How shortsightedness on Astros’ needs has rehashed familiar refrains, remedies
Apr 20, 2022, 3:50 pm
The name on the lips of so many Astros fans of late has been Jeremy Peña. Sports (and the debates that are sparked from them) often unfairly position certain guys as lightening rods for dramatic storylines. Through no fault of his own, Peña finds himself filling the shoes of the greatest SS in team history and now leading off in the order in replacement of the team’s greatest second basemen ever. The latter or which sparked conversations on air:
Jeremy Pena is batting leadoff for the Astros today.
— ESPN 97.5 Houston (@espn975) April 19, 2022
The Killer B's: @PackManJoel & @JeremyBranham debated the idea earleir. pic.twitter.com/VMqqE4CeWY
With Jose Altuve out, Jeremy Peña has been tasked with leading off the #Astros lineup.
Is this the right move by Dusty Baker? @JakeAsman, @Cody_Stoots, and @BradKellner certainly seemed to think so when the news broke earlier today on #TheWheelhouse. #LevelUp pic.twitter.com/Z270k4yjuT
— ESPN 97.5 Houston (@espn975) April 20, 2022
How did Peña respond to that pressure? Here’s his first home run at home in MMP:
There's a new shortstop in H-Town and he can swing it.
Top @astros prospect Jeremy Peña goes up and out for his first Minute Maid Park blast. pic.twitter.com/roqhStT2ry
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) April 20, 2022
Besides that mammoth shot, he’s also putting up some impressive numbers already.
Hitters with the most barreled balls in MLB during this very young season. Barrels are the ideal blend of exit velocity & launch angle.
Last year, barreled balls resulted in a .772 AVG and 2.591 SLG in MLB - 84.8% of all home runs were barrels.#Mariners pic.twitter.com/osX9lhncvP
— Luke Arkins (@luke_arkins) April 20, 2022
284 of the 311 HR(91.3%) this year have had LAs between 18-35*
Hitters with most BBE 18-35*:
Jose Ramirez: 15
Jeremy Peña: 13
Alex Verdugo: 13
Michael Brantley: 13
Luis Robert: 12
Ozzie Albies: 12
Marcell Ozuna: 12
Nick Castellanos: 12
Josh Bell: 12
CJ Cron: 12
Marcus Semien: 12
— Chris Clegg (@RotoClegg) April 20, 2022
So while Houston fans understandably spent the winter arguing over whether the Astros would miss Correa, now find their concerns shifting to missing guys like Lance McCullers Jr and Jose Altuve.
McCullers is on the 60 Day IL. Altuve is on the 10 Day IL with a strained hamstring. The Houston sports gods giveth and taketh.
Interestingly, that infamous deal that didn’t get done, an extension for Correa, has overshadowed the deal that did: Justin Verlander’s extension. And THAT one is looking like classic Jim-Crane-doing-Jim-Crane-things: specifically, out-maneuvering the Yankees. The only difference between the Astros’ & Yankees’ offer to Verlander was the extra guaranteed year. How much do you think Brian Cashman would LOVE to have Justin Verlander’s dominance distracting New Yorkers from Gerrit Cole’s current spiral?
The Yankees pulled Gerrit Cole with two outs in the second inning.
‣ 1.2 IP
‣ 2 ER
‣ 5 BB
‣ 68 pitches pic.twitter.com/aKowug5kC7
— Sporting News MLB (@sn_mlb) April 20, 2022
Meanwhile in Houston, Jim Crane’s feeling some heat of his own as fans continue to watch the team shed a considerable amount of payroll and team depth. He had some interesting quotes for Mark Berman you can hear here:
Jim Crane w/ a message to @astros fans:”Talking about the payroll.The payroll’s driven by the fans-They pay the bills.I try to use the money wisely.We have great fans.Thank u Houston for your support-If we got to make some adjustments at the turn,we have the resources to do that” pic.twitter.com/t3L53SL3tg
— Mark Berman (@MarkBermanFox26) April 18, 2022
Say what you want. Jim Crane’s the best owner this city has ever seen. Admittedly, that’s not historically been a “super” high bar, but it is now. He’s also one of the best owners in MLB as evidenced by the 5 straight ALCS appearances and going to 3 of the last 5 World Series. Both the money he DID spend over the offseason (JV) and the money he didn’t (Correa) both look good in early returns.
But Houston’s cold offense and shaky bullpen in a small sample size have some fans speculating on what might have been if the Astros were more aggressive. Make no mistake, if you’re betting against Jim Crane, you’re betting against the trend. As the gambler’s saying goes: the trend is your friend.
Prosperity berths high expectations. Yes, the Astros are coming off winning the pennant again, but what have you done for me lately, Mr. Crane?
We just expect the Astros to flip a switch every year at the beginning of the season and turn on the winning machine. And for the most part, that’s exactly what they do. But not every season plays out the same, and even the best seasons have their struggles.
Here is how the Astros 2019 team looked vs this year’s team in the first 7 games.
The 2019 team is one of the greatest offensive teams in franchise history. #7GamesDontMatter pic.twitter.com/dpkZnagaIx
— Michael Schwab (@michaelschwab13) April 16, 2022
So yes, in this time of Astros uncertainty, in this stupidly young season, take heed of perspective.
If there’s one thing we can all be certain of, the fans will always be patient and level-headed.
RIP Astros this season
— Omar Villarreal (@OmarV1016) April 20, 2022
Takeaways from the Tigers sweep of the Astros
Total butt kicking. The offense was dreadful, scoring just two runs over three games. However, what’s killing the offense the most is the outfield. Outside of when Altuve plays left field, Houston doesn’t have another major league-quality outfielder right now. Jesus Sanchez not only swung at a Charlie Morton curveball that hit him in the knee, he’s also ice-cold, going 0-for-28 at the plate. At least he’s someone you expect to turn things around, but he’s in a huge slump currently. Beyond him, Jacob Melton, Taylor Trammell, and Chas McCormick have all been dragging down the offense. Cam Smith is struggling too, with just one hit in his last seven games.
Is Framber Valdez going to be okay?
Starting pitching was another big issue against the Tigers, and Valdez was a key part of the problem, basically losing the finale in the first inning after allowing six runs. This isn’t an outlier—he’s got a 7+ ERA through four starts in August. Spencer Arrighetti isn’t faring much better, posting a 7+ ERA through three starts. One silver lining with Valdez: the Tigers know him well. They had success against him in the playoffs last season, and it looks like they’re continuing that formula—force him to throw strikes, hit the other way on the sinker, and if the curveball isn’t up, let it go. AJ Hinch knows the deal.
Is the return of Yordan Alvarez enough to boost the offense?
It has to be. The only real way to give this lineup a spark is getting Yordan and Jake Meyers back. Yordan had a successful first rehab outing, collecting a couple of hits, a walk, and even a stolen base. Adding him back to the top of the lineup gives the Astros a formidable top four: Peña, Altuve, Yordan, and Correa. As for Meyers, the outfield has been the biggest drag on the offense. The key is whether he can continue to hit near .300 when he returns from injury. If he does, Altuve and Meyers in the outfield makes a huge difference, and Joe Espada can figure out right field with Sanchez and Smith.
Is the schedule not as soft as anticipated?
We’ve seen some strange results across the league this week, and some of that has to be chalked up to the Dog Days of Summer. Players are tired, and results have been wild. Thankfully, the Mariners are struggling too, giving the Astros some breathing room. Player adjustments after the trade deadline could also be a factor—Sanchez, anyone? Many big free agents have struggled immediately after changing teams, Walker and Juan Soto included.
Can they recover and take advantage of bad teams?
One thing we know about this year’s Astros: they can flip the switch and win multiple series on a moment’s notice. They’re just as capable of sweeping a series as they are of getting swept. Let’s hope that starts with four wins in Baltimore.
There's so much more to get to! Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!
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