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Why all signs point to a turning of the tide for the Houston Rockets

Why all signs point to a turning of the tide for the Houston Rockets
This young Rockets team has become really fun to watch. Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images.

As of this writing, the Rockets have a two-game win streak going. To most, that statement would seem like a joke. A two-game winning streak isn’t much of a streak per se. However, when you’re talking about a team that hasn’t sniffed a playoff series in a few years and has drafted in the lottery lately, two games are two games. A streak is a streak. I’m choosing positivity. Winning four of their last six games and beating playoff teams in those four wins has me feeling good about where this team is headed.

The best part in all of this? The guys the team is picking to build around are stepping up. Jalen Green is starting to come into his own. He’s been feeling more and more comfortable on both ends of the floor. Hearing him talk about taking on the other team’s best perimeter players, but still upping his scoring, is music to my ears. His shooting percentages are down by a hair, but he’s averaging four more points this season over last season. Four more points on three more shots per game isn’t ideal, but I can see him putting things together. No sophomore slump over here.

Jabari Smith Jr is also becoming a guy this team can rely upon. His outside shooting has gotten better. I think it has more to do with him knowing his role and building chemistry with his teammates. Smith Jr is going to be the stretch four, the previous general manager never could get his hands on to pair with the dude with the beard. His defense and rebounding need to improve, but that’ll come with time. He’s a rookie, so we’re hoping he doesn’t have a sophomore slump either.

Kevin Porter Jr is doing his best to be a point guard. He’s naturally a shooting guard, so being a table setter and playmaker isn’t his forte. That said, he’s still got work to do. The organization obviously thinks highly of him by giving him an extension. They see what they want in him and think he’s one of the building blocks. Personally, I think he’s better suited to be a scorer, but they must like the potential in him as a point. Having a second guy that can get his own shot in a pinch is crucial, and KPJ provides them with just that.

Head coach Stephen Silas was in some rough waters not too long ago. Fans were calling for his head. Despite his seat being hot, he’s managed to steady the ship. They were 5-16 and going nowhere fast. Winning four of their last six games and beating playoff teams has changed the tune. Now people are seeing what I’ve always seen: Silas is the man for this job. He’s a proven young player developer. The phrase “let him cook” has never been more appropriate when it comes to what Silas is doing. Not only is he manning the ship of this turnaround (this season and overall), but he’s doing so in the midst of losing his Hall of Fame father, Paul Silas. He’s continuing his dad’s legacy by being a standup guy, and a coach his players believe in and play hard for.

Coach Silas has taken all the criticism in stride and so have his players. This team has gone from a laughingstock to a fun team to watch. No longer do I dread watching and turn games off. Now, I watch more intently. They’re more entertaining because they’re cleaning up mistakes and can be competitive in more of the games instead of being blown out the water. I’ve even seen them make comebacks, win or lose, in games they would’ve never had a chance in because of the way they play. They’re turning the corner. Add a couple more pieces, vets and draft picks, and this team will be contending for a playoff spot next season. If they aren’t in the conversation for at least a play-in spot next season, I’ll wear a Cowboys jersey and post a pic online. Book it!

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The Rockets are in it to win it this year. Composite Getty Image.

While the rolling Astros have a week of possible World Series preview matchups against the Phillies and Cubs, it’s the Rockets who made the biggest local sports headline with their acquisition of Kevin Durant. What a move! Of course there is risk involved in trading for a guy soon to turn 37 years old and who carries an injury history, but balancing risk vs. reward is a part of the game. This is a fabulous move for the Rockets. It’s understood that there are dissenters to this view. Everyone is entitled to an opinion, including people with the wrong opinion! Let’s dig in.

The Rockets had a wonderful season in winning 52 games before their disappointing first-round playoff loss to the Warriors, but like everyone else in the Western Conference, they were nowhere close to Oklahoma City’s caliber. While they finished second in the West, the Rockets only finished four games ahead of the play-in. That letting the stew simmer with further growth among their young players would yield true championship contention was no given for 2025-26 or beyond.

Kevin Durant is one of the 10 greatest offensive players the NBA has ever seen. Among his current contemporaries only Stephen Curry and Nikola Jokic make that list. For instance, Durant offensively has clearly been better than the late and legendary Kobe Bryant. To view it from a Houston perspective, Durant has been an indisputably greater offensive force than the amazing Hakeem Olajuwon. But this is not a nostalgia trip in which the Rockets are trading for a guy based on what he used to be. While Durant could hit the wall at any point, living in fear that it’s about to happen is no way to live because KD, approaching his 18th NBA season, is still an elite offensive player.

As to the durability concern, Durant played more games (62) this past season than did Fred VanVleet, Jabari Smith, and Tari Eason. The season before he played more games (75) than did VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, and Alperen Sengun. In each of the last two seasons Durant averaged more minutes per game (36.9) than any Rocket. That was stupid and/or desperate of the Suns, the Rockets will be smarter. Not that the workload eroded Durant’s production or efficiency. Over the two seasons he averaged almost 27 points per game while shooting 52 percent from the floor, 42 percent from behind the three-point line, and 85 percent from the free throw line. Awesomeness. The Rockets made the leap to being a very good team despite a frankly crummy half-court offense. The Rockets ranked 21st among the 30 NBA teams in three-point percentage, and dead last in free throw percentage. Amen Thompson has an array of skills and looks poised to be a unique star. Alas, Thompson has no credible jump shot. VanVleet is not a creator, Smith has limited handle. Adding Durant directly addresses the Rockets’ most glaring weakness.

The price the Rockets paid was in the big picture, minimal, unless you think Jalen Green is going to become a bonafide star. Green is still just 23 years old and spectacular athletically, but nothing he has done over four pro seasons suggests he’s on the cusp of greatness. In no season has Green even shot the league average from the floor or from three. His defense has never been as good as it should be given his athleticism. Compared to some other two-guards who made the NBA move one year removed from high school, four seasons into his career Green is waaaaaay behind where Shae Gilgeous-Alexander, Anthony Edwards, and Devin Booker were four seasons in, and now well behind his draft classmate Cade Cunningham. Dillon Brooks was a solid pro in two seasons here and shot a career-best from three in 2024-2025, but he’s being replaced by Kevin Durant! In terms of the draft pick capital sent to Phoenix, five second round picks are essentially meaningless. The Rockets have multiple extra first round picks in the coming years. As for the sole first-rounder dealt away, whichever player the Rockets would have taken 10th Wednesday night would have been rather unlikely to crack the playing rotation.

VanVleet signs extension

Re-signing Fred VanVleet to a two-year, 50 million dollar guarantee is sensible. In a vacuum, VanVleet was substantially overpaid at the over 40 mil he made per season the last two. He’s a middle-of-the-pack starting point guard. But his professionalism and headiness brought major value to the Rockets’ kiddie corps while their payroll was otherwise very low. Ideally, Reed Sheppard makes a leap to look like an NBA lead guard in his second season, after a pretty much zippo of a rookie campaign. Sheppard is supposed to be a lights-out shooter. For the Rockets to max out, they need two sharpshooters on the court to balance Thompson’s presence.

For Astro-centric conversation, join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday. Click here to catch!

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