GAMBLING GUIDE

Huge Saturday night for wagering action

Huge Saturday night for wagering action
Tom Herman's teams are 13-0 against the spread as an underdog. Tim Warner/Getty Images

Finished 2-1-1 last weekend, with the only loss being a $25 parlay. Overall a profit- and during the grind it out weeks of football season we will take it. Never force anything when you are down,  and always try and analyze your mistakes and make corrections. Last week my mistake was an emotional bias towards the Chiefs – a line that told me to stay away or play Pittsburgh.

It is going to be a huge Saturday night in sports. USC/Notre Dame, Michigan/Penn State, and Astros Game 7. Flip between USC/Notre Dame and the Astros. No need to worry about Michigan throwing 5 interceptions. DVR that garbage QB play.

USC +4 @ Notre Dame – Notre Dame has burned me several times this year. However, I think people are too down on a USC team that really has not impressed all year. This game was a pick-em preseason. 4 points is too big of a swing for me. If Sam Darnold is right, this game is close, and USC can win.

Arizona State @ Utah -6.5 first half. – Utah is very physical and should over power a soft Arizona State team coming off one of their biggest wins in program history. Arizona State might be able to throw their way back into this one second half. I look for Utah to control the line of scrimmage and punch Arizona State in the mouth early. Hard to get up for Utah after last weekend.

Indiana/Michigan State Over 46- 9 of the last 10 times these two teams have played each other they have gone over 46. The only under was last year at 45.

Oklahoma State @ Texas +7- There are several trends that point to OK St – but Tom Herman has his team in the underdog role again. Herman is 13-0 ATS as a underdog dating back to his OC days at Ohio State. That’s a long time to cover.

Kansas +39 @ TCU – Disgusting, I know. Go searching for the last time TCU covered against Kansas… Next, find the last home game TCU covered. I’m playing Kansas. Something is wrong with me.

Ravens/Vikings Under 38 Both teams really struggle to score at times. Should be a low scoring game.

Any questions please hit me up on Twitter @jayoff288W

Wake Forest was the last game cut off my card for what it is worth.

Hope your weekend is profitable.

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The Astros have their work cut out for them. Composite Getty Image.

Through 20 games, the Houston Astros have managed just six wins and are in last place in the AL West.

Their pitching staff trails only Colorado with a 5.24 ERA and big-money new closer Josh Hader has given up the same number of earned runs in 10 games as he did in 61 last year.

Despite this, these veteran Astros, who have reached the AL Championship Series seven consecutive times, have no doubt they’ll turn things around.

“If there’s a team that can do it, it’s this team,” shortstop Jeremy Peña said.

First-year manager Joe Espada, who was hired in January to replace the retired Dusty Baker, discussed his team’s early struggles.

“It’s not ideal,” he said. “It’s not what we expected, to come out of the shoot playing this type of baseball. But you know what, this is where we’re at and we’ve got to pick it up and play better. That’s just the bottom line.”

Many of Houston’s problems have stemmed from a poor performance by a rotation that has been decimated by injuries. Ace Justin Verlander and fellow starter José Urquidy haven’t pitched this season because of injuries and lefty Framber Valdez made just two starts before landing on the injured list with a sore elbow.

Ronel Blanco, who threw a no-hitter in his season debut April 1, has pitched well and is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in three starts this season. Cristian Javier is also off to a good start, going 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA in four starts, but the team has won just two games not started by those two pitchers.

However, Espada wouldn’t blame the rotation for Houston’s current position.

“It’s been a little bit of a roller coaster how we've played overall,” he said. “One day we get good starting pitching, some days we don’t. The middle relief has been better and sometimes it hasn’t been. So, we’ve just got to put it all together and then play more as a team. And once we start doing that, we’ll be in good shape.”

The good news for the Astros is that Verlander will make his season debut Friday night when they open a series at Washington and Valdez should return soon after him.

“Framber and Justin have been a great part of our success in the last few years,” second baseman Jose Altuve said. “So, it’s always good to have those two guys back helping the team. We trust them and I think it’s going to be good.”

Hader signed a five-year, $95 million contract this offseason to give the Astros a shutdown 7-8-9 combination at the back end of their bullpen with Bryan Abreu and Ryan Pressly. But the five-time All-Star is off to a bumpy start.

He allowed four runs in the ninth inning of a 6-1 loss to the Braves on Monday night and has yielded eight earned runs this season after giving up the same number in 56 1/3 innings for San Diego last year.

He was much better Wednesday when he struck out the side in the ninth before the Astros fell to Atlanta in 10 innings for their third straight loss.

Houston’s offense, led by Altuve, Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker, ranks third in the majors with a .268 batting average and is tied for third with 24 homers this season. But the Astros have struggled with runners in scoring position and often failed to get a big hit in close games.

While many of Houston’s hitters have thrived this season, one notable exception is first baseman José Abreu. The 37-year-old, who is in the second year of a three-year, $58.5 million contract, is hitting 0.78 with just one extra-base hit in 16 games, raising questions about why he remains in the lineup every day.

To make matters worse, his error on a routine ground ball in the eighth inning Wednesday helped the Braves tie the game before they won in extra innings.

Espada brushed off criticism of Abreu and said he knows the 2020 AL MVP can break out of his early slump.

“Because (of) history,” Espada said. “The back of his baseball card. He can do it.”

Though things haven’t gone well for the Astros so far, everyone insists there’s no panic in this team which won its second World Series in 2022.

Altuve added that he doesn’t have to say anything to his teammates during this tough time.

“I think they’ve played enough baseball to know how to control themselves and how to come back to the plan we have, which is winning games,” he said.

The clubhouse was quiet and somber Wednesday after the Astros suffered their third series sweep of the season and second at home. While not panicking about the slow start, this team, which has won at least 90 games in each of the last three seasons, is certainly not happy with its record.

“We need to do everything better,” third baseman Alex Bregman said. “I feel like we’re in a lot of games, but we just haven’t found a way to win them. And good teams find a way to win games. So we need to find a way to win games.”

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