THE PALLILOG
Here's some hardware that could be coming Astros way
Nov 2, 2023, 6:45 pm
The Gold Glove Award winners are named Sunday. Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images.
As if the Astros weren't already incentivized to improve their team that fell from a sensational World Series champion in 2022 to the American League runner-up in 2023. Now they look within their division and within their state to see the new champ. Only the Astros pushed the Texas Rangers to the brink of elimination in this year's postseason. The Rangers responded by smashing the Astros to bits in games six and seven at Minute Maid Park to win the AL Championship Series, as prelude to rolling over the Arizona Diamondbacks to give Arlington its first big league title. The Rangers finished the playoffs 11-0 on the road. Incredible. The Rangers wrapping it up in Phoenix means that over the last 10 World Series, the '22 Astros are the only team to set off its celebration by winning the clincher at home.
With the season ending Wednesday night, free agent signings can begin Monday. Unlike in the NFL and NBA when free agency begins every year, MLB does not see an immediate volcanic eruption of megadollar moves. In the unlikely event the Astros hope to make an early splash signing, it's good that few free agents pick their teams based on who the manager is. Since the Astros don't presently have one. Whatever the true extent of his involvement in hiring the new manager, on the player personnel side Dana Brown runs his first offseason as General Manager. Brown had nothing to do with the signing of Jose Abreu or the re-signings of Rafael Montero and Michael Brantley. Abreu picked it up dramatically late in the season but overall had a poor season. Any plan that has the now 37 years old Abreu starting 134 games again in 2024, is a bad plan. Like Abreu, Montero has two seasons left on his contract. Like Abreu, Montero was largely terrible this year. Abreu makes 19 and a half million dollars per season, Montero 11 and a half per. Ouch. At least Brantley's 12 million bucks are off the books.
No games until spring training also means MLB awards season is upon us. The Astros have no serious candidate to win Most Valuable Player, Cy Young, or Rookie of the Year hardware this year. Had Yainer Diaz gotten more playing time…
The Gold Glove Award winners are named Sunday. Either defense among American League second basemen was collectively very weak this season, or it's silly that Mauricio Dubon is one of three AL finalists at second base after starting just 66 games there this season. Dubon did a stellar job filling in for Jose Altuve but 66 out of 162 games is not a Gold Glove-worthy workload. Cleveland's Andres Gimenez should win for the second year in a row. Texas's Marcus Semien is the third candidate. If Dubon wins he'd join in the GG club the guy whose injury made it possible. Altuve won in 2015. Craig Biggio won four years in a row during his 1990s heyday ('94-'97).
Dubon is rightfully a finalist for the “Utility” position. He should win that for doing strong work both at second and in center field. The most absurd Gold Glove ever awarded went to Rafael Palmeiro. The juicer was a fine first baseman who reasonably won in 1997 and '98. He made it three in a row in '99, after playing only 28 games at first!
Alex Bregman is a third time finalist at third base. Toronto's Matt Chapman should win for a fourth time. Doug Rader is the only Astros hot corner guy to win a Gold Glove. “The Red Rooster” won five straight years in the '70s ('73-'77). Ken Caminiti played fabulous defense for several seasons with the Astros but didn't win until he became a vastly improved hitter after joining the San Diego Padres. A player's hitting of course should be a zero factor in consideration, but some voting is plain stupid. The voting portion of Gold Glove selection is done by managers and coaches and counts for 75 percent. A few years ago an analytics component was added, it is given 25 percent weight.
On the subject of questionable voting…
Jeremy Peña won as a rookie shortstop last year. This year Peña played more games and committed fewer errors and certainly displayed no discernible drop off in range. He's not a finalist in 2023. Peña's overall lack of progress offensively probably foolishly factored in somehow. I'm not saying Peña should definitely have won again, but there is no way that hobbled Carlos Correa played a better shortstop this year. Correa had a bad offensive season too! But he's a finalist with Yankees' rookie Anthony Volpe and the Rangers' Corey Seager.
The great Cesar Cedeño largely overlapped Rader while also winning five Gold Gloves in a row in the '70s ('72-'76). In Cedeño's day three outfielders were picked irrespective of outfield position played. In 2011 it shifted to one left, one center, one right. Kyle Tucker won in right last year and is a finalist again this. All the metrics have Tucker's defense down this year. Boston's Alex Verdugo and the Rangers' Adolis Garcia are more deserving.
Do you want to hear more about the Astros offseason outlook?
Stone Cold ‘Stros is the weekly Astro-centric podcast I am part of alongside Brandon Strange and Josh Jordan. On our regular schedule a first video segment goes up at 4PM Monday on the SportsMapHouston YouTube channel, with the complete audio available in podcast form at outlets such as:
Sunday night matchups don't get much exciting than this, as the Houston Texans host the Detroit Lions in prime-time at NRG.
The Lions come into this game on a six-game winning streak looking every bit of the best team in football. Houston on the other hand has lost two of their last three games with a struggling offense unable to protect their quarterback.
CJ Stroud has only one passing touchdown over this span, and is clearly having trouble adjusting to life without Stefon Diggs and Nico Collins.
If Houston is going to come away with an upset victory, they will need big performances from Tank Dell and Joe Mixon. After catching 4 passes against the Colts two weeks ago, Mixon not only failed to catch a single pass against the Jets, but he wasn't even targeted.
Considering the Texans' offensive line issues, choosing not to use Mixon as a pass catcher is hard to fathom. Especially since he and Dell are the team's top 2 playmakers.
What's working in the Texans' favor?
They play this game at home, where they are undefeated this season. A lot of the team's protection issues have popped up on the road, so communication should be easier for the offense on their home turf.
Bulls on Parade
We have good news and bad news about the defense this week. On the positive side, Azeez Al-Shaair and Jimmy Ward have returned to practice. If they're able to contribute on Sunday night, that would give the defense a lift.
And now for the bad news. Will Anderson has yet to practice this week after rolling his ankle in the Jets game. If he is unable to practice on Friday, it's hard to imagine he'll be active against Detroit.
X-factors
The Texans have to show some improvement on the offensive line this week.
Houston must lean on Joe Mixon again, as Nico Collins isn't expected to play.
Lions' Amon-Ra St. Brown is one of the best receivers in the league, and he does most of his damage from the slot. If the Texans continue to deploy Jalen Pitre against premier receivers in man coverage, St. Brown is going to light up the scoreboard.
What would a win over the Lions mean to Houston?
The Texans are no longer considered a true championship contender because of their losses to the Packers, Vikings, and Jets. In fact, the Bills are the only team with a winning record that the Texans have beaten.
An upset win over the streaking Lions would change that narrative.
What does Vegas think?
The Lions are currently favored by 3.5 and the total is set at 49 points.
Don't miss the full preview of Texans-Lions in the video above!
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