THE LEFT TURN

NASCAR Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 preview

Kyle Busch looks like he will be in the mix this week. Kylebusch.com

NASCAR heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway  this weekend for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301. Opened in 1990, this track is a 1.6 mile oval with absolutely no banking whatsoever and while technically it isn’t considered a short track, the track is known to be difficult to pass at due to its flat surface. Another unique aspect of this race is its distance. In 2008, then title sponsor Lenox Industrial Tools decided to add a lap as an ode to their employees and suppliers who “go the extra mile.” Even though the title sponsor has changed, the race distance became a crowd favorite and stuck around one decade later. This distance gives the second place driver one more chance to go and run down the leader and take the victory.

Last week at Kentucky, Martin Truex Jr went on to claim his fourth win of 2018 as he led a race high 174 laps. From the drop of the green flag, it was clear that the race would be for second place as Truex dominated every aspect of the weekend. He qualified on pole Thursday and was able to win all three stages of the race and claim maximum playoff and regular season points. It would appear now that Truex and his Furniture Row racing team are the guys to beat. Of the last four races, They have won two (Sonoma and Kentucky) and have not finished worse than fourth. However this week should be a little more challenging for the reigning champion. While, he has run pretty good here at New Hampshire, Truex has an average finish of 12.95. He has a total of five top 5’s and ten 10 10’s respectively but with all of these numbers, This is one of the tracks that he has never won at. Look for him to try and change that come Sunday.

The top storyline coming out of last week's race was the verbal sparring between Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. and Kyle Busch. If you are a fan of NASCAR, you know Kyle Busch getting into a “feud” with another driver is nothing new as he is easily the most outspoken driver in the garage. After the two were involved in an incident two weeks ago at Daytona, Busch took exception to Stenhouse not “reaching out” and apologizing for crashing him.

When asked if it would change how he would race Stenhouse, he replied with “I can’t worry about people who are that far back in the field.” Stenhouse responded by saying that “Busch should pick and choose his battles wisely” and he felt he didn’t need to reach out to Busch because he “ran his mouth enough.” P

ersonally, I think that both drivers should go out and confront each other rather than talk about each other through the media like they did this weekend. Both drivers do make good points though, Stenhouse Jr probably should have called  and apologized for nearly turning Busch head on into the wall but Busch’s comments only added fuel to the fire. In the grand scheme of things, I don’t foresee this riff extending to the race track due to scrutiny that these drivers go through by the powers that be but it sure gave more talking points to a race that was fairly uneventful. Keep an eye out for when these two are close together on the track.

Appropriately enough, the favorite going into this weekend is Busch. In his 26 starts, Busch has won here three times including last year's fall race. Anytime the Cup series comes here, most experts pick him to win here and usually he does. Of all of the active drivers, he and Matt Kenseth have the most wins with three. Look for the No. 18 Interstate batteries Toyota to be the car to beat this weekend.

My pick to win this weekend is the other Kyle in the field -- no not Kyle Weatherman -- Kyle Larson. All year, he has come so close but for whatever reason luck just hasn’t been on his side but this week I think it should be a different outcome for him. In his last four starts here, he has a 7.75 average finishing position including a second place finish in the fall race last year. Look for lady luck to finally be on his side as Larson will take the checkered flag and solidify his spot in the “playoffs.”

One of my sleepers this week is Matt Kenseth. This week Kenseth is returning from a three week hiatus and while it’s been a season to forget so far for him, New Hampshire is easily his best track. In his last four starts, he has an average finish of 2.50, the best of anyone in the field and even though he is no longer driving for Joe Gibbs Racing, I still think that he can put together a decent run to get his team back on track. Kenseth should be in contention for a good result on Sunday.

(All stats and information used in this article is brought to you by the good folks at driveraverages.com and Racing-Refrence.com the best website for all NASCAR stats).

 

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PROBABLE STARTERS

Thurs, Sept. 24 - HOU: Cristian Javier (4-2, 3.33) vs. TEX: Lance Lynn (6-2, 2.53)

Fri, Sept. 25 - HOU: Jose Urquidy (1-1, 2.78) vs. TEX: Kyle Cody (1-1, 1.53)

Sat, Sept. 26 - HOU: TBD vs. TEX: Kyle Gibson (2-6, 5.87)

Sun, Sept. 27 - HOU: TBD vs. TEX: Jordan Lyles (1-5, 7.07)

STORYLINES

Season finale - The Astros will wrap up their regular season with their four game set in Arlington at the new Globe Life Field. Houston's magic number rests at two, as the Angels still have a puncher's chance. With Houston's miserable 8-20 road record, the postseason is anything but clinched.

Where's the offense? - The Astros offense has left a lot to be desired over the last few weeks, scoring more than three runs just twice in their last ten games. The bats really need to get going, especially if the team expects to do anything in the playoffs. George Springer has been the only reliable bat of late, with the performances of Carlos Correa, Yuli Gurriel, Alex Bregman, and, most of all, Jose Altuve, leaving a lot to be desired.

Playoff seeding - If the playoffs started today, the Astros would face off with their division rivals in Oakland. There's an infinite number of possibilities over the next four games, but the Astros can see themselves finish anywhere from the fifth seed to out of the playoffs entirely. Any of Tampa Bay, Minnesota, Oakland, Chicago, New York, and Cleveland could be first round foes depending on how the cards fall.

PREDICTION

Lance Lynn has been one of the better pitchers in the game for a few years now, Kyle Cody is an intriguing young arm with good stuff, and Jordan Lyles and Kyle Gibson gave the Astros fits in Houston just last week. It isn't a recipe for success for Houston. The Astros win 1 of 4, which combined with the Angels and Mariners failing to take care of business, is enough to get Houston into the playoffs.

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