HOF HOPES
Beyond the diamond: How Hall of Fame voting trends could impact Astros' Jose Altuve
Jan 26, 2024, 1:01 pm
HOF HOPES
There was the usual – now annual – blowback after the 2024 Hall of Fame voting was announced. Why does the Hall of Fame make candidates wait up to 15 years for voters to decide if they’re worthy? And if they’re still not voted in, a veterans “eras” committee has to infinity and beyond to induct them.
There was grumbling in Houston especially where former Astros closer Billy Wagner was denied election by five votes, despite favorable career stats compared to previously inducted relievers. This was Wagner’s ninth and penultimate year of eligibility on the Baseball Writers Association of America ballot. According to Hall of Fame trends, Wagner should gain the necessary 75 percent of the writers’ vote next year for induction.
As they say on those political talk shows, one “down ballot” race may prove the most interesting result on the 2024 results.
Carlos Beltran was named on 57.1 percent of the ballots cast in his second year of eligibility. That’s up from 46.5 percent last year, well on track for eventual admission to the Hall of Fame.
What’s curious, as an elite center fielder and one of the greatest postseason hitters ever, Beltran’s statistics should have made him a first-ballot candidate last year and a near-lock this time.
So why is he still on the outside looking in? One reason: Beltran was considered the mastermind of the Houston Astros 2017-18 sign-stealing scandal. Several Hall of Fame voters, including those who voted for and against Beltran, both last year and this year, said that Beltran’s participation in the scandal was a factor.
Dan Barbarisi – He’d (Beltran) probably be in this year if it weren’t for the sign-stealing scandal, but he was fantastic over his years with the Royals and Mets.
Rustin Dodd: I added Carlos Beltrán, whose statistical case seems clear to me. His connection to the Astros sign-stealing scandal gave me pause. If you’re not dinging Beltrán for being a nefarious Astro, then his normal Hall of Fame credentials are obvious.
Randy Miller: I also passed on second-year candidate Carlos Beltran, the ringleader of the Astros’ illegal sign-stealing in 2017. The cheating occurred throughout the year and into the postseason, which included beating the Yankees in an ALCS that went the distance and the Dodgers in a seven-game World Series. Hall of Fame voters are instructed to cast ballots “based upon the player’s record, playing ability, integrity, sportsmanship, character, and contributions to the team(s) on which the player played.” Beltran doesn’t make the cut for integrity, sportsmanship and character, so he’s never getting my vote.
Now let’s take a look at more telling, targeted comments from Hall of Fame voters that could cause a ruckus down the road for Astros fans
Ken Rosenthal: Few things in this world are black and white. That goes for Beltran’s candidacy, and the future candidacies of other position players from those Astros teams, too.
Steve Buckley: And now we have a brand-new level of madness. How to judge the Hall of Fame worthiness of players involved in the 2017 Houston Astros cheating scandal? And leading off for your Houston Astros, No. 15, Carlos Beltrán! I’m not going to trifle with a long, drawn-out statistical breakdown as to why I believe Beltrán belongs in the Hall of Fame. He has the numbers. On that basis, he belongs. But we all know it’s not about the numbers in this case, just as it has never been about the numbers with Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens. With Beltrán, it’s about being a central player in the Astros’ sign-stealing scheme — which included banging trash cans as a means to communicate to their batters what the opposing pitcher was throwing. Trash cans!
Which brings us to the case of …
Jose Altuve is 33 years old. He has played 13 years, his entire career, with the Houston Astros. He has one more year on his current contract. Most expect that Astros will offer him a four or five-year extension to complete his career in an Astros uniform. He is the heart and soul of the Astros. He’s led the Astros to two World Series titles. He is a fantastic clutch hitter, an MVP, batting champ, civic leader, possibly the most beloved and cherished athlete ever in Houston.
He also was a member of the 2017 World Series champion Astros. The 2017 sign-stealing Astros.
What will happen if Altuve retires after the 2029 season with impeccable, undeniable, first-ballot Hall of Fame credentials? Yet he doesn’t gain enough votes during his first year of eligibility. And Astros fans hear exit-poll comments similar to what they heard about Beltran this year?
This place will lose its mind.
According to former Astros on the 2017 team, Altuve did not participate in the sign-stealing, trashcan-banging scandal. When asked if he was part of the scheme, Altuve would only say that he was a member of the team and he stood with his brothers as a team.
Years later, Altuve still is mercilessly boo’d in every MLB stadium other than Minute Maid Park. National baseball broadcasters continue to label him a cheater. He has the stink of scandal all over him.
All of the Astros players from 2017-18 were given immunity. Although Altuve was never singled out as a cheater (in fact there is evidence the opposite is true), he may suffer baseball’s ultimate undeserved punishment for being an innocent bystander.
And trust me, it will hit the fan in Houston.
The Astros dropped a tough one Tuesday night, falling 4–2 to the White Sox after slipping behind early. But before anyone reaches for the panic button, take a breath — this team may not look like the dominant, late-inning machine from 2022, but there are still reasons to believe something bigger could be brewing.
In this episode, we unpack what this loss really means and why the bigger picture still matters. Despite a wave of injuries, the Astros are hanging a few games over the .500 mark — a feat that may be more impressive than it seems on the surface.
We take a closer look at Lance McCullers Jr., who’s no longer fighting for a spot at the back of the rotation. His stuff looks sharper, and his role as a solid No. 3 is starting to take shape. We also spotlight Ryan Gusto, a young arm who might quietly become a key piece down the stretch.
The offense hasn’t exploded the way fans hoped, but maybe that’s the point — Houston is still in the fight, and in some ways, overachieving considering the circumstances. Rookie Cam Smith is settling in nicely at the big-league level, and although Christian Walker has underwhelmed, Isaac Paredes has emerged as one of the top third basemen in the American League. Plus, let's not forget Yordan Alvarez should be returning in short order to give the offense a lift.
And yes, it’s early, but we can’t help but wonder… could this be the start of another World Series run? After all, the Astros were swept by the White Sox in 2017 — and we all remember how that story ended.
Be sure to watch the video below as ESPN Houston's John Granato and Lance Zierlein weigh in!
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