THE LEFT TURN

NASCAR heads back to Daytona for the O'Reilly Auto Parts 253

Chase Elliot
Start your engines! Photo by Jerry Markland/Getty Images.
Chase Elliot

This week, the NASCAR Cup Series heads back to the beaches of Daytona for the O'Riley Auto Parts 253 on the Daytona Road Course. This will be the third time that the Cup Series has raced on the road course configuration. For years, it was rumored that they would race on this configuration and last year they got their chance to put the Daytona Road Course into action. This race came with a lot of hype as there would be no practice or qualifying on a configuration that hadn't been raced on but overall the race was relatively tame as Chase Elliott cruised to victory. This race has a lot of potential to be much more action packed considering the drivers have more track time. Besides, if this race is exciting as the Clash, I think we are in for a really good one.

Turn one should be the corner to look out for. This has been where most of the issues have come as drivers have a tendency to overshoot the corner like we saw with Ryan Blaney in the Clash. Look out for this come Sunday. Another big point of interest will be the removal of the rumble strips. These caused a lot of issues in the Clash as drivers such as Martin Truex Jr. and Kevin Harvick both crashed after hitting them. This should fix a lot of the issues we have seen.

Last week, Michael McDowell shocked the world by winning the Daytona 500. Coming into this race, McDowell was a +6600 underdog to win. While it might have been a surprise to a lot of people, this was a long time coming for the Arizona driver. Every time they went to Daytona or Talladega, that yellow #34 Mustang has been consistently fast. If there was anyone who could pull off the upset, he was a prime candidate. It was good to see him finally get his first win after going winless in his previous 357 starts. This was the longest drought since Michael Waltrip won his first race almost twenty years to the date at Daytona in 2001. It will be interesting to see if McDowell can build on this as he has now clinched a birth into this year's playoffs.

The big storyline this week was the last lap crash between teammates Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano. In almost a carbon copy of last year, the two tangled in the late stages once again. When getting out of his car, Brad threw his helmet at his car in disgust. He was also heard on the radio saying, "My teammate wrecked me to win the Daytona 500." This led to speculation once again about the dynamic at Penske racing. I personally believe that this should blow over like it did last year, and we should see Brad return to Penske in 2022. Time will tell what's next over at Penske Racing.

The favorite going into Sunday is Chase Elliott. In the past four road course races, Chase has won all of them. He has become the king of the road on this hot streak. He also won here last year in convincing fashion when he led over half of the race. I could very well see him going five for five and winning again. In fact, he was one corner away from winning the Clash but mistakenly wrecked Ryan Blaney and lost the lead to Kyle Busch. Look for Elliott to be the car to beat on Sunday.

The driver that I have winning this week is Martin Truex Jr. While Elliott has been in the limelight, Truex has been the next car behind him when it comes to speed. Overall, Truex is a pretty good road course racer as he has won four of these in his career. Even before he was at Gibbs, he was fast on these types of tracks as he won a race at Sonoma back in 2013 for Michael Waltrip Racing. He and Chase have had some great battles on road courses but this time, I think Truex will come out on top. Besides, he was well on his way to winning here two weeks ago but hit the curve and crashed from the lead. If he can be as good as he was then, there is no reason he can't close the deal and capture his fifth road course victory. Look for MTJ to take the victory on Sunday.

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The competition level is about to rise. Composite Getty Image.

The Astros closed out their latest road trip with a winning record, a feat made more impressive considering the turbulence at the back of the rotation. Brandon Walter and Ryan Gusto both endured rough outings, with Walter in particular getting tagged hard. Still, Houston salvaged the finale, thanks largely to Mauricio Dubón’s breakout performance. The utilityman launched two home runs to power an offense that’s quietly been heating up for weeks.

But even with a solid finish, not everything is trending upward.

Josh Hader, who’s been one of the game’s most reliable closers this season, has begun to show signs of vulnerability. He’s allowed a home run in three of his last six outings. While his overall numbers remain strong, the long ball—a problem that plagued him last year—is starting to creep back into the picture.

As the Astros return home, the schedule offers no breather. They’ll face the Phillies and Cubs before a brief trip to Colorado to take on the struggling Rockies. After that comes a marquee series against the defending champion Dodgers in Los Angeles. With three of their next four opponents being legitimate World Series threats, the coming stretch looms large.

Can the bats keep pace?

If the last month is any indication, the Astros have reason to feel optimistic. Christian Walker has started to show signs of life after a quiet start to the season, hitting .260 with a .762 OPS and five home runs over the past 30 days. José Altuve has been scorching with a .302 average and .901 OPS in that span, while Jeremy Peña has taken things to another level, batting .384 with a 1.009 OPS.

As a team, the Astros rank 7th in OPS, 5th in runs, 3rd in batting average, and 7th in home runs over the last 30 days. It’s a surge that’s come at the right time—and one they’ll need to sustain.

The injury picture is also starting to shift in Houston’s favor.

Joe Espada told The Athletic's Chandler Rome that Christian Javier recently threw a live batting practice session, touching 95 mph as he continues his return from Tommy John surgery. JP France has thrown multiple live BPs and could be ready to help if things continue to progress with his shoulder. Luis Garcia, however, remains further away despite undergoing surgery more than two years ago. He's expected to throw a live BP this week.

Spencer Arrighetti (thumb) should be able to return in August, and Lance McCullers has resumed throwing and is currently on the 15-day IL with a foot sprain.

The Astros are winning. The offense is rolling. The reinforcements are on the way. But with a brutal stretch looming, the team’s margin for error is about to be put to the test.

There's so much more to cover! Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!

The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday.

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