LANCE ZIERLEIN

Is 2018 Bregman greater than 2017 Altuve?

Sep 5, 2018, 9:22 am

Alex Bregman is killing it. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

Right off the jump, I feel like I have to tell you that Jose Altuve is the greatest Astro of all-time. I already know that the Biggio and Bagwell fans will get mad at that, but I’ve already made my point in the past and I’m right. All Altuve is waiting for is time to pass before he’s recognized by every Astros fan as the greatest Astro.

His 2017 MVP Award was an incredible stamp on what was an incredible season for the Houston Astros and all of us living vicariously through the most entertaining and likeable team in Houston sports history. Alex Bregman was a huge part of the championship run last year and will find himself in the top 5 voting for MVP this season. However, a look at both players’ performances in wins and losses shows that Bregman might be even more “valuable” to the 2018 Astros than even Altuve was to the 2017 team.

Altuve 2017

Split	G	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	BB	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS
in Wins	94	91	140	31	4	14	59	23	40	.378	.445	.597	1.042
in Losses	59	21	64	8	0	10	22	9	18	.291	.350	.464	.813

Bregman 2018

Split

RBI

OBP

SLG

OPS

in Wins

108

.333

.434

.630

1.063

in Losses

.234

.330

.416

.747

There are still games to be played, but these Astros are on a very similar win pace to last season’s team. The Astros suffered through pitching injuries last season, but the lineup stayed dangerous. Bregman has had to keep things afloat despite injuries to George Springer, Carlos Correa, and even Jose Altuve.

When the team wins, as noted by the stats, Bregman has had a great deal to do with the “W”. And when he doesn’t hit well, they lose. These numbers clearly show how directly responsible Bregman has been for the Astros success this year. Bregman won’t win the MVP and may not even finish in the top 3, but it’s clear that when discussing “valuable”, Bregman deserves to be at the top.

Fantasy Football Sleeper

Keep a close eye on Indianapolis Colts tight end Eric Ebron. There is a better than average chance that he’s on the free agent list of your league unless you are in a deeper (or sharper league). Ebron caught 5 passes for 54 yards and a touchdown with Luck under center in game three of the preseason.

While Ebron never really lived up to the hype in Detroit, the Colts will be relying heavily on their tight ends in their passing game. On top of that, Andrew Luck’s arm strength could be an issue early on so it wouldn’t surprise me to see Ebron challenge for “safety blanket” status for Luck.

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THE PALLILOG

Here's how the Astros can reap the benefits from latest pitching shakeup

The Astros are utilizing a 6-man rotation. Composite Getty Image.

The Astros should schedule an Old-Timers Game, if not annually maybe every other year. Only the Yankees have regularly played Old Timers Games and it’s a highlight in the Bronx every season. The Astros have plenty enough history to welcome back an ample number of guys to make for a fabulous event. Maybe they could tie it into their now annual Hall of Fame Weekend. Anyway, don’t you feel that if Jose Altuve took part in an Old Timers Game in 2050 he’d bang out a couple of hits, and then if the Astros played him in the regular game he’d line one more hit somehow, at age 60?

After missing the first 43 games of the season while recovering from his broken thumb, Altuve went 0 for four in his first game back, but has since been generally fantastic with his OPS through nine games played at 1.013. It won’t stay that high, but Altuve is a direly needed upgrade to the Astros’ offense which has been utterly mediocre. Offense is the reason the Astros continue to look up at the Texas Rangers in the American League West. The Rangers’ offense has been fantastic, outscoring the Astros by a whopping 100 runs through the first third of the season.

As the regular season entered its middle third this week, the Astros are in the middle of playing a game in 17 consecutive days. It’s their longest stretch of the season without an off day. They are inserting Ronel Blanco as a sixth starting pitcher in the rotation for a couple of turns. The point of mixing in a sixth starter isn’t that the Astros are teeming with guys who belong in a big league rotation. The 29-year-old Blanco is not a notable prospect. This is about lightening the load a little on two guys: Cristian Javier and Hunter Brown.

In becoming a rotation mainstay last season, Javier blew past his previous biggest season workload by nearly 50 innings. He’s on pace to go another 25 innings beyond that this year without even accounting for the playoffs. Hunter Brown last year set his professional high with 130 innings pitched encompassing work with the Space Cowboys and Astros. Brown is on pace for about 170 innings this regular season. That’s a significant jump, and of course the Astros are hoping for another postseason of multiple rounds. Javier, Brown, and Framber Valdez are the three most critical pitchers on the staff, and the Astros hope they remain healthily so for several more years.

Lance McCullers’s latest recovery setback makes his plight increasingly sad. Well, except for him on payday. The odds now lopsidedly favor McCullers never again pitching a near fully healthy and effective season. His only one to date was 2021 (until he broke down in the playoffs), the year before his five year 85 million dollar contract kicked in. McCullers pulls down 17 mil this year (And again next year. And in 2025. And 2026), exactly two and a half times what Framber Valdez makes. I reckon Framber’s representation is aware of this, as it is of the five year 63 million dollar deal the Astros struck with Cristian Javier. Framber is more than three years older than Javier, but has been better, and can hit free agency after the 2025 season, the same time Javier could have gone to market.

Timing isn’t everything but it darn sure can matter. The Astros’ two best relief pitchers through May were Hector Neris and Phil Maton. Neris enters June with a 1.19 earned run average, Maton even better with a teeny-weeny 0.68 ERA. Maton has been especially amazing, given that last year while not pitching very well he posted his career best ERA at 3.84. His 2022 ended ignominiously when after giving up a hit to his brother Nick in the regular season finale, Phil took the ding-a-ling of the week award by breaking his pitching hand punching his locker, sidelining him for the postseason. The Hurt Locker won the Academy Award for Best Picture in 2010. Now Maton is up for Best Pitcher (per inning worked). Both Neris and Maton were James Click acquisitions. Both become free agents after this season.

Up next

Four games with the Angels at Minute Maid Park through the weekend mean the amazing Shohei Ohtani is in town. It’s “Sho-time” on the mound Friday night in a doozy of a pitching matchup with Framber, with Ohtani batting in at least three of the four games. In one player the Angels have a pitcher as good as Cristian Javier and a hitter better than Kyle Tucker. And the Angels will probably miss the playoffs again anyway. And then lose Ohtani in free agency. After the Angels series the Astros are on the road next week. They start with four games at Toronto against the Blue Jays’ very potent lineup, then it’s three at Cleveland vs. the Guardians whose offense has been pathetic so far this season.

Walk this way

Geek Astro factoid of the week: Jeremy Pena drew two walks in Tuesday’s win over the Twins. In his rookie season, Pena had only one two walk game, also in May, also against the Twins. Tuesday’s bases on balls finally got Pena into double digits for the season. He has just 11 walks drawn (largely explaining his weak .307 on-base percentage) vs. 50 strikeouts.

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Stone Cold ‘Stros is the weekly Astro-centric podcast I am part of alongside Brandon Strange and Josh Jordan. On our regular schedule it goes up at 3PM Monday on the SportsMapHouston YouTube channel, is available there for playback at any point, and also becomes available in podcast form at outlets galore. Such as:

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