IMPRESSIVE!

Another historic milestone: Astros ace Justin Verlander leads the pack

Another historic milestone: Astros ace Justin Verlander leads the pack
Let's just say JV has deep pockets.Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images.

News that ace Justin Verlander will begin the season on the injured list shook up Astros fans this week – but not to worry, it’s just a precautionary timeout, he should miss only a couple of starts and be good to go.

Still Verlander’s shoulder issue does point to an Astros question mark – starting pitching - as they embark on yet another postseason run.

Verlander will join perennial injured list resident Lance McCullers Jr. on the sideline, along with Luis Garcia recovering from Tommy John surgery, and possibly J.P. France out of early action. France, who surprised everybody going 11-6 last year, is working through shoulder discomfort and hasn’t appeared in a game so far this spring training. He did throw one inning of a simulated game against live batters but with no fielders behind him this week. So there is progress.

If all healthy, a rotation of Verlander, McCullers Jr., Garcia and France would be one of the strongest in the American League. Ironic, huh?

General manager Dana Brown insists the team is not looking at adding another starting pitcher, so forget the Astros seeking a trade or making a bid for free agents Blake Snell or Jordan Montgomery. The Astros early season rotation shapes up as Framber Valdez, Hunter Brown, Cristian Javier, and Jose Urquidy with Spencer Arrighetti or Brandon Bielak looking to earn a spot.

Verlander beginning the season on the injured list is not a big deal in the baseball’s long run. Nobody need worry about his physical well being or his credit score. He has a structured settlement with the Astros, but he won’t be calling JG Wentworth at 877-CASH-NOW.

Verlander will be paid $43 million in 2024 (tied for the highest-paid player with his fellow injured list frenemy Max Scherzer), and will earn $35 million for 2025 if he throws 140 innings this season. Remember, Verlander started last year on the injured list, didn’t make his first start until May 4, and still managed to throw 162 innings.

While $43 million for this year and $35 million for 2025 sounds like a piggy bank breaker for the Astros, the Mets will be picking up half of Verlander’s pay both years.

If for some reason Verlander doesn’t reach the 140 inning plateau this season, he will become a free agent for 2025. He could command even more than $35 million then. As Woody would say in Toy Story, that’s not flying, that’s falling with style.

So far in his career, Verlander has banked $350 million over his two decades in the big leagues. Add $43 million for 2024 and possibly $35 million for 2025, and Justin Brooks Verlander will leave the game (whenever that is) as the all-time career earnings champion.

We’re talking money already earned, deposited, and accruing interest. We’re not including long-term contracts still in midstream, like Shohei Ohtani’s $700 million deal that will be paying him when he’s old and gray, or Mike Trout’s $426 million agreement that has miles to go before he sleeps (poet Robert Frost).

Currently the highest-paid player in baseball history – actual money earned – is Miguel Cabrera at $400.4 million. Alex Rodriguez is second with $399.2 million. Verlander already is third and the motor is still running.

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Have the Astros turned a corner? Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images.

After finishing up with the Guardians the Astros have a rather important series for early May with the Seattle Mariners heading to town for the weekend. While it’s still too early to be an absolute must-win series for the Astros, losing the series to drop seven or eight games off the division lead would make successfully defending their American League West title that much more unlikely.

Since their own stumble out of the gate to a 6-10 record the Mariners have been racking up series wins, including one this week over the Atlanta Braves. The M’s offense is largely Mmm Mmm Bad, but their pitching is sensational. In 18 games after the 6-10 start, the Mariners gave up five runs in a game once. In the other 17 games they only gave up four runs once. Over the 18 games their starting pitchers gave up 18 earned runs total with a 1.44 earned run average. That’s absurd. Coming into the season Seattle’s starting rotation was clearly better on paper than those of the Astros and Texas Rangers, and it has crystal clearly played out as such into the second month of the schedule.

While it’s natural to focus on and fret over one’s own team's woes when they are plentiful as they have been for the Astros, a reminder that not all grass is greener elsewhere. Alex Bregman has been awful so far. So has young Mariners’ superstar Julio Rodriguez. A meager four extra base hits over his first 30 games were all Julio produced down at the ballyard. That the Mariners are well ahead of the Astros with J-Rod significantly underperforming is good news for Seattle.

Caratini comes through!

So it turns out the Astros are allowed to have a Puerto Rican-born catcher who can hit a little bit. Victor Caratini’s pedigree is not that of a quality offensive player, but he has swung the bat well thus far in his limited playing time and provided the most exciting moment of the Astros’ season with his two-out two-run 10th inning game winning home run Tuesday night. I grant that one could certainly say “Hey! Ronel Blanco finishing off his no-hitter has been the most exciting moment.” I opt for the suddenness of Caratini’s blow turning near defeat into instant victory for a team that has been lousy overall to this point. Frittering away a game the Astros had led 8-3 would have been another blow. Instead, to the Victor belong the spoils.

Pudge Rodriguez is the greatest native Puerto Rican catcher, but he was no longer a good hitter when with the Astros for the majority of the 2009 season. Then there’s Martin Maldonado.

Maldonado’s hitting stats with the Astros look Mike Piazza-ian compared to what Jose Abreu was doing this season. Finally, mercifully for all, Abreu is off the roster as he accepts a stint at rookie-level ball in Florida to see if he can perform baseball-CPR on his swing and career. Until or unless he proves otherwise, Abreu is washed up and at some point the Astros will have to accept it and swallow whatever is left on his contract that runs through next season. For now Abreu makes over $120,000 per game to not be on the roster. At his level of performance, that’s a better deal than paying him that money to be on the roster.

Abreu’s seven hits in 71 at bats for an .099 batting average with a .269 OPS is a humiliating stat line. In 2018 George Springer went to sleep the night of June 13 batting .293 after going hitless in his last four at bats in a 13-5 Astros’ win over Oakland. At the time no one could have ever envisioned that Springer had started a deep, deep funk which would have him endure a nightmarish six for 78 stretch at the plate (.077 batting average). Springer then hit .293 the rest of the season.

Abreu’s exile opened the door for Joey Loperfido to begin his Major League career. Very cool for Loperfido to smack a two-run single in his first game. He also struck out twice. Loperfido will amass whiffs by the bushel, he had 37 strikeouts in 101 at bats at AAA Sugar Land. Still, if he can hit .225 with some walks mixed in (he drew 16 with the Space Cowboys) and deliver some of his obvious power (13 homers in 25 games for the ex-Skeeters) that’s an upgrade over Abreu/Jon Singleton, as well as over Jake Meyers and the awful showing Chas McCormick has posted so far. Frankly, it seems unwise that the Astros only had Loperfido play seven games at first base in the minors this year. If McCormick doesn’t pick it up soon and with Meyers displaying limited offensive upside, the next guy worth a call-up is outfielder Pedro Leon. In January 2021 the Astros gave Leon four million dollars to sign out of Cuba and called him a “rapid mover to the Major Leagues.” Well…

Over his first three minor league seasons Leon flashed tools but definitely underwhelmed. He has been substantially better so far this year. He turns 26 May 28. Just maybe the Astros offense could be the cause of fewer Ls with Loperfido at first and Leon in center field.

Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via YouTube: stone cold stros - YouTube with the complete audio available via Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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