THE PALLILOG

Here's why Houston Texans have a lot more on the line than just a win over Colts

Texans CJ Stroud, Anthony Richardson
The Texans host the Colts this Sunday! Composite Getty Image.

The AFC South title isn’t on the line Sunday at NRG Stadium, but should the Texans beat the Indianapolis Colts the only way they don’t successfully defend their division crown is by blowing it. Having edged Indy 29-27 in the season opener, the Texans can sweep the season series and tiebreaker that goes with that. A victory boosts the Texans to 6-2 and drops the Colts to 4-4. That would mean that if the Texans went a disappointing 4-5 over their remaining games, they’d still win the South unless the Colts went 7-2 or better. Consider that after leaving Houston three of Indy’s next four opponents are the Vikings, Bills, and Lions. The chances of the Colts winning seven of their final nine games seem closer to none than slim. On the flip side, should the Texans drop their second straight game, the division race is even as we all go to sleep Sunday night.

Stroud vs. Richardson

While C.J. Stroud is coming off the most feeble passing performance of his young career (a pitiful 86 yards at Green Bay), at least everyone knows he is very good. The Coltsstarting quarterback is not good. Not good yet at least. They are committed to scatter-armed second year man Anthony Richardson. Having spent the fourth overall pick in the 2023 draft on him (two selections after the Texans lucked into Stroud), the Colts understandably will give Richardson ample time to grow (they hope). But 39-year-old backup Joe Flacco throws the ball much better. Missing all but four games of his rookie season due to injury, and already having missed two full games and most of a third to injury this season, no doubt has retarded Richardson’s development. But an inaccurate thrower has a ceiling well below the clouds, and questions about Richardson’s accuracy were real when he was in college at Florida. So far this season Richardson is completing a wretched 49 percent of his passes with three touchdown passes and six interceptions. Flacco has thrown seven TDs vs. one pick.Richardson’s six INTshave come in just 101 pass attempts. As a rookie Stroud racked up 499 attempts with just five INTs.Richardson has also fumbled four times already this season. Nevertheless, he has big play potential because the arm is huge (remember the 60-yard bomb he landed against the Texans) and Richardson is a superior athlete. He ran the ball 14 times this past Sunday as the Colts uglied out a 16-10 win over offensively helpless Miami. To help their cause this Sunday the Colts may get back running back Jonathan Taylor after three games missed due to a high-ankle sprain. That would make the Texans’ defensive task much tougher, though in the openerthe Texans limited Taylor to just 48 yards on 16 carries with a longest run of a mere seven yards.

The Texans meanwhile continue to endure offensive life without Nico Collins. Without Joe Mixon the Texans basically have no running game, without Collins the passing game is hamstrung (cruel irony). No other Texans’ receiver gives Stroud a target who wins 50/50 balls by out-sizing and/or out-talenting defensive backs. Neither Stefon Diggs nor Tank Dell is averaging 10 yards per reception. Diggs is at 9.9, Dell, last season before injury such a deep threat, is at 9.7. The “throw it up for Nico to make a play” option is missed that much more with the Texans' too often sorry pass-blocking. The Packers’ non-elite pass rush regularly baffled and beat the Texans' pass protection. Offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik and offensive line coach Chris Strausser need to be better. On the player side left guard Kenyon Green remains the clear weakest link. Green and company may have to deal with Colts’ d-line beast DeForest Buckner who is set to return from his own high-ankle sprain after being out five games. Buckner registered a sack and a half in the season’s first meeting with the Texans.

Texans sign notable free agent

Interesting signing this week with the Texans adding linebacker Devin White. There is no sign that Christian Harris is nearing return. After missing the Green Bay game Azeez Al-Shaair is iffy this week, ditto Henry To’o To’o. White’s pedigree is better than all of them, but it obviously says something that he was available off the street. A stud at LSU, White was the fifth pick in the 2019 Draft. In the 2020 season he helped Tampa Bay win a Super Bowl. His 2021 season earned a Pro Bowl selection. After losing his starting job with the Buccaneers late last season all White found as a free agent was a one-year deal with Philadelphia. He never made the Eagles’ gameday 53-man roster, inactive for four games before missing one for “personal reasons,” then getting cut. What gives? White best realize that if he shows little with the Texans his career could be toast at just 26 years old.

For Texans’ conversation, catch Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me on our Texans On Tap podcasts. Thursdays feature a preview of the upcoming game, and then we go live (then available on demand) after the final gun of the game: Texans on Tap - YouTube

The Astros are always in season for discussion. Our Stone Cold ‘Stros podcasts drop Mondays: Click here to watch!

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Fans of Houston sports and Houston food can now score tickets to The Tailgate, CultureMap's all-out party devoted to everyone’s favorite way to get in the gameday spirit. The event, presented by Verizon, goes down from 6-9 pm November 11 at 8th Wonder. Find out more about it here.

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The Astros are cooking! Composite Getty Image.

The Houston Astros didn’t just sweep the Philadelphia Phillies. They sent a message.

In three tightly contested games against one of the best teams in baseball, the Astros leaned on their elite pitching and timely offense to secure a statement sweep. Hunter Brown was electric in the finale, shutting down the Phillies’ lineup and showing the kind of dominance that’s become a defining feature of his game. Bryan Abreu slammed the door with four strikeouts to close out the win, and rookie Cam Smith delivered the deciding blow — an RBI single in the eighth to drive in Isaac Paredes, lifting the Astros to a 2-1 victory.

It wasn’t a series filled with offensive fireworks, but that’s exactly the point. Both teams sent out top-tier pitching throughout the series, and Houston was the team that kept finding a way. For much of the season, the Astros’ inconsistent offense might’ve been a concern in a series like this. But this time, it felt different. The bats showed up just enough, and the pitching did the rest.

Now, with Houston on pace for 96 wins at the halfway point, the question becomes: Is the league officially on notice?

Maybe. Maybe not. But one thing is certain, the Astros have the third-best record in baseball, they’re 17-7 in one-run games, and they’re playing with the kind of rhythm that’s defined their near-decade of dominance. Unlike last year’s uneven campaign, this version of the Astros looks like a team that’s rediscovered its edge. Whether or not they need to take care of business against the Cubs to validate it, their recent run leaves little doubt: when Houston is clicking, there are very few teams built to stop them.

Off the field, however, a bit of long-term uncertainty is starting to creep in. Reports surfaced this week that extension talks with shortstop Jeremy Peña have been put on hold as he recently signed with super-agent Scott Boras. The combination has led many to wonder if Peña might follow the same free-agent path as Alex Bregman, Carlos Correa, and others before him. Boras clients rarely settle early, and Peña, now one of the most valuable shortstops in the game, could command a price tag the Astros have historically avoided paying.

If Peña and even Hunter Brown are likely to get priced out of Houston, the front office may need to pivot. Isaac Paredes could be the most logical extension candidate on the roster. His approach — particularly his ability to pull the ball with authority — is tailor-made for Daikin Park and the Crawford Boxes. Last year, Paredes struggled to leave the yard at Wrigley Field, but in Houston, he’s thriving. Locking him in long term would give the Astros offensive stability and the kind of value they’ve typically targeted.

As for Cam Smith, the breakout rookie is far from free agency and will remain a cost-controlled piece for years. That’s exactly why his contributions now, like his clutch eighth-inning knock to beat Philadelphia, matter so much. He's one more reason why the Astros don’t just look good right now. They look dangerous.

And the rest of the league is starting to feel it.

There's so much more to get to! Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!

The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday.

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