Jadeveon Clowney and the Texans could play well enough to hit the over. Photo by Michelle Watson/Catchlight Group
Tough week. If you play long enough you know they happen. Nothing we can do but look back over the plays and make adjustments. Really kicking myself for not playing a couple of games I mentioned. I said the WVU/Kansas number got away from us- I should have played that over. I liked Georgia, and really liked the Saints. I should have played them all.
Recap
Michigan State +4- Never showed up. Outclassed from kickoff. Lesson learned: don’t play mediocre Big 10 teams.
Toledo +13.5- I still like the play. They fell apart in the fourth quarter but the game was much closer than the score indicated and Toledo was winning at halftime.
Oregon/Arizona State Over 75: Landed on 72. Scoring slowed down in the second half. I would play it again.
Three-team 10 point teaser: Pats, Saints and Oklahoma State. Credit to TCU. I did not expect that kind of effort. A lot of people did- they were right.
YTD 6-11 (-$285) Fade me if you want…
3 team 10 point teaser (Risking $60 to win $50)
Saints +7, Broncos +7, Patriots +1
Risking ($55 to win $50)
Titans/Texans Over 43.5
USC/Washington State Over 63.5
Oklahoma State/Texas Tech Over 85 (2 units) 1-0 on these this year and it was another Tech over.
Money Line Parlay
Packers, Auburn, Texas A&M Risking ($50 to win $60)
When you are losing no one cares what your opinion is on games. They just want you to win. So I am switching it up. Five total plays. I like all of them. Good luck. I really think they we have a big week.
Hit me up on Twitter @jayoff288
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Houston Texans star receiver sounds off on bizarre fine from NFL
Dec 13, 2024, 12:21 pm
Coming off their bye week, the Texans host the Dolphins with big playoff implications at stake. A win over Miami paired with a Colts loss secures another playoff berth for Houston.
Injuries will be a factor in this contest, with guard Juice Scruggs (foot) expected to be unavailable and safety Jalen Pitre now out for the year with a pectoral injury.
The Texans will also be without LB Azeez Al-Shaair (suspension), but a glimmer of hope has arrived as LB Christian Harris has returned to practice after missing the entire season up to this point.
Houston #Texans Thursday Injury Report for Week 15 vs. the Miami Dolphins: pic.twitter.com/7cDUTFbFZV
— Houston Texans PR (@TexansPR) December 12, 2024
Left guard Kenyon Green has also returned to practice and could be available this Sunday as well. If he's not, look for Zach Thomas, who was claimed off waivers from the Patriots about a month ago, to step in. Offensive line play and protection in general will be a main area of focus once again, as the Texans are arguably the worst in the NFL in this category.
This is most damning set of stats I've seen regarding the #Texans offense.
From no. 1 to no. 20 - 4.7% gap
From no. 21 to no. 31 - 4.9% gap
From no. 31 to Texans - 4.9% gap
Last in blown blocks by more than 1 BB per game.
Last in QB pressures & 50 more BB+PR than any other team https://t.co/vwAS16Diay
— Adam Wexler (@AdamJWexler) December 11, 2024
As you can see from the graphic above, the Texans have blown a block or allowed a pressure on over 30% of their offensive plays, and the next closest team is the Bears at 25.4 %.
Speaking of blocking, the Texans face three of the best teams against the run down the stretch (Chiefs, Ravens, Titans). With that being the case, let's hope that Stroud and the Texans found some answers in the passing game during the bye week.
If the Texans can keep Stroud upright, perhaps we see a resurgence from Tank Dell, who has seemingly disappeared from the offense. Tank hasn't scored since October 13, and has only recorded one game with over 100 yards all season.
Swarm!
On defense, the Texans will have their hands full with the Dolphins explosive offense. Miami has scored 32 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games.
The Texans are averaging just under 24 PPG this season, so they could really use a breakout game from the offense to help cement a victory.
Houston has the best duo of pass rushers in the league, but they will be challenged against Tua Tagovailoa, who gets rid of the ball extremely quickly and accurately.
Tua also has two speedsters in Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle that can take a short pass to the house at any given moment. Speed could be the difference in this contest, but the Texans do have two corners in Derek Stingley and Kamari Lassiter that are both Top 3 in lowest catch rate allowed this year.
DBs with the lowest Catch Rate Allowed this season 🔒
1. Kamari Lassiter - 42.0%
2. Nate Wiggins - 43.8%
3. Derek Stingley Jr. - 44.6%
4. Donte Jackson - 49.1%
5. Kristian Fulton - 50.0%
6. Jakorian Bennett - 51.1%
7. Jaylon Johnson - 51.2%
8. Denzel Ward - 51.9%
9. Jaycee Horn… https://t.co/muJHduiHQn pic.twitter.com/nVJlKYsWwc
— The 33rd Team (@The33rdTeamFB) December 11, 2024
What does Vegas think?
The Texans are favored by 3 points and the total is set at 46.5, which is the third-highest this week.
Don't miss the video above as we break down this week's game, the final stretch of the season, and much more!
Also, be sure to watch Texans on Tap with Charlie Pallilo, Brandon Strange, and Josh Jordan live following every Texans game on our SportsMapTexans YouTube channel!