Gambling guide

The NFL is back and Kate Upton has come home

The NFL is back and Kate Upton has come home
Do Dak and the Cowboys take a step back? Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Please do not forget about Hurricane Harvey and the devastation that Hurricane Irma is about to cause. I am running insurance claims (adjusting) 18 hours a day and still can not get to everyone that needs help. These storms are terrible, and I urge you to please give/donate whatever you can. People are hurting and we should continue to rally around one another. 

Recapping last week we ended up 1-3.

YTD Record (1-3) (-$85)

Wyoming +12 @ Iowa (L) It was 7-3 with 25 seconds left in the 2nd quarter when the punter dropped the ball on the 30 yard line. Iowa scores a touchdown on the next play. Josh Allen looked terrible.

Florida State +7 @ Alabama (Neutral site game) (L)

 Florida State ML +225 ($25) (L) 7-3 game in the 3rd. Blocked punt and Alabama gets the ball on the 10. Fumbled kickoff, Alabama gets the ball on about the 15. 2 consecutive interceptions. That was 4 consecutive FSU drives. Not to mention the missed pass interference call in the end zone right before the half- leading to a blocked FG. I’ll fade Alabama in the playoffs. They will lose eventually. I am not as impressed as everyone else.

Western Michigan/USC Over 58 (W) I said 50-20. It ended up being 49-31. Good enough. I’m higher on USC than most. I think they get better.

Moving on…

When the NFL starts I always play a 10 point 3 team teaser. Some people think they are stupid. I like them, and they make me money. So every week I will have one. This is the only disclaimer I will mention about them this season. Just be prepared to see them. They are all (-120) juice- so we will risk $60 on these to win $50

3 Team 10 point teaser Risking $60 to win $50

Pats +1 Tom Brady is like 4,158-1 against the AFC in the regular season. THIS IS THE THURSDAY NIGHT GAME

Texans +4.5 The Jags suck. If the Texans lose this O’Brien should be fired Monday.

Auburn +15.5 Held Clemson to 19 points last year. I think they can win. Give me 15.5.

All other plays standard $55 to win $50

Nebraska/Oregon OVER 68.5 Oregon beat Southern Utah 77-21 last week. Nebraska beat Arkansas State 43-36. Both teams have no idea how to tackle. Both teams can score points. Last year Nebraska won 35-32. I think it goes over.

Wisconsin – ? 1st half vs Florida Atlantic. The line will be released some time tomorrow. It will be around 20. When it is released we will play it. I will update the post when I see it. The full game line is -31.5. Come kickoff Hurricane Irma should be doing damage to Florida. I have no idea how FAU can focus. Wisconsin is very good. This could get ugly.

Giants +4 @ Dallas I think Dallas takes a huge step back this year. I am high on the Giants. They play well at Jerry World. I hate the Cowboys. Take the Texans in a teaser. Fade the Cowboys. Karma, I like it.

Other games I looked at hard: Texans/Jags under. Tenn/Oak Over. Philly/Wash Over. Wash -1. USC/Stanford Over. Oklahoma +7.5. Oklahoma/Ohio State Over. Penn State -20. New Mexico State +7.5

Remember most dogs that cover in the NFL end up winning straight up around 70% of the time. Example: If you are playing Chargers +3.5 against the Broncos, 70% of the time the spread never comes into play. The Chargers win the game straight up. Just a note. I am not saying play the Chargers. Just a quick tidbit dealing with the NFL and dog spreads. 

Good luck.

Any questions please hit me up on Twitter. @Jayoff288


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Cristian Javier is in better shape this season. Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images.

As the Astros prepare to play their first game of spring training against the Nationals this Saturday, we're starting to see reports about how the players approached the offseason, and what tweaks they made to improve in the 2024 season.

Cristian Javier is a player Astros fans are hoping bounces back this year, as his ERA jumped from 2.54 in 2022 to 4.56 in 2023. Workload was thought to be one of the main factors causing his regression, he dealt with a dead arm last season and threw more innings than ever before (162).

Another explanation could be the pitch clock. This was another new element all pitchers had to deal with last year, and that also likely played a role in his struggles.

But according to The Athletic's Chandler Rome, Javier believes he was carrying some extra weight last season. Add that to some mechanical issues he was experiencing, and his struggles in 2023 make a lot more sense. And to be fair, he wouldn't be the first person to get a little fat and happy after winning a World Series.

In an effort to get back on track in 2024, Javier said he lost around 15 pounds this offseason. With the pitch clock not going anywhere, pitchers need to be in better cardiac shape than ever before.

Hopefully this modification helps Javier return to form and put up jaw-dropping numbers like he did in 2022. This rotation needs Javier to be the dominate pitcher we all know he's capable of being. With Justin Verlander behind schedule and Framber Valdez trying to bounce back from his own down year, Houston will depend on Javier like never before.

The Astros are certainly counting on it after giving him a 5-year, $64 million contract last season. Javier will definitely be a player to watch this spring.

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