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NASCAR is California Dreamin' at Auto Club Speedway

NASCAR is California Dreamin' at Auto Club Speedway
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NASCAR

NASCAR continues its West Coast swing as they head for the high banks of California for the Auto Club 400. Opened in 1997, this track was sort of the prototype for what we would see 20 years later, only this track is slightly larger as it is exactly two miles in length. Because of how large this track is, usually we see cars get three and four wide especially after a restart. After a while though, the leader is usually able to find clean air and separate himself from the field.

With the spoilers on the rear being so large, one thing I have observed has been how these cars stall out when they get side-by-side. Because the rules package of this year is so similar to last year's, I would imagine that there will be much of the same thing. After the tragic loss of Kobe Bryant last month, NASCAR announced that there will be numerous tributes to the fallen basketball icon. Drivers William Byron and Ryan Blaney will both be racing with a purple and gold paint scheme to pay homage to him and his daughter Gigi and the seven others that passed away in the wreck. Personally, I think that this is one of the best things that NASCAR and their employees have done in a while. As we all knew, he was much bigger than basketball with everything he has done off the court. I am sure wherever he is in the universe, he would be proud that a sport he had little connection to is honoring him. Other tributes will include a moment of silence and his number embroidered in the front stretch grass.

Last week, as predicted Joey Logano went on to claim his 24th career victory at Las Vegas. In the closing stages, Ross Chastain spun out causing a late race caution. In a strange decision, race leader Ryan Blaney and a crowd of others decided to pit with four laps to go, costing them valuable track position and essentially any chance at a victory. While Blaney and others were out of contention, many others including the winner all stayed out. For Logano this was the winning move as he was able to hold off Matt DiBenedetto and Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

While the season is young, there have been several drivers who have had some of the best results of their career. One of those drivers has been Darrell Wallace Jr. He started 2020 with a respectable 15th place showing and then backed it up with a sixth last week. While the car wasn't as good in the early stages, Wallace had done a great job making his way back into the top 20 and then found himself in the top 10 after his crew chief Jerry Baxter kept him out on the race track. He was able to hang on with old tires and get a sixth place showing. Another driver who has been impressive this year has been Corey Lajoie. After a bitter-sweet eighth place finish at Daytona, Corey was able to follow that up with a solid 15th place finish. Others that were impressive were Stenhouse who finished third and Dibenedetto who finished second. While the season is still very young, it has been refreshing to see such parity in the sport. I don't think anyone around the sport could have predicted what we have seen so far. It should be fun to watch going forward.

The driver that I have winning this weekend is William Byron. When it was announced that Byron would be inheriting Chad Kanus from Jimmie Johnson last year, many believed that Byron would finally make the leap and contend for wins and while he made the playoffs, he wasn't able to get to victory lane. This year, the young man has been insanely fast. At Daytona he was running in the top five before crashing out, the next week at Vegas he was also up front for a good portion of the race before spinning out on the final lap. This week, I think it will be much different and he will claim his first career win. While he has struggled here in his first two races finishing 15th both times, this team has improved greatly. Not only has Byron improved but his Hendrick teammates Jimmie Johnson, Alex Bowman and Chase Elliott have been fast as well. Over the off-season Chevrolet has made vast improvements to their Camaro including improving the nose of the car, which was a massive obstacle last year. Because of this, I see Byron and his team reaping the benefits and becoming the first Hendrick car to go to victory lane in 2020.

The sentimental favorite this week as he will be every week is Jimmie Johnson. As we all know, this will be the final time he will run at his home-track. Because of this, his wife and daughter will give the command to fire engines before the race starts making it all the more special for the seven time champion. If there was ever a place that he would finally break this long winless streak, this track might be at the top of the list for sure. In the sport's 23 year history here, no one has won at this track more than he has. He even got his first win here all the way back in 2002. I look for Johnson and his Hendrick teammates to battle it out for the victory come Sunday.

(All stats and information used in this article is brought to you by the good folks at driveraverages.com and Racing-Reference.com the best website for all NASCAR stats)

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The Texans square off with the Packers this Sunday! Composite Getty Image.

The Texans make just their third ever visit to Lambeau Field Sunday. It’s a dandy matchup as the Texans try to run their record to 6-1 at the expense of the 4-2 Green Bay Packers. The Texans have one win and one loss in Wisconsin. In 2008 the gameday high temperature was 13 degrees. Kris Brown kicked a 40 yard field goal as time expired to give the Texans a 24-21 win over a Packers team that struggled to a 6-10 record under first-year starting quarterback Aaron Rodgers. The Texans posted their second consecutive 8-8 finish that year. In 2016 the mercury reached a balmy high of 34 degrees as the Texans fell 21-13 at Lambeau. Inexplicably, Rodgers somehow managed to win the quarterback matchup with Brock Osweiler. The Texans and Packers each won their division that year. Both Texans’ trips to “America’s Dairyland” occurred in December. No risk of frozen tundra this time around. The forecast for Green Bay Sunday calls for a high of 75 degrees! That’s almost 20 degrees warmer than normal there for October 20.

It’s a dynamic QB matchup with C.J. Stroud and Jordan Love sharing the field. Love broke out in a huge way in 2023 after serving a two-year apprenticeship under Rodgers. After a stumbling 3-6 start to their season the Packers went 6-2 the rest of the way to snag a playoff spot. They obliterated the Cowboys in a Wild Card game in Arlington (before everyone obliterated the Cowboys in Arlington...) then led at the 49ers with under 90 seconds to go before San Francisco scored to win 24-21. The Packers made crystal clear their belief in Love by signing him to a four-year 220 million dollar contract extension in July. That’s 55 mil per season. Stroud becomes extension-eligible after next season. Anyone think he won’t be in position to command at least 65 mil per season?

Stroud sure looks to be the guy to finally give the Texans the long-term stability and excellence they have never had at the most important position in the sport. The Pack is all in on Love continuing its unreal long-term QB stability and excellence. Love took the reins after Rodgers helmed the offense for 15 seasons. Rodgers took the reins after Brett Favre’s 16-year tenure. So if Love makes it for nine years as the starter, that’s three primary QBs in 40 years. Absolutely amazing.

After missing two games because of a sprained knee ligament suffered in the final seconds of the Packers’ season opening loss to the Eagles in Brazil, Love has thrown 10 touchdown passes in three games. But he has only completed 59 percent of his passes, and has thrown at least one interception per game.

The Texans’ first trip to the NFC North this season went brutally badly, the 34-7 beatdown from Minnesota. The Vikings beat the Packers 31-29 in week four of the season. That was Love’s first game back, he threw four touchdown passes and three picks. One defensive weapon the Texans will have against the Pack they did not have against the Vikes is Denico Autry. The 34-year-old Autry returns from his six-game banned substance suspension. That happens as one of the fill-ins for him, Mario Edwards, starts his own four-game substance abuse suspension. That should be a net improvement for the Texans.

X-factors

The single biggest variable in swinging the outcome of football games is turnovers. So far this season the Packers have been a takeaway machine. Last season the Packers generated just 18 turnovers over their 17 regular season games, only six teams took the ball away less often. Through just six games this season the Packers already have 17 takeaways. No other NFL team has more than 13, the Texans have just seven. The Packers have produced exactly three turnovers in five of their six games, and got two in the other. Every defense preaches turnovers, so it’s not as if first-year Green Bay defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley has introduced radical concepts that are yielding magical results. But the results are what they are.

If the Texans take care of the ball, they have a terrific chance to win. Having Joe Mixon back aids the cause on two fronts. One, Mixon is obviously the Texans’ best running back. Two, Mixon last fumbled in 2021. The Texans probably best plan to score 25 or more points to win this one because the Packers figure to score a bit. In Love’s four starts the Pack has lit the scoreboard for 29, 29, 24, and 34 points. On the other hand, the Texans’ D has been pretty stout, allowing the third-fewest yards per game (Green Bay rates 18th). It’s a strength vs. strength battle. The Texans have allowed no opponent more than 313 yards in total offense. The Packers have amassed at least 378 yards in five of their six games, and managed 328 in their worst performance.

For Texans’ conversation, catch Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me on our Texans On Tap podcasts. Thursdays feature a preview of the upcoming game, and then we go live (then available on demand) after the final gun of the game: Texans on Tap - YouTube

The Astros are always in season for discussion. Our Stone Cold ‘Stros podcasts drop Mondays: Click here to watch!

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