How these X-factors could tilt Browns-Texans playoff matchup in Houston's favor
TEXANS ON TAP
10 January 2024
TEXANS ON TAP
As the Houston Texans prepare to host the Cleveland Browns in Saturday's Wild Card matchup, there are some key matchups that could swing this game in the Texans' direction.
The Browns struggled mightily to get anything going on the ground in their first matchup against Houston. However, after the Texans struggled to contain Jonathan Taylor last week, you have to think Cleveland will see some opportunities to get their run game going this time around.
And one of the reasons for that revolves around one of the biggest strengths of their team. Time of possession. The Browns lead the league in this category, and if they get the rushing attack going, they can keep the ball out of CJ Stroud's hands.
Cleveland also leads the league in passing yards against and total yards against. Stroud didn't play in the first matchup between these two teams, so a lot of what happened a few weeks ago can be thrown out the window. But there's no way around it, moving the ball against the Cleveland defense is the toughest challenge in the NFL, especially through the air.
With that in mind, the health of Houston's receivers will be paramount in this game. After Nico Collins' massive showing (9 rec, 195 yards, 1TD) against the Colts, the Browns will do everything they can to keep him from wrecking the game. The Texans can't have another performance like last week, when no receiver other than Collins had more than 10 yards receiving.
The good news for Houston fans is that Robert Woods was back at practice on Wednesday, and hopefully Noah Brown is able to return to practice later this week and play on Saturday. Both players missed the Colts game.
Dalton Schultz led the Texans in receiving yards in the first game against Cleveland, that can't happen this time around if the Texans expect to win.
Texans defense
Not only was CJ Stroud missing from the Browns game a few weeks ago, but so were Will Anderson and Jonathan Greenard (left early, ankle). Not to mention Sheldon Rankins. Upon further review, he did play in the game, but you've wouldn't have known it from the stat sheet with zero tackles, zero QB hits, zero assists, and zero sacks. It's fair to assume he received some extra attention with Anderson and Greenard out.
Players at Texans practice
Will Anderson
Maliek Collins
Jonathan Greenard
Shaq Mason
Sheldon Rankins
Laremy Tunsil
Robert Woods
Team getting healthier at the right time
— DJ Bien-Aime (@Djbienaime) January 10, 2024
While the Texans listed Greenard and Anderson as not participating in practice on Wednesday, it's good news that they were in attendance. Joe Flacco has a thrown an interception in every game he's played this season, with 2 against Houston, and 3 against the Bears.
Getting some pressure from the Texans d-line could help force some turnovers on Saturday. Plus, Amari Cooper went bananas against Houston's secondary recently (11 catches, 265 yards, 2TDs). Limiting the amount of time Flacco has to throw could greatly help the Texans corners.
So who comes out on top in this Wild Card matchup?
Don't miss the video above for our early preview, and our predictions for the game.
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In Houston, the winning standard has been set so high that anything short of World Series contention now feels like failure. And yet, the 2025 Astros find themselves at an unfamiliar crossroads—caught between the fading brilliance of past stars and the uncertain promise of what comes next.
Jose Altuve is at the center of this issue. His early struggles (-0.5 WAR) may indicate more than just a temporary slump. And when he swung at the first pitch after Lance McCullers had just endured a grueling 33-pitch inning on Sunday, it raised a bigger question: who has the influence to talk to Altuve?
The Astros’ culture has long been praised for its accountability, but who inside the clubhouse has the standing to challenge or counsel Altuve or other vets when needed? With so many veteran voices gone, there’s a growing sense that no one does—and that’s a problem. That’s why the idea of bringing back Michael Brantley—not as a player, but as a respected voice—could make some sense. Brantley was always viewed as a quiet leader, and his presence could restore some of the guidance this roster desperately needs.
Batter up?
While the Astros have built a reputation for reviving pitchers' careers, their track record with hitters is far less impressive. There are few, if any, examples of a bat joining Houston and unlocking a new level. That failure in development becomes especially stark when considering how much they’re currently leaning on homegrown youth.
Which brings us to Zach Dezenzo. The 24-year-old rookie is showing he belongs—his .737 OPS makes him one of the more productive bats in a lineup that desperately needs stability while Yordan Alvarez nurses an injury. While Victor Caratini provides the Astros with the ability to switch hit, he's hitting just .217. Dezenzo should be starting every day in left, with Yordan out. Jose Altuve, who has already played too many innings this year, should be shifted to DH duties to ease his physical burden. The Astros should go with Cam Smith in right and keep Jake Meyers in center to round out the outfield.
GM Dana Brown has made clear that he views Dezenzo as a first baseman or left fielder for the future. So why not get him in the lineup while Yordan's out and see what he can do with consistent playing time?
Of course, losing Yordan Alvarez is always going to hurt. But the numbers tell a surprising story. Yordan currently holds a -0.4 WAR, right there alongside Altuve and Christian Walker as the only Astros with negative marks. On paper, the team hasn’t lost much production. But let’s not kid ourselves—Yordan’s mere presence alters how opponents pitch to this team. The lineup without him lacks fear factor, and the margins get razor-thin.
Speaking of margins, one move that may haunt this front office is the decision to sign Christian Walker. The veteran first baseman is hitting just .205 with a .617 OPS—far below the level expected from a player earning $20 million annually through 2027. Compare that to Jon Singleton, who posted better numbers in 2024 and currently boasts an .880 OPS in Triple-A with the Mets organization. Walker's defense is strong, but it's hard to argue that justifies the price tag. Singleton might not be a Gold Glover, or anything close, but he came much cheaper and was quietly more productive with the bat.
No regrets?
There’s also a broader question looming: if fans had known that Altuve’s massive contract extension would potentially cost the team the ability to re-sign current MVP candidates Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman, would they still have supported the deal? Hindsight is cruel, but with Altuve’s decline and Tucker and Bregman thriving, it’s a fair debate. Houston might have paid for the past instead of securing its future.
Big deals on the horizon?
All eyes now turn to owner Jim Crane. This winter, Houston's payroll will have considerable room to maneuver. But will Crane commit to restocking the lineup with All-Star-caliber bats, or will his reluctance to offer long-term deals keep the Astros stuck in a holding pattern? It’s one thing to let players walk. It’s another to fail to replace them.
The Astros still have the bones of a contender, but the road back to dominance is getting steeper. The team can’t simply rely on what used to work. It’s time for difficult conversations, bold lineup changes, and a rethinking of how this organization develops—and retains—offensive talent.
We have so much more to get to. Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!
The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday!
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