UNCHARTED TERRITORY
How the Astros upcoming stretch puts them in a strange, unfamiliar place
Jun 29, 2023, 5:54 pm
UNCHARTED TERRITORY
Thomas Paine was talking about America’s fight for freedom from England in 1776 when he wrote, “These are the times that try men’s souls.”
He had no way of knowing that the Houston Astros would be six games behind the Texas Rangers and out of the playoff picture as we approach Independence Day 2023.
Yes, these are trying times for Astros fans. But for all the sniping and griping about the Astros play, their casualty list of injuries and manager Dusty Baker’s mystifying lineup decisions …
At least Astros owner Jim Crane isn’t threatening to unload underperforming, overpaid Astros players, even offering to pay other teams to take them off the Astros books – like New York Mets owner Steve Cohen pushed the panic button this week.
Steve Cohen says that if the Mets don't improve by the Aug. 1 trade deadline, they certainly won't be looking to add pieces, and instead would at least explore the possibility of trading away players.
— Bob Nightengale (@BNightengale) June 28, 2023
Wouldn’t it be something if the Mets called the Astros and said, “You want Justin Verlander back? We’ll pay the return postage.” The Mets signed JV to a two-year deal worth $86 million. He’s 2-4 at the halfway mark of the season. And the Mets are 36-44, 17 games out of first in the NL East and fading fast despite the highest payroll in baseball history.
OK, the Astros aren’t the Mets, but Houston fans are frustrated for sure, and it’s open season on questioning manager Dusty Baker’s stewardship of the team.
Why is Martin Maldonado batting in the eighth inning with two on, two out and the Astros trailing by a run? What is Astros reliever Rafael Montero doing on the mound in a close game? And, uh, what is a Bligh Madris?
The Astros are in a strange place, looking up at the Rangers, and the Angels closer than they appear in their rearview mirror.
It’s been a while since the Astros faced a critical, approaching must-win, stretch of games this early in the season. But that’s coming right up: a four-game set starting Friday against the Rangers in Arlington, followed by two against the Rockies and four with the Mariners at Minute Maid Park. We’ll know better if Astros fans can start making fall travel plans by the All-Star Game on July 11.
Even the All-Star Game will look different for Astros fans. Astros players won’t have to make excuses to stay home, like last year when the game was played at Dodger Stadium. This year, invites will be few and far between for valid reasons: Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Jeremy Pena, Jake Myers, and Yordan Alvarez all have seen their batting averages slip from last year. Even Martin Maldonado’s average is lower this season, and he batted .186 last year.
Of course injuries have played a role in keeping Astros down in the All-Star voting results. And that’s another factor in Astros fans’ frustration, the team’s curious way of framing how long a player might be out of the lineup due to injury.
Here’s a guide to the Astros injury report glossary:
Astros: “Player stubbed his toe, he should play night.”
Meaning: He’s out for two or three games minimum.
Astros: “Player has slight discomfort in his leg, might sit out the weekend.”
Meaning: 10-day injury list.
Astros: “We won’t rush him back from his shoulder injury.”
Meaning: Out for the season.
Astros: “Player needs minor surgery.”
Meaning: We gather today to honor the dearly departed.
The Astros need to stop staying “when” a player will be back and start saying “if.” What exactly is the deal with Michael Brantley?
Six games behind the Rangers certainly is a pickle, and nowhere where the Astros expected to be, but it’s not desperate times. Not yet. The Astros will be in a buying posture come the trade deadline. They reportedly are searching for another bat and starting pitcher.
If you think times are rough for the Astros, how’d you like to be these teams, all with bigger payrolls than the Astros ($193 million), all with worse won-loss records: the Mets ($354 million payroll with home fans booing), San Diego ($250 million in 4th place), the Phillies ($243 million barely above .500) and the Angels ($212 million and headlines screaming bye-bye Shohei Ohtani).
The Astros didn’t leave Seattle with a series win, but they may have gained something just as important: a reminder that resilience still runs deep in this group.
After a grueling extra-inning loss on Saturday, one that included the loss of Isaac Paredes to a hamstring injury, Houston regrouped on Sunday and hammered the Mariners 11-3. Christian Walker provided the turning point with a much-needed go-ahead home run in the sixth inning, while Taylor Trammell added a two-run double and a solo shot of his own. With Chas McCormick back from the injured list but still finding his footing, Trammell is quickly making his case as the best option in center field moving forward.
Manager Joe Espada continues to juggle a lineup that’s been in constant flux. Rookie Cam Smith, who had a clutch two-run double in Sunday’s win, has struggled as of late, going just 2-for his last 24. While his ability to get hits in clutch situations has been extremely valuable, the lack of a consistent spot in the batting order may be taking its toll. Giving Smith a stable home in the cleanup spot, even temporarily, might be a helpful reset.
Then again, the cleanup role hasn’t been kind to everyone.
Last night, Christian Walker, batting 4th, went 0-4, 2 K
- Walker for the season, batting 4th: .167 BA, .498 OPS
- Both are MLB worst (min. 75 AB batting 4th, 51st of 51)
- His 210 AB batting 4th are 6th most in MLB
- He's hitting .317 w/ .887 OPS when batting anywhere but 4th
— Adam Wexler (@AdamJWexler) July 19, 2025
Walker has been markedly less effective when hitting fourth this season, a trend that continues despite his strong Sunday performance. Sometimes, the data is clear: the four-hole might not be for him. He's literally been the worst cleanup option in baseball this season. Hit him fifth.
Behind the plate, Victor Caratini continues to impress, while Yainer Diaz is back in a cold stretch. Since the break, Diaz is just 1-for-14, raising questions about his timing and confidence as the summer grind deepens.
On the mound, the biggest developments are happening off the field. Cristian Javier and Spencer Arrighetti both completed three-inning rehab outings with Double-A Corpus Christi, while Luis Garcia threw two innings in a rehab start with Low-A Fayetteville. The trio’s return could mark a major turning point for the Astros, especially as Lance McCullers continues to struggle in his own comeback. McCullers lasted just 2 2/3 innings in Saturday’s loss, allowing four runs and showing little of the form that once made him one of the rotation’s anchors.
There’s been hesitancy to replace McCullers with someone like Arrighetti while he’s still building back arm strength, but the argument grows thinner each time McCullers falters. If healthy, even a three- or four-inning version of Javier or Arrighetti could give Houston more consistency at the back of the rotation.
Despite the weekend loss, the Astros still hold one of the best offenses in baseball, second in batting average, 12th in OPS, and 11th in slugging. The pitching staff remains stout, ranking sixth in ERA and second in WHIP. This team is far from unraveling.
With reinforcements on the way and a lineup that’s still capable of putting up crooked numbers, the Astros aren’t panicking. If anything, Sunday’s blowout win showed they’re ready to weather whatever’s next.
There's so much more to get to! Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!
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