GAMBLING GUIDE

Jerry Bo: Bookie Busters mid-week plays

The Dynamo are part of the mid-week plays. Courtesy of Wilf Thorne/Houston Dynamo

I always stress the importance of bankroll management and remind you thats it's a long process to become profitable in sports betting. The figure of 52.4% is one you'll hear referenced when discussing gambling. That's the winning percentage needed to break even when betting lines that are -110 (11/10).

The other day I ran across some numbers that put a perspective on how tough it truly is to win long term. Not only winning, but claiming to be a full-time sports bettor is something less than 3% of gamblers can pull off.

50 game Sample Size  betting -110 and winning 54% (27/50)

A $110 to win $100 bettor  profits $170
A $550 to win $500 bettor profits $850
A  $1100 to win $1000 bettor profits $1700

As you can see the small sample size shows you the meager amount of profit you make over the 50 game sample. If you can sustain this winning rate over time, you’ll  see your bankroll increase. But time is critical, so always remember there are more games and spots to get in on. Winning won't be accomplished overnight.

After a layoff in Bookie Buster plays, we return with a few bets to get the bankroll fatter in time for football season.

Plays

Wednesday 7/25/18

Vorskla Poltava at Dynamo Kiev   Ukraine Premier League
Kiev Team Total Over 2      3U

New York Red Bull at DC United - MLS
Both teams to score    MAX
Over 3        3U


Philadelphia Union at Houston Dynamo MLS
Houston Dynamo  ML 3U

Tolima at Atletico Nacional   Colombia Soccer
Atletico Nacional ML    2U

Thursday 2 MAX PLAYS
Pending.…

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz on Twitter

 

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A WEEKLY REVIEW OF CRENNEL'S COACHING

Now my job: Texans out-Patriot the Patriots

Texans take down the Pats. Photo by Getty Images.

Every dog has its day. A broken clock is right two times a day. All the clichés about it being better to be lucky than good can apply here with the Texans 27-20 win over the Patriots. In a matchup that broke a record for the oldest combined age for opposing head coaches, 141 years old, Romeo Crennel beat his former boss Bill Belichick. There were other narratives at work here, as well as a few things (good and awful) that the coaching staff did.

First thing I saw that I liked was the spread and no-huddle on offense. If you've been following this series of articles, you know I've been on this train quite a while now. This allows Deshaun Watson to find the matchup he likes, exposes the defense because they can't sub, takes advantage of Texans' speed at receiver, and creates a tempo most defenses can't keep up with. Not to mention the spread is the offense Watson operated in at Clemson. 28/37 for 344 yards and two touchdowns of production from Watson was enough for me to say they need to have this as their M.O. moving forward.

Tim Kelly called a great game. He used the short, quick pass game in lieu of the run game. This also helped since Laremy Tunsil was out and Roderick Johnson had to play at left tackle. This offensive line is not very good at run blocking. Hence, why Watson was again the team's leading rusher with only 36 yards. Almost all of those were on scrambles. By going spread and no-huddle, Watson can take advantage of man and zone coverages to extend plays or scramble because most teams won't spy him. Even when they do, he makes them look silly.

Not everything was on the up and up. The defense continued to look like booty juice. Cam Newton threw for 365 yards and Damiere FREAKIN Byrd torched them for 132 of those yards! When I heard the quote from Crennel that defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver is getting the most out of his guys, I found it laughable. To double down on that, Weaver was quoted as saying, "This narrative that's being painted like my guys aren't disciplined and running around blocks, quite frankly and to put it bluntly, is bull---t!" Sorry guys, but you're both wrong. This defense can't fight its way out of a wet paper bag if you gave them knives. The worst part about it is that the offense's best chance at success sets the defense up for failure. Their hurry up scheme leaves little time for this porous defense to catch its wind. If they could get some turnovers or just off the damn field and get stops, it would help the offense.

With six games left, their three games outside the AFC South (Bengals, Lions, Bears) are all winnable. The two matchups against the Colts and the season finale against the Titans will prove to be their biggest tests. However, this is the same team that has four one possession losses. 3-7 could look a lot different if the offense stepped up against the Browns, or the defense made stops against the Steelers, Vikings, or Titans. Let's hope they can build off this win and salvage whatever they can of this season.

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