Let's get that early money

My Guide to first quarter betting in Sunday's Super Bowl

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How nice would it be to put in all your bets on first quarter props and then just sit back and enjoy the rest of the game while all your buddies sweat out game totals and sides.

Are you a "trend is your friend" guy? If so I've got some clearcut early trends for you and it's not like it's a small sample size. While we might be sick of the Patriots in the Super Bowl they are giving us some obvious choices on prop bets Sunday.

The most unbelievable stat from the Super Bowls during the Belichick/Brady era is that in their eight games the Patriots have scored a grand total of three points in the first quarter of those games. Three. Total. In eight games.

You would think that a team with all that experience, all that coaching prowess, the GOAT at quarterback and two weeks to prepare would be ready to pounce on their less experienced opponent and take an early lead. That has simply not been the case.

But as you might expect the Patriots have been ready to play defensively. In those same first quarters they have held their opponents scoreless four times, given up just a field goal twice, and nine points twice. Only once has the first quarter total reached double digits and that was last year when the Eagles led 9-3 after one.

So if we are trend guys we will go with the under on the 10 1/2 first quarter point total. We will also bet that the Rams score first since the Patriots opponents have scored first in six of their eight Super Bowls.

One almost certainty is that the Patriots first play will be a pass. In all eight games the Patriots first play from scrimmage has been a pass. Book it.

The under/over for 1st quarter TD's is 1.5. That has not happened in the Belichick/Brady era. You have to risk $165 to win $100 but you have to like something that hasn't happened in eight games thus far.

On the Rams side we don't have much to go by but I do have a feeling that the NFC Championship game was a wakeup call for Todd Gurley. Afterwards Sean McVay said that Gurley was still their guy. I think they'll want to prove that early. I don't know how successful he will be but I do think he'll be on the field instead of C.J. Anderson who will be busy finishing up a hamburger anyway so I'm going with Anderson under 12 1/2 1st quarter rushing yards.

I'm also a big Stephon Gilmore guy. Watching him all year I feel like he was the best corner in the game. Given how much they move Brandin Cooks around I think Gllmore will be locked down on Robert Woods. I like that matchup so I'm going with under 15 1/2 receiving yards for Robert Woods in the 1st quarter.

And for that same reason I like Josh Reynolds to have an impact in this game. I'm taking over 1/2 a catch and 6 1/2 yards receiving for Reynolds in the 1st quarter. He will be an X factor in this game.

So recapping, In the first quarter I like:

Under 10.5 total points

Rams score first

Patriots first play is a pass

Under 1.5 TD's

CJ Anderson under 12.5 rushing yards

Robert Woods under 15.5 receiving yards

Josh Reynolds over 1/2 catch

Josh Reynolds over 6.5 yards receiving

Then just sit back and enjoy the rest of the game.

Or

Get your butt handed to you, get on mybookie.ag and start making second half bets to somehow salvage an otherwise miserable Super Bowl.

Either way have fun everybody.


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After a short turnaround, the NASCAR Cup Series heads to their Mecca at Charlotte Motor Speedway for the famed Coca-Cola 600. Of all the races in NASCAR, after Daytona this race may be the most important race on the schedule. The tradition started back in 1959 when former driver and hall of famer Curtis Turner teamed up with Burton Smith to build the track and upon its completion, they decided to make the first race at the new track on the same day as the Indy 500. In an effort to draw fans, they made the race 100 miles longer and from there the rest was history. This year's rendition will be somber though as no fans will be permitted to enter due to Covid-19, but even in this time of unrest it will be a relief to continue to see our heroes take on NASCAR's longest race.

For the first time, NASCAR pulled off it's first midweek race and it was a doozy. For most of the race there was a wide range of characters who were up front. Clint Bowyer set the tone early as he went on to win the first two stages but after getting caught in traffic he fell back. To make matters worse, Bowyer was involved in an accident that ended any chance of victory. While it wasn't the outcome he would have hoped for, to see how well he ran is a sign of good things to come for the Kansas native. I look forward to seeing how he rebounds.

With Bowyer out of it, the attention shifted to Chase Elliott. All night it seemed like he had the second best car and looked to be on his way to another victory but after the caution for Bowyer, Elliott lost a ton of track position after a bad pit-stop. This left the sports most popular driver stuck in traffic, but he was able to make his way back to second. In the final laps, he was easily the best car and appeared to be on his way past Denny Hamlin to take the victory but Kyle Busch had other ideas. The defending champion made a sudden right hand turn and veered into Elliott sending him head on into the wall.

It was safe to say that Elliott was not pleased as he gave Busch the one finger salute as he drove by under caution. The race was not able to resume as Mother Nature intervened giving Hamlin his second win of the season. Many fans and experts alike were critical of Busch's stunt, Jeff Gordon was quoted as saying "Not sure what that was all about." When the race was over, Busch was confronted by Elliott's Crew Chief Alan Gufston. When it was said and done security had to be called to separate the two. While it might not have been intentional, Busch has opened up a can of worms in the future for retaliation. It will be fun to watch what happens next.

Overall, the response to NASCAR's midweek race was overwhelmingly positive as it was the third highest watched event on television. As NASCAR continues to be fluid, more and more people are becoming interested. NASCAR journalist and reporter Adam Stern tweeted that more than thirty percent of the viewers of Sunday's race were new viewers. Even though we may not always agree with the way NASCAR does things, I have to say they have done an outstanding job at putting this schedule together. I hope that in the future, NASCAR continues this new tradition.

Moving on to Charlotte, The driver I have winning this weekend is Chase Elliott. In every race this season, Chase has been a force to be reckoned but has simply run into circumstances he can't control. At Vegas before the shutdown, he seemed to have the race in hand until a flat tire ended any chances of victory. Two weeks later at Phoenix, he led ninety-three laps until fading to a seventh place finish and with a new-found fire lit under him after Darlington, Elliott will be like a bull in the china shop come Sunday. While he has been great at every track he has run at, he has been especially fast at Charlotte. He currently has a 10.60 average finish there and has consistently led laps. This week, I think Elliott will get redemption and claim his sixth career victory in one of NASCAR's crown jewels. Look for him to take his #9 Napa Camaro to victory lane.

(All stats and information used in this article is brought to you by the good folks at driveraverages.com and Racing-Reference.com the best website for all NASCAR stats)

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