THE WAITING GAME

How the Dusty Baker, Houston Astros saga could take a surprising turn

How the Dusty Baker, Houston Astros saga could take a surprising turn
Here are some possible scenarios for the Astros and Dusty Baker. Composite image by Brandon Strange.

Astros manager Dusty Baker’s contract expires next week, and team owner Jim Crane says he’ll wait until the end of the World Series before announcing whether he will bring Baker back for next year.

Hey, I invented stalling until the last minute before making a decision. Or studying for a test. Or showing up for work. Or pretty much everything.

Crane hired Baker in 2020 under a one-year deal in the aftermath of the Astros going to hell in a handbasket in baseball’s most notorious cheating scandal since the 1919 Black Sox. That’s when Crane fired manager A.J. Hinch and general manager Jeff Luhnow and the Astros were the scourge of American sports.

The hope was Baker, then 70, would bring calm to the Astros organization. It was thought that Baker was a short-term Band-Aid. The Astros made the League Championship Series that year and Baker returned as Astros manager with another one-year contract. Last year, the Astros made the World Series and Baker was brought back again with yet another one-year contract.

Crane also hired general manager James Click in 2020. Click’s contract also expires next week. One more decision for Crane.

The sticky wicket is, Crane reportedly isn’t on the same wavelength as Click, Click doesn’t agree with Baker’s lineup decisions, and Baker isn’t obsessed with analytics like Click.

They could make a movie about this: Crane’s Choice, with Harrison Ford replacing Meryl Streep in the title role.

Several scenarios have been bandied about:

Crane offers new contracts to both Baker and Click and orders them to “keep calm and carry on.”

Crane keeps Click and offers Baker an executive position in the front office.

Crane keeps Baker and says goodbye to Click, who moves on to run another team’s front office.

Baker wins the World Series, doffs his cap to the crowd at the downtown parade and retires.

Crane says goodbye to both Click and Baker and starts from scratch – a.k.a. the easy way out.

But here’s one possible denouement (awesome word) that hasn’t been discussed much: what if the Astros win the World Series, Crane announces that he will meet with Baker to discuss a new deal for 2023 …

And Baker says, “you can stuff your one-year deals you-know-where. I’m outta here. I’ve got five teams offering me long-term deals.”

Why wouldn’t teams knock on Baker’s door? Baker has been with the Astros three years: one LCS and two World Series appearances. He is riding the hottest streak of any manager in the big leagues. He is admired by his players, adored by fans and respected by Houston media. He is old school, trusts his gut more than analytics, and has Click scratching his head (sometimes fans and media, too.) But you can’t argue with results.

If you owned a team with a talented roster and underperforming results, why wouldn’t you bring in Baker and give him a multiyear contract and pretty much whatever else he wants?

Baker reportedly makes $1.5 million for managing the Astros to the World Series. That is in the bottom half of MLB managers’ salaries. The Dodgers’ Dave Roberts reportedly makes $6.5 million per year, the Guardians’ Terry Francona reportedly makes $4.2 million. Roberts and Francona are on vacation. Baker is still in business.

Walter Alston managed the Dodgers from 1954 to 1976. He worked on 23 one-year contracts. That’s a fun factoid. It’s not how it works these days. You want a capable manager that you believe will take you to the World Series? It takes a long-term contract and multiple millions.

Baker is 73, big deal (which is what he deserves to get from the Astros). He is a lock Hall of Fame manager, Top 10 in all-time wins. He is totally involved during games, turning mint-flavored toothpicks into splinters, dressed like he’s putting himself into the lineup in the seventh inning for defensive purposes. He doesn’t do or say anything stupid that embarrasses the Astros, you know, like another septuagenarian manager in Chicago in recent years.

Dusty Baker has spent a half-century in the game. He is 100-percent pure class. He appears healthy and on top of his game.

It should be Baker’s decision, not Crane’s, who manages the Astros next year and beyond.

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The Texans are back in action next week against the Dolphins. Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images.

C.J. Stroud faced criticism in Houston's last few games as the Texans hit a rough patch after losing just two of their first eight games.

But the second-year quarterback remained confident and his strong performance last Sunday helped the Texans (8-5) to a 23-20 win over the Jaguars to enter their bye with a two-game lead atop the AFC South.

“When he is leading and playing the way he is playing, our entire team feeds off of him,” coach DeMeco Ryans said. “I am excited for his second year. I think he is showing a ton of growth, he is in a really great spot for us physically, mentally. I really love where he is and I am excited to see how he comes back after the break.”

Stroud threw for 242 yards and a touchdown against Jacksonville to leave him ranked fourth in the NFL with 3,117 yards passing this season. That game came after he threw two interceptions in a 32-27 loss to Tennessee a week before for the team’s third loss in four games.

Those two interceptions brought his season total to nine, which are four more than he threw in 15 games a rookie. But the Texans aren’t worried about that statistic and believe he has grown in his second year.

“He’s made a lot of progress,” general manager Nick Caserio said. “There are some plays, like all of our players, that we probably wish he could have back, but happy he’s our quarterback, happy with what he brings to the table. ... Wouldn’t want anyone else leading this team.”

The Texans are in position to win their division for a second straight season despite dealing with several significant injuries on offense. Running back Joe Mixon missed three games early with an ankle injury and leading receiver Nico Collins was sidelined for five games with a hamstring injury.

They also lost four-time Pro Bowler Stefon Diggs for the season when tore an ACL in Week 8.

Mixon leads the team with 887 yards rushing and 11 touchdowns and has added four touchdown receptions. His work in his first season in Houston after a trade from Cincinnati has helped the team deal with those significant injuries to the receiving corps.

Mixon ranks third in the NFL by averaging 88.7 yards rushing a game and has had at least 100 yards rushing in seven games.

Stroud has continually raved about Mixon’s contributions on and off the field.

“He’s a servant, a helper,” Stroud said. “That’s ultimately what I want to be as well. Who can I serve and how can I help? That’s ultimately what the game of football is.”

While Mixon has been the team’s most important new acquisition on offense, Danielle Hunter has been Houston’s new defensive star. The defensive end spent his first eight seasons in Minnesota before joining the Texans this year.

He has helped Houston lead the NFL with 84 tackles for loss after piling up 15 this season, which is tied for third most in the league. He also leads the Texans with 10½ sacks to help them rank second with 42.

Hunter been a great addition to a team that already had defensive end Will Anderson Jr., last year’s AP Defensive Rookie of the Year. Anderson ranks second to Hunter on the team with 13 tackles for loss and 9½ sacks.

Ryans said this week’s break is much needed for a team that opened the preseason on Aug. 1 in the Hall of Fame game.

“It’s here and we’re going to take advantage of it,” he said. “We’ve been going at it for a long time.”

The Texans need to recharge this week with a brutal stretch of three games in 10 days when they return from their bye. Houston hosts Miami on Dec. 15 before a trip to Kansas City on Dec. 21 and a visit from the Ravens on Christmas Day.

“It’s Christmas and all that, but we can’t worry about that. All we can do is focus on Miami,” Caserio said. “And then when we get through the Miami game, then we kind of turn the page to the next. ... We’re either going to earn it or we’re not. Not to oversimplify it, but that’s the truth.”

The Texans will play those game without starting linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair after he received a three-game suspension for his violent hit to the head of Jacksonville’s Trevor Lawrence, which led to a concussion.

Al-Shaair will be eligible to return for Houston’s regular-season finale against Tennessee.

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