THE PALLILOG
How undefeated streaks collide in clash between Texans and road warrior Lions
Nov 7, 2024, 4:41 pm
Can Joe Mixon help the Texans remain undefeated at home? Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images.
With the Texans coming off their sorry second half showing at the Jets and the Detroit Lions coming to town riding a six-game winning streak, it has the look of pretender vs. contender Sunday night at NRG Stadium. The 7-1 Lions are obviously the better team but that is no guarantee that they will be the better team Sunday night. The point spread is only three and a half points. It’s not as if a Texans victory would be a stunning upset. The Texans knocking off the Lions would not balance the books for the Detroit Tigers having bounced the Astros from the baseball playoffs last month, but it would be one of the better regular season wins in Texans’ history.
If not upsetting, it certainly isn’t uplifting that Nick Caserio made zero consequential moves before Tuesday’s trade deadline. If you’re a Texans fan it is upsetting, though shouldn’t be infuriating. Claiming off waivers an offensive lineman (Zachary Thomas) who was getting about 10 snaps per game on one of the very worst o-lines in the NFL (New England Patriots) does not qualify as consequential. It’s not as if Caserio could snap his fingers and make a great deal for a legitimate starting left guard. But his job is to build the roster and he made nothing that qualifies as even a modest upgrade to the most glaring weakness on the team. Play can’t be much worse than what Kenyon Green was providing at left guard before his season-ending injury. But Kenyon was only playing because the staff considered him better than Kendrick Green and Jarrett Patterson. Or, Kenyon was getting unwarranted extended run to prove conclusively he was a waste of a first-round draft pick in 2022.
If Caserio believes the Texans are a bonafide threat in the AFC, adding nothing is a clear fail. Any gurgling about “we believe in our guys” as justification for inertia should be scoffed at, unless Caserio or anyone else believes the Chiefs, Bills, Steelers, and Ravens didn’t “believe in their guys.” All those AFC contenders made clear upgrades. This is not talking about the Texans trading high draft choices. Last week the Minnesota Vikings acquired Jacksonville starting left tackle Cam Robinson for a conditional fifth-round pick.
Tale of the tape
As for Sunday, NBC has to be hoping the Texans being 4-0 this season at NRG Stadium bodes well for them, at least giving the Lions a good game. The Texans are with the Chiefs, Bills, Commanders (!), and Bears (!!) as unbeaten at home. On the other hand, the Lions are a perfect 4-0 on the road. The Chiefs and Falcons have also yet to lose on the road.
While hoping that Aidan Hutchinson makes a complete recovery from his multiple leg fractures, the Lions’ beastly defensive end’s absence sure helps the cause of the Texans’ feeble pass-protecting offensive line. Hutchinson was the early leader for Defensive Player of the Year with seven and a half sacks in five games before he went down. The Lions traded for DE Za’Darius Smith from Cleveland this week. It’s unclear whether Smith makes his Detroit debut chasing C.J. Stroud.
The Texans have topped 30 points in a game once this season. The Lions average an NFL-leading 32.3 per game, topping 30 in four of their last five games, only coming up short last Sunday in a rain-soaked 24-14 win at Green Bay. Over those five games quarterback Jared Goff has completed an absurd 83.8 percent of his passes, with 11 touchdown passes and no interceptions. For the season Goff is completing 74.9 percent. If he maintains that number, he’ll break the NFL record of 74.4 that Drew Brees posted with the Saints in 2018.
Third time's the charm?
Only once in their history have the Texans managed three consecutive winning seasons. They went 9-7 in each of them under Bill O’Brien in 2014, ‘15, and ‘16. They did so with three different quarterbacks leading them in passing yardage: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brian Hoyer, and Brock Osweiler (really!). The Lions are two victories from securing their first back-to-back-to-back winning seasons since 1993, ‘94, and ‘95. That was the heyday of the great Barry Sanders at running back. Three different quarterbacks led the Lions in passing yardage those years. You’re probably fibbing if you claimed “I know them: Rodney Peete, Dave Krieg, and Scott Mitchell.”
For Texans’ conversation, catch Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me on our Texans On Tap podcasts. Thursdays feature a preview of the upcoming game, and then we go live (then available on demand) after the final gun of the game: Texans on Tap - YouTube
The Astros are always in season for discussion. Our Stone Cold ‘Stros podcasts drop Mondays: Click here to watch!
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Houston’s offense hit a new low Sunday night when the Texans lost to the Detroit Lions despite intercepting Jared Goff a franchise-record five times.
The Texans led by 16 at halftime but gave up 19 unanswered points in the second half to allow the Lions to escape with a 26-23 win.
C.J. Stroud was intercepted on two of Houston’s first three possessions of the second half, and the Texans punted on three straight drives after the second pick. They still had a chance to take the lead late, but Ka'imi Fairbairn’s 58-yard field goal attempt sailed wide left.
Jake Bates' 52-yard field goal as time expired sent Houston (6-4) to its third loss in four games after a 5-1 start.
“We didn’t play winning football,” coach DeMeco Ryans said. “We stalled on a lot drives and didn’t score any points in the second half. To beat a good football team like that, we have to be able to sustain drives. We have to be able to score points. We were going backwards way too much.”
Stroud tied a season high with his two interceptions after he hadn’t been picked off in the previous three games. He was disappointed in himself for not executing better in the second half.
“Defense is getting the turnovers like they were, so we’ve got to be able to reward them with points,” he said. “That’s something we didn’t do. I feel like I’m the one to blame when it comes to that.”
The Texans routinely found themselves in third-and-long situations against the Lions as they struggled to run the ball. Houston managed just 56 yards rushing Sunday, its second-lowest output of the season.
“We have to win first and second down,” Ryans said. “Too many negative plays on first and second down. We didn’t run the ball well. ... When you don’t play well on first and second down, you find yourself in third-and-long, and it’s hard to continuously win third-and-long.”
What's working
Houston’s five interceptions are the most in the NFL since the Panthers picked off Jameis Winston five times in a win over Tampa Bay on Oct. 14, 2019.
Houston’s rookies led the way Sunday with Kamari Lassiter, a second-round pick from Georgia, grabbing two interceptions and Calen Bullock getting one. Bullock, selected in the third round from Southern California, has four interceptions, which is tied for most by a rookie this season.
What needs help
The Texans have led at halftime in each of their last four games, only to lose three of those. Houston has managed just 15 points combined in the second half of the last four games and hasn’t scored a touchdown after halftime in any of them.
Stroud couldn’t put his finger on why they’ve had trouble after halftime, saying it “seems like it’s different every week.” He believes it's up to him to turn things around.
“The blame is on me,” he said. “I’ve got to be better in those moments.”
Stock up
WR John Metchie III. The third-year player had a career-high 74 yards receiving and scored the first touchdown of his career on a 15-yard grab in the second quarter. Metchie missed his entire rookie season in 2022 recovering from leukemia.
“I’m super proud of him and super happy that he’s getting his opportunities and showing his worth,” Stroud said.
Stock down
WR Tank Dell had 39 yards receiving a week after he had a season-high 126. The Texans need him to play more consistently with star Stefon Diggs out for the season with a knee injury.
Injuries
WR Nico Collins was activated from the injured reserve on Saturday but was inactive against the Lions, extending his absence to five games. ... DE Will Anderson Jr. (ankle) did not play. ... Lassiter will likely miss the next game after sustaining a concussion.
Key number
34 – Stroud was sacked four times to raise his total to 34, which is the second most in the NFL this season.
Next steps
The Texans will have an extra day to prepare and try to clean up their mistakes before an in-state showdown next Monday night at the Dallas Cowboys, who have dropped four in a row.