Race for the title

Joel Blank: Health will be a key factor in NBA playoffs

Lebron and the Cavs have had a rough season. Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

Survival of the fittest?

With the NBA playoffs about to begin, it has been most fans’ dream that the Rockets and Warriors would end up playing in the Western Conference Finals and that Kyrie and Lebron would face off in the East. It's obvious why the Rockets and Warriors matchup would be compelling, as the Warriors have been the dominant team in basketball over the last several years and the Rockets have had a Cinderella season with the addition of Chris Paul and company to an already talented roster led by soon-to-be MVP James Harden. Most people wanted to see Cleveland and Boston square off to decide the Eastern Conference this year, in part because of all the drama that surrounded Kyrie Irving’s shock departure from the Land.  With Irving and Gordon Hayward, who chose Boston in free agency, the C's looked primed to dethrone the King and reign over the East. Unfortunately, 3 of the 4 teams that people wanted to see in the Conference Finals have been devastated by injuries. The Cavs, Celtics and Warriors have been forced to fight through several setbacks throughout the campaign and in the case of Boston, they just recently found out they will be without Kyrie’s services in addition to Hayward. It has become increasingly more realistic that whoever can stay healthy entering and throughout the playoffs may have the best chance to end up with the Larry O'Brien trophy at the end of the season.

When you look across both conferences and the teams that have wrapped up a playoff spot, more than half of them are dealing with injuries to superstars and/or rotational players that play a key role on their team. Let's look at a few contenders that may only be

Pretenders unless they get healthy in a hurry:

The Minnesota Timberwolves.  

For most of the season, the T-wolves were in the top 4 of the Western Conference standings and looked to be a formidable opponent for either the Rockets or the Warriors. With Jimmy Butler leading the way and Karl Anthony Towns establishing himself as one of the best centers in the game, Minnesota looked to have that inside-outside punch necessary to be a contending team. Unfortunately Butler went down with a knee injury a month ago and was forced to have surgery. Since he has been out, the Wolves have gone from the No. 3 seed all the way to the 8th spot in the West. Butler is projected to return to the team sometime near the start of the playoffs, but it remains to be seen if that timetable is realistic, and even if he returns there is no telling if he will be anywhere close to the top form that had him stuffing the box score on a nightly basis. Without Butler at 100%, Minnesota has no chance to advance past the first round of the playoffs.

The San Antonio Spurs have been as close to a dynasty as the NBA has seen since The legendary Celtics teams of Larry Bird and before him, Bill Russell. They looked to be contenders again this season holding on to the 4 seed out West while enduring a lingering and very stange injury situation to Kawhi Leonard. Legendary coach Greg Popovich made LaMarcus Aldridge the centerpiece of a revamped offense that had the Spurs as one of the surpise stories of the season. That was then and this is now. Aldridge ssuffered a knee issue that has hampered him down the stretch and Leonard's injury has lasted all season instead of just a few weeks and now there are more hurt feelings and strained relationships than any lingering affects of the leg issues. Without a healthy Kawhi, the Spurs have no chance of going anywhere in the playoffs.

The Washington Wizards were a team that was projected to be on the cusp of competing for a title with an All-Star backcourt featuring John Wall and Bradley Beal. After taking the Celtics to 7 games in the playoffs a year ago, it looked like this was the year that the Wiz made a statement and  took the next step in becoming contenders in the Eastern Conference. That was before Wall hurt his knee and subsequently went under the knife. He just recently returned to the team after an extended abscence as well as a feud with players in his own lockeroom who insinueded that the team may be better without their injured point guard in the lineup. Since his return Wall has hardly looked like the same player he was prior ot the injury, and time is running out for Scott Brooks and company to figure it out and right the ship in time for a long playoff run.

The Celtics, as mentioned above, were looking to dethrone the King and his Cavaliers court this year and take over the Eastern Conference for the foreseeable future. The addition of Hayward from Utah and Irving from Cleveland, along with a rotation of young and talented complimentary players had them the sexy pick to be the beast of the East. Then Hayward went down opening night with a gruesom season ending lower leg injury and Irving had complications after minor knee surgery that recently ended his season and playoffs as well. Boston isn't going anywhere without their 2 best players, period.

The Cleveland Cavaliers entire season can be defined in one word, turmoil. First it was Isaiah Thomas and his hip injury that kept him out for most of the first half of the season. That led to Thomas doing more damage with his mouth then he ever could have done with his jump shot and eventually the entire team was blown up as they traded six players at the deadline. The moves created a positive culture and fresh start for the team and they were playing good basketball until Kevin Love and Tristan Thompson went down with injuries that would keep them out for weeks. Love missed significant time but has returned and is getting close to being back to 100%. Thompson is a different story as he just returned to the active roster this week and may not be 100% for the first round of the playoffs, if at all the rest of the year. Without Thompson at full strength, the rim protection and rebounding for the Cavs could be an issue and make the odds of the Cavs returning to the finals a stretch, Regardless, after the crazy season the fans in Cleveland have witnessed, the deck seems to be stacked against the Cavs in their quest to repeat as the best in the East.

The Golden State Warriors are the reigning world champions but may have had to endure more injuries than any team in the league this season. We all know that Golden State has four all-stars in their starting lineup but all four of them have suffered significant injuries during the course of this campaign. Kevin Durant and his ribs, Klay Thompson with his thumb and Draymon Green's bad ankle have all healed to the point where they were cleared to return to the court. Steph Curry has not been as lucky as his strained MCL is scheduled to have him out until the second round of the playoffs. The Warriors have always had the confidence that they can flip a switch at any time and turn it on to beat any team at any time. This may be the year that it all catches up with them as Curry is the straw that stirs the Dubs drink and even if he is able to return down the line, there is no guarantee he will be anywhere close to 100%. When you factor in that their bench isn't as deep or talented or experienced as it's been in the past, Golden State is vulnerable and could be headed for a huge fall come this post season. However if the knee heals and he is able to get back in shape, you can never count the champs out.

The two healthiest contenders have been the Toronto Raptors and the Rockets. It's no coincidence that those two teams are the squads with the best records in their conference and are also the healthiest teams going into the playoffs. DeMar DeRozen and Kyle Lowry are seemingly injury-free and ready for another deep run in the East. James Harden and Chris Paul have the Rockets coasting through the rest of the regular season as they have already wrapped up the best record in the West, as well as top spot in the entire NBA. They both have a lot to prove and a ton of unfinished business from previous post season  failures, but unless the other playoff teams above as well as a few underachieving units like the Thunder can get healthy and happy, it looks like they are the teams to beat. This could be a year where the last two teams standing are those that didnt have too many players sitting when they needed them most.

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3 players the Texans must trade before the deadline

Trading Mercilus would be a big win from a cap perspective. Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images

Strapped for cash and no picks within the first two rounds of the upcoming draft, the Houston Texans should consider having a fire sales ahead of the NFL trade deadline. With the team going nowhere and the uncertainty of the future, J.J. Watt has dominated the rumor mill with the Texans doing the unthinkable of departing from their franchise star.

But despite sitting at 1-6 on the season, the idea of trading Watt has become less probable following Aaron Wilson's appearance on Locked On Texans. During the interview, Wilson — Texans beat reporter for the Houston Chronicle — said it would be hard for ownership to sell the idea of moving on from Watt seven months after the untimely departure of DeAndre Hopkins.

So with the Texans holding on to their future Hall of Famer, that should not hinder the organization from exploring trade options with the other 52 men on the roster not named Deshaun Watson.

The Texans are in desperate need of a rebuild to repair the destruction caused by former head coach and general manager Bill O'Brien. Houston has several tradeable assets on their roster — some of which a contender may overcompensate for in hopes of obtaining the Vince Lombardi Trophy in February.

To get a jumpstart on what could be a two-year rebuilding project, here are three players the Texans should consider moving ahead of the Nov. 3 trade deadline.

Whitney Mercilus

If the Texans elect not to move on from Watt, the organization should have a 180 approach to Whitney Mercilus. The 30-year-old outside linebacker is scheduled to make a projected $35.5 million over the next three seasons, and his on-field production does not match the big payday coming from the Texans.

Prior to his massive $54 million contract extension awarded last December, Mercilus was on a roll in 2019. He recorded 7.5 sacks — five coming within the first four weeks of the season — to go along with 48 total tackles and four forced fumbles. Seven weeks into the 2020 season, Mercilus is nowhere close to matching his 2019 output with only 3.0 sacks, 14 total tackles and no forced fumbles.

But despite his decline as of late, multiple teams around the league can use Mercilus' services to enhance their pass rush. The Green Bay Packers and the Tennessee Titans are two championship-contending teams who desperately need to upgrade their front seven in their attempt to represent their respective conference in Super Bowl LV. The Packers are dead last in quarterback pressures, and Jadeveon Clowney is far from the disruptive force the Titans expected.

Mercilus' arrival to any of the two teams may not be a bona fide game-changer, but an upgrade nevertheless. Perhaps a change of scenery could be the key to unlocking the Mercilus who logged a career-best 12 sacks in 2015.

The Seahawks could also use the talents of Mercilus to enhance their linebacking corps, but their recent trade to acquire DT Carlos Dunlay could leave Seattle short on their trade offer to Houston.

Best trade partner: Titans

Duke Johnson

The Houston Texans' run game has been nonexistent throughout the season, and it's time for the organization to experiment with a younger prospect — preferably Scottie Phillips — during the second half of the season.

While it would be nice if the Texans could find a trade partner for David Johnson, no team would be willing to take on the near $8 million base salary he is due next season for his lack of production. Which leaves the better half of the Johnson Brothers up for grabs in Duke Johnson.

Duke has experienced a significant decrease in his touches when compared to last season and could be more beneficial to a playoff team seeking help in their backfield.

The Chicago Bears are the one team where Duke's talents could be beneficial and properly utilized. Chicago lost their Pro-Bowl running back Tarik Cohen for the season due to a torn ACL and has since struggled in the run game. David Montgomery has done a moderate job filling in for the injured Cohen, but the second-year halfback has yet to prove himself as an every-down back.

Duke's skill set as a pass-catcher coming out of the backfield is the most suitable attribute he would be able to provide to the Bears. Cohen is one of the most dynamic dual-threat halfbacks, and Duke would be able to give the Bears' offense a sense of normalcy in his absence.

The New England Patriots may explore the market to enhance their backfield. But one can imagine that Bill Belichick is more interested in adding a receiver in an attempt to salvage the remainder of their season.

Best trade partner: Bears

Will Fuller

Next to Watt, Will Fuller has been the second most discussed Texan in the rumor mill. Fuller could survive the trade deadline and become a foundational piece to the Texans' rebuilding project, but Houston may not be willing to tie long-term money into the Notre Dame product given his injury history.

Several teams around the league have their eyes set on a potential deal for Fuller, but none more so the Packers.

Green Bay is seeking a receiver who they can pair alongside Pro-Bowler Davante Adams. A potential deal for Fuller would give the Packers a quality second-tear receiver, while reprising his role as a team's No. 2 option — similar to his early days playing alongside Hopkins.

Fuller would also be a tremendous upgrade to the Patriots. New England does not have any quality receivers on their roster, and their depth has become more vulnerable after the team placed Julian Edelman on IR following knee surgery.

While the Patriots are in dire need to add a receiver, Belichick may hesitate from giving up too many assets — especially draft picks — that could be valuable to their own rebuilding process should the Cam Newton experiment fail. While on pace for a career-year, the Texans should look to cash-in on Fuller while his trade stock is at an all-time high.

Best trade partner: Packers

Coty M. Davis is a reporter for ESPN 97.5 Houston/SportsMap covering the Houston Texans. He is also the co-host of Locked On Texans, a part of the Locked On Podcast Network. Follow Coty on Twitter @CotyDavis_24.

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