Hidden factors that could decide Astros-Mets Opening Day clash
OPENING DAY PREVIEW
27 March
Framber Valdez will take the hill for Houston. Composite Getty Image.
The Houston Astros kick off their 2025 season on Thursday afternoon, hosting the New York Mets at Daikin Park. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. EDT.
Pitching matchup
Houston will send left-hander Framber Valdez to the mound, while the Mets counter with right-hander Clay Holmes. Both starters begin the season with a clean slate, looking to set the tone for their respective clubs.
Team breakdown
The Astros finished last season at 88-73, fueled by a powerful lineup that slugged .418 and averaged 1.2 home runs per game. Houston posted a strong 46-35 record at home and will look to carry that success into 2025.
The Mets, coming off an 89-73 campaign, were similarly productive at the plate, finishing with a .415 slugging percentage and a .734 OPS. They went 43-38 on the road and will look to spoil the Astros’ home opener.
Betting odds and injuries
According to BetMGM, the Astros enter as -134 favorites, while the Mets sit at +114. The over/under is set at 8 runs.
Houston enters the season opener without any listed injuries, while New York will be without infielder Nick Madrigal (shoulder) and pitchers Drew Smith (elbow) and Christian Scott (elbow), all on the 60-day IL.
With a strong home-field advantage and a steady presence in Valdez on the mound, the Astros aim to start their season with a win.
Here's a sneak peek at the Opening Day batting order. Brendan Rodgers gets the nod over Mauricio Dubon at second base.
1/162.
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Victor Caratini tied it with a sacrifice fly in the ninth and Mauricio Dubón hit a walk-off single in the 10th on Sunday to help the Astros beat the Minnesota Twins 2-1 to sweep the three-game series.
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— Houston Astros (@astros) June 15, 2025
Jake Meyers started at second base in the 10th and scored on Dubón's two-out single to left field.
Astros starter Brandon Walter gave up a run on six hits with nine strikeouts across 6 2/3 innings. Shawn Dubin, Bennett Sousa and Josh Hader (4-0) combined for 3 1/3 scoreless innings of relief.
Walter has allowed three earned runs across 17 2/3 innings in three starts this season.
Minnesota’s Brooks Lee led off the third inning with a home run.
Jose Altuve was hit by a pitch to lead off the seventh but Caratini grounded into a 4-6-3 double play before Meyers grounded out.
Cole Sands (3-3) took the loss.
Key moment
Jeremy Peña drew a leadoff walk in the ninth and stole second. Peña moved to third when Altuve singled and then scored on Caratini's sacrifice fly off Jhoan Duran to make it 1-1 and force extra innings.
Key stat
The Astros, who beat the Twins 3-2 on Cam Smith’s walk-off single in the ninth on Saturday, have won five in a row and 16 of their last 22 to take a five-game lead over second-place Seattle in the AL West.
Up next
Houston's Lance McCullers Jr. (1-2, 4.91 ERA) takes the mound Monday to open a four-game series with the Athletics, who have not announced a starter. Minnesota is off until Tuesday when David Festa (1-1, 4.76) is scheduled to start against Cincinnati's Andrew Abbott (6-1, 1.87) to open a three-game set.
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