THE PALLILOG
Here's why Houston Texans have a lot more on the line than just a win over Colts
Oct 24, 2024, 2:20 pm
THE PALLILOG
The AFC South title isn’t on the line Sunday at NRG Stadium, but should the Texans beat the Indianapolis Colts the only way they don’t successfully defend their division crown is by blowing it. Having edged Indy 29-27 in the season opener, the Texans can sweep the season series and tiebreaker that goes with that. A victory boosts the Texans to 6-2 and drops the Colts to 4-4. That would mean that if the Texans went a disappointing 4-5 over their remaining games, they’d still win the South unless the Colts went 7-2 or better. Consider that after leaving Houston three of Indy’s next four opponents are the Vikings, Bills, and Lions. The chances of the Colts winning seven of their final nine games seem closer to none than slim. On the flip side, should the Texans drop their second straight game, the division race is even as we all go to sleep Sunday night.
Stroud vs. Richardson
While C.J. Stroud is coming off the most feeble passing performance of his young career (a pitiful 86 yards at Green Bay), at least everyone knows he is very good. The Colts’ starting quarterback is not good. Not good yet at least. They are committed to scatter-armed second year man Anthony Richardson. Having spent the fourth overall pick in the 2023 draft on him (two selections after the Texans lucked into Stroud), the Colts understandably will give Richardson ample time to grow (they hope). But 39-year-old backup Joe Flacco throws the ball much better. Missing all but four games of his rookie season due to injury, and already having missed two full games and most of a third to injury this season, no doubt has retarded Richardson’s development. But an inaccurate thrower has a ceiling well below the clouds, and questions about Richardson’s accuracy were real when he was in college at Florida. So far this season Richardson is completing a wretched 49 percent of his passes with three touchdown passes and six interceptions. Flacco has thrown seven TDs vs. one pick. Richardson’s six INTs have come in just 101 pass attempts. As a rookie Stroud racked up 499 attempts with just five INTs. Richardson has also fumbled four times already this season. Nevertheless, he has big play potential because the arm is huge (remember the 60-yard bomb he landed against the Texans) and Richardson is a superior athlete. He ran the ball 14 times this past Sunday as the Colts uglied out a 16-10 win over offensively helpless Miami. To help their cause this Sunday the Colts may get back running back Jonathan Taylor after three games missed due to a high-ankle sprain. That would make the Texans’ defensive task much tougher, though in the opener the Texans limited Taylor to just 48 yards on 16 carries with a longest run of a mere seven yards.
The Texans meanwhile continue to endure offensive life without Nico Collins. Without Joe Mixon the Texans basically have no running game, without Collins the passing game is hamstrung (cruel irony). No other Texans’ receiver gives Stroud a target who wins 50/50 balls by out-sizing and/or out-talenting defensive backs. Neither Stefon Diggs nor Tank Dell is averaging 10 yards per reception. Diggs is at 9.9, Dell, last season before injury such a deep threat, is at 9.7. The “throw it up for Nico to make a play” option is missed that much more with the Texans' too often sorry pass-blocking. The Packers’ non-elite pass rush regularly baffled and beat the Texans' pass protection. Offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik and offensive line coach Chris Strausser need to be better. On the player side left guard Kenyon Green remains the clear weakest link. Green and company may have to deal with Colts’ d-line beast DeForest Buckner who is set to return from his own high-ankle sprain after being out five games. Buckner registered a sack and a half in the season’s first meeting with the Texans.
Texans sign notable free agent
Interesting signing this week with the Texans adding linebacker Devin White. There is no sign that Christian Harris is nearing return. After missing the Green Bay game Azeez Al-Shaair is iffy this week, ditto Henry To’o To’o. White’s pedigree is better than all of them, but it obviously says something that he was available off the street. A stud at LSU, White was the fifth pick in the 2019 Draft. In the 2020 season he helped Tampa Bay win a Super Bowl. His 2021 season earned a Pro Bowl selection. After losing his starting job with the Buccaneers late last season all White found as a free agent was a one-year deal with Philadelphia. He never made the Eagles’ gameday 53-man roster, inactive for four games before missing one for “personal reasons,” then getting cut. What gives? White best realize that if he shows little with the Texans his career could be toast at just 26 years old.
For Texans’ conversation, catch Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me on our Texans On Tap podcasts. Thursdays feature a preview of the upcoming game, and then we go live (then available on demand) after the final gun of the game: Texans on Tap - YouTube
The Astros are always in season for discussion. Our Stone Cold ‘Stros podcasts drop Mondays: Click here to watch!
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The Houston Texans have a chance to win a third straight AFC South title this season with quarterback C.J. Stroud and coach DeMeco Ryans.
The challenge?
Nobody has won three straight titles since Peyton Manning was in his prime with the Indianapolis Colts in this division’s early years. The Tennessee Titans most recently came the closest only to come up short in 2022.
“I’m not really sure like what the next step is,” Houston general manager Nick Caserio said. “I mean we have a good football team, so we’ve been one of the best eight teams in the league the last two years. So what’s going to happen beyond that nobody has any idea.”
The Texans have advanced to two straight divisional rounds each of the past two postseasons, losing both with the most recent to Kansas City 23-14 in January. Caserio made a variety of moves to help Stroud, and coach DeMeco Ryans switched offensive coordinators as well.
Houston tight end Dalton Schultz said they just have to do one thing to get past the divisional round.
“It’s never the same as the year before, and there’s always some little wrinkle that is going to hit the league or hit your team,” Schultz said.
Houston went 10-7 in 2024 with the Colts at 8-9 with everyone working furiously to catch up — or else.
Indianapolis switched starting quarterbacks. Jacksonville hired a new coach and general manager before trading up to draft Heisman Trophy winner Travis Hunter. Tennessee has No. 1 draft pick overall in Cam Ward starting at quarterback after firing and hiring a new general manager.
“This league is a year-to-year league and what do I feel is best for the Colts in 2025,” Colts coach Shane Steichen said.
Houston has to protect Stroud better. Only Chicago’s Caleb Williams was sacked more than the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. With the pounding, Stroud’s production dipped as he was sacked 52 times with his interceptions more than doubling to 12 from his rookie season.
Stroud still threw for 3,727 yards and 20 touchdowns. Ryans fired Bobby Slowik and hired Nick Caley as offensive coordinator.
“He comes from a different style than I’m used to, at least in the NFL,” Stroud said of Caley. “So, it’s cool just to learn something new and put another tool in my toolbox.”
Caserio traded five-time Pro Bowl left tackle Laremy Tunsil to Washington during the offseason to clear space to sign younger players. The Texans are expected to start a rookie at left tackle in second-round pick Aireontae Ersery with Tytus Howard at right tackle where he started 16 games last season.
Houston also acquired Christian Kirk, signed Justin Watson and drafted a pair of receivers out of Iowa State to provide depth behind Nico Collins after letting Stefon Diggs leave in free agency. Caserio also sent wide receiver John Metchie to Philadelphia for tight end Harrison Bryant on Aug. 17.
Indianapolis has missed the playoffs the past four seasons, and a fifth straight could cost Steichen and general manager Chris Ballard their jobs with the late Jim Irsay’s daughters now running the franchise.
Going with Daniel Jones means the franchise who went two decades with Manning and Andrew Luck at quarterback will have yet another starter on opening day. Since 2017, only Anthony Richardson has started back-to-back season openers.
Yet the fourth overall pick in 2023 couldn’t stay healthy or help Jonathan Taylor nearly enough. Taylor ran for 1,431 yards and 11 TDs as Richardson completed just 47.7% of his throws, the lowest rate of any regular starter in the NFL.
Steichen said Richardson, 23, was thrown into the fire. The Colts coach isn’t ready to talk about Jones’ future.
“Let’s see how the season goes,” Steichen said.
The biggest makeover came in Jacksonville, firing a Super Bowl-winning coach in Doug Pederson and GM Trent Baalke. The Jaguars hired Liam Coen as coach and James Gladstone, 34, as their new GM.
The Jaguars are trying to fix a team that went 3-10 in one-score games in 2024 with the franchise losers of 18 of its past 23.
In his first head coaching job, Coen, 39, has a pair of first-timers in offensive coordinator Grant Udinski and defensive coordinator Anthony Campanile. As coordinator in Tampa Bay, Coen became the first NFL coordinator in at least 25 years to help a team average more than 28 points a game.
He has Trevor Lawrence, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 draft, who was limited by injuries to 10 games in 2024. Wide receiver Brian Thomas now can get help from Hunter, even if the rookie will also play some defense.
Brian Callahan also was a first-time head coach a year ago with the Titans. He brought in a former NFL head coach in Mike McCoy this offseason among a handful of other changes to apply his lessons learned.
Mike Borgonzi was hired as GM when Ran Carthon’s big offseason spending spree didn’t pan out. The Titans have embraced their rebuild even if they added veteran receivers Tyler Lockett and Van Jefferson along with left tackle Dan Moore Jr. and right guard Kevin Zeitler.
Houston, Indianapolis, Tennessee, Jacksonville.