodgers have been scuffling themselves and trail Arizona in the National League West. The Dodgers and Astros have been on parallel tracks. The Astros won June 3 to take their record to 35-23. Since then, 6-11. The Dodgers won on June 2 to take their record to 35-23. Since then, 6-10. The Dodgers’ bullpen has been a mess in recent weeks, so the Astros getting into it as early as possible takes on added importance this weekend. The Dodger organization is always cranking out starting pitching. In the first two games, uh oh, the Astros face pitchers they’ve never seen before. Friday it’s Emmet Sheehan who made his big league debut last weekend with six no-hit innings. Saturday it’s elite prospect Bobby Miller who the rampaging Giants roughed up in his last outing, but before that Miller gave up just two runs in 23 innings over his first four starts. Sunday, nasty-stuff Tony Gonsolin is the Astros’ challenge. The Astros have J.P. France, Ronel Blanco, and Hunter Brown lined up to pitch against a Dodger lineup that while top-heavy has four hitters in it (Freddie Freeman, Will Smith, Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez) having much better seasons than any Astro not named Yordan.
In a not common condition for them, the Cardinals stink. One of the best and proudest organizations in Major League Baseball history, a 93 win division champ last season, the Redbirds look like Deadbirds. At their current losing percentage the Cardinals are headed for their worst record since the year the Chicago White Sox threw the World Series. 1919! Other than strike-shortened seasons and the sixty game 2020 COVID sprint, the Cardinals last failed to win 70 games in 1978. Approaching the halfway mark of this season they are on pace for a feeble 66-96 finish. The Astros will catch them right after the Cards return from two games against the Cubs this weekend in London.
Much more on the Astros-Rangers series next week. Ahead of the Astros arriving at Globe Life Field the Rangers spend this weekend playing three at the Yankees, then are home for four versus the lowly Tigers. So, if a diehard Astros fan, do you choke down some bile and root hard for the Yankees against the Rangers? One might say it’s rooting against the Rangers and not for the Yankees. Semantics. If the Rangers ultimately are to be the AL West’s best this year, it actually would be better for the Astros if the Rangers were to whip up on the Yankees since the Astros could be battling with the Yanks (and Orioles, and Blue Jays, and Red Sox, and Angels, and Mariners) for a Wild Card berth.
On the bright side
The only silver lining to Yordan’s extended absence is it basically left Dusty Baker no choice but to play Yainer Diaz more. Diaz has started 10 of the last 11 games, batting .286 with two doubles and four home runs yielding a .914 OPS. He has work to do learning not to swing so much (a lousy three walks in 119 at bats) but the ball explodes off the man’s bat. Now if Dusty would only come to grips with the reality that Martin Maldonado being on pace to start 118 games at catcher is ridiculous. Maldonado is as ever a very poor offensive player. With obviously better lineup options for what has been an offensively-challenged team too often this season, playing him as often as Dusty does is now managerial dereliction of duty. Defensively, Maldonado’s movement behind the plate and throwing have obviously deteriorated. For all Maldy’s wisdom behind the plate, Astros’ pitchers still have a lower earned average this season in Diaz’s starts. Diaz should be catching at least half the games, with other starts at designated hitter and occasionally first base.
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Houston (6-2) at New York Jets (2-6)
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. EDT, Amazon Prime
BetMGM NFL odds: Jets by 2.
Against the spread: Texans 3-4-1; Jets 2-6.
Series record: Jets lead 7-3.
Last meeting: Jets beat Texans 30-6 in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Dec. 10, 2023.
Last week: Texans beat Colts 23-20; Jets lost to Patriots 25-22.
Texans offense: overall (9t), rush (18), pass (8), scoring (14).
Texans defense: overall (2), rush (13), pass (3), scoring (15t).
Jets offense: overall (24), rush (30), pass (13), scoring (25).
Jets defense: overall (4), rush (17), pass (2), scoring (11t).
Turnover differential: Texans plus-4; Jets minus-3.
RB Joe Mixon. He has carried Houston's offense in the three games since he returned from an injury and could be even more important this week after wide receiver Stefon Diggs tore the ACL in his right knee last Sunday and is out for the season. Mixon ranks third in the NFL by averaging 100.6 yards rushing a game and has had at least 100 yards rushing and a TD run in three straight games.
Edge rusher Haason Reddick. After ending his lengthy contract holdout early last week, Reddick made his Jets debut and played 26 snaps on defense with two quarterback pressures while working mostly on third downs. His snaps might increase a bit Thursday and he could help the Jets get after C.J. Stroud, who has been sacked 22 times this season — tied for third most in the NFL.
Jets offensive line vs. Texans' pass rush. New York has had issues this season with injuries, consistency and protecting Aaron Rodgers. The Jets will face a tough test Thursday night against the Texans, whose 27 sacks are third in the NFL. DE Will Anderson Jr. is tied for third in the league with a career-high 7 1/2 sacks, including at least one in his past three games. DE Danielle Hunter has 5 1/2 sacks and DT Tim Settle has four, powering a formidable defensive front for Houston. Hunter leads the league with 51 quarterback pressures and Anderson is fourth with 39, the only teammates in the top 15, according to Next Gen Stats.
Diggs' injury leaves Houston without its top two receivers. Nico Collins, who leads the Texans with 567 yards receiving, is out for at least one more game after being placed on injured reserve with a hamstring injury. ... S Calen Bullock was limited in practice Monday and Tuesday after injuring his shoulder Sunday. … LBs Azeez Al-Shaair (knee) and Henry To’oTo’o (concussion) both missed the Colts game, but could return this week. … S Jimmie Ward could miss a fifth straight game with a groin injury. … LG Jarrett Patterson is in the concussion protocol and is likely out. … RB Dameon Pierce missed practice this week with a groin injury. ... Jets LB C.J. Mosley suffered a stinger in his neck during pregame warmups at New England and was meeting with neck and spine specialists this week. ... RG Alijah Vera-Tucker (ankle), WR Allen Lazard (chest), DL Leki Fotu (knee) and safeties Tony Adams (hamstring) and Ashtyn Davis (concussion) all missed the game vs. the Patriots and their availability for this week was uncertain. ... K Greg Zuerlein was placed on IR. Riley Patterson and Spencer Shrader were signed to the practice squad, and one will be promoted for the game.
The Jets have won the past two meetings. ... New York won the first five meetings, including the first game between the franchises in 2003, when LaMont Jordan's late 8-yard touchdown run helped lift the Jets to a 19-14 victory. ... Zach Wilson threw two touchdown passes in the most recent meeting, a 30-6 rout by New York during which Stroud left with a concussion.
The AFC South-leading Texans have won four of their past five. ... Stroud is 2-0 with three touchdowns and zero interceptions in two career starts in prime time. He had 285 yards passing last week for his ninth career game with at least that many yards passing, which is tied for second most in the NFL since 2023. ... WR Tank Dell had a touchdown reception last week and has a TD catch in two of his past three games. ... TE Dalton Schultz had a season-high 52 yards receiving against the Colts. He has two TD receptions in each of his past two Thursday night games. ... Hunter has 10½ sacks in eight career Thursday night games. … LB Neville Hewitt, who spent the 2018-21 seasons with the Jets, forced a fumble last week. … Rookie CB Kamari Lassiter had a career-high three passes defended last week. … S Jalen Pitre had his first interception of the season last week. ... S Eric Murray had seven tackles and a season-high three passes defended last week. ... New York is trying to snap a five-game skid. ... Jeff Ulbrich is 0-3 as the Jets’ interim head coach since replacing the fired Robert Saleh on Oct. 8. Ulbrich, also the team's defensive coordinator, said earlier this week he'll continue to call plays on defense. … Rodgers snapped a streak of three consecutive games with an interception. He has seven in eight games, six shy of his single-season career high set in 2008 in his first year as Green Bay’s starting quarterback. ... Rodgers hasn't passed for 300 yards since throwing for 341 against Chicago on Dec. 12, 2021 — a span of 30 regular-season games and 31 overall, including one playoff game. ... WR Garrett Wilson leads the NFL with 84 targets, 11 more than the Giants’ Malik Nabers. Wilson’s 51 receptions are second in the league behind Las Vegas’ Brock Bowers, who has 52. ... WR Davante Adams had four catches for 54 yards, giving him seven receptions for 84 yards in two games since being acquired from the Raiders. ... Second-year WR Xavier Gipson caught his first career TD pass last Sunday. ... TE Tyler Conklin has a TD catch in consecutive games after not having one since catching two TD passes in Week 8 of the 2022 season against New England. ... RB Breece Hall has 316 yards receiving, the most among NFL running backs. ... Edge rusher Will McDonald has eight sacks, second in the NFL to the Giants’ Dexter Lawrence (nine). … The Jets have only six takeaways, ranking among the fewest in the league. Backup CB Brandin Echols has New York's only two interceptions.
Houston wide receiver John Metchie is coming off a career-best three-catch game and could see more targets — and perhaps his first NFL touchdown — with both Diggs and Collins out. Might be worth a stash as a potential WR3.
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