GAMBLING GUIDE

Jerry Bo: Bookie Busters mid-week plays

The Dynamo are part of the mid-week plays. Courtesy of Wilf Thorne/Houston Dynamo

I always stress the importance of bankroll management and remind you thats it's a long process to become profitable in sports betting. The figure of 52.4% is one you'll hear referenced when discussing gambling. That's the winning percentage needed to break even when betting lines that are -110 (11/10).

The other day I ran across some numbers that put a perspective on how tough it truly is to win long term. Not only winning, but claiming to be a full-time sports bettor is something less than 3% of gamblers can pull off.

50 game Sample Size  betting -110 and winning 54% (27/50)

A $110 to win $100 bettor  profits $170
A $550 to win $500 bettor profits $850
A  $1100 to win $1000 bettor profits $1700

As you can see the small sample size shows you the meager amount of profit you make over the 50 game sample. If you can sustain this winning rate over time, you’ll  see your bankroll increase. But time is critical, so always remember there are more games and spots to get in on. Winning won't be accomplished overnight.

After a layoff in Bookie Buster plays, we return with a few bets to get the bankroll fatter in time for football season.

Plays

Wednesday 7/25/18

Vorskla Poltava at Dynamo Kiev   Ukraine Premier League
Kiev Team Total Over 2      3U

New York Red Bull at DC United - MLS
Both teams to score    MAX
Over 3        3U


Philadelphia Union at Houston Dynamo MLS
Houston Dynamo  ML 3U

Tolima at Atletico Nacional   Colombia Soccer
Atletico Nacional ML    2U

Thursday 2 MAX PLAYS
Pending.…

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz on Twitter

 

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Houston drops the game to Arizona

D-backs outslug Greinke and Astros to take series opener

Photo by Stephen Brashear/Getty Images

With the series win over the Rangers by taking two of three games in the middle of the week, the Astros welcomed the Diamondbacks to Minute Maid Park for a three-game weekend series, Houston's final three regular-season home games. Here is how the opener unfolded:

Final Score: Diamondbacks 6, Astros 3.

Record: 25-26, second in the AL West.

Winning pitcher: Zac Gallen (2-2, 3.00 ERA).

Losing pitcher: Luis Garcia (0-1, 2.53 ERA).

Houston scores first, but Arizona grabs a lead against Greinke

Houston would get on the board first on Friday night, with George Springer reaching base in the bottom of the first on an error, moving to second on a walk, then to third on a single, as the Astros loaded the bases with no out to threaten a big inning. Instead, they would come away with just one run, with Springer taking home on a wild pitch, grabbing the 1-0 lead, but leaving runs on the table.

They doubled their lead in the bottom of the third, getting a two-out RBI-double by Kyle Tucker to make it a 2-0 Houston lead. The D-backs responded in the top of the fourth, getting back-to-back singles to lead off the inning before a three-run homer by Kole Calhoun off of Zack Greinke would put Arizona in front, 3-2. Greinke would finish one more inning before Houston would move to their bullpen, striking out the side to bring his total to nine on the night, making the bad fourth inning the one blemish on his night. His final line: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 0 BB, 9 K, 1 HR, 89 P.

Astros tie it, but D-backs take the opener

George Springer would get Greinke off the hook in the bottom of the fifth, leading off the half-inning with a solo bomb to tie the game at 3-3. Luis Garcia was first out of Houston's bullpen and retired Arizona in order for a 1-2-3 inning in the top of the sixth. He returned for the top of the seventh but would allow a leadoff single, RBI-triple, and wild pitch to bring in two runs. He would face two more batters, allowing a double and getting a strikeout, before Dusty Baker would come out to get him, now down 5-3.

Blake Taylor would make his return from the IL after Garcia, getting back-to-back outs to finish the inning. He continued on in the 5-3 game in the top of the eighth, but allowed a one-out solo homer to Calhoun, his second of the night and fourth RBI. That made it a 6-3 D-backs lead, which would go final as Houston would go scoreless after Springer's home run back in the fifth.

Up Next: The middle game of this three-game set will start Saturday at 6:10 PM Central. The pitching matchup will be Luke Weaver (1-7, 6.70 ERA) for Arizona and Cristian Javier (4-2, 3.22 ERA) for Houston.

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