SETTING THE SUPER BOWL
NFL Playoffs: AFC & NFC Conference title game observations
Jan 21, 2018, 9:34 pm
Games this far into the playoffs can often go either way. Some felt strongly about their picks; most no so much. Others, such as myself, fell more along the line of the former rather than the latter. However, the games must be played. Championships aren’t awarded by conjecture. That said, let’s look at how the games played out:
Whether you believed the Jags were going to win because of the Tom Coughlin juju, or Tom Brady was going to Brady the Pats to another Super Bowl appearance, this game generated varying opinions on the potential outcome. The Pats opening drive stalled and they were forced into a kicking a field goal. The Jags came out using smas mouth runs, misdirection, and play action passing to take a 14-3 lead. Their defense appeared to have the Coughlin juju working as they frustrated the Pats to punt on their next three possessions. As the Pats were attempting to get a score before halftime, Rob Gronkowski took a helmet to helmet shot from Barry Church, which resulted in a 15-yard penalty. Gronk was so disoriented when he got up, he went to the locker room for concussion evaluation instead of the blue sideline tent. On the very next play, A.J. Bouye drew a pass interference call by getting too handsy with Brandin Cooks. The 47 yards of penalties on two plays put the Pats in position to score a touchdown to cut the lead to 14-10 as halftime approached.
The Jags came out of halftime looking to take back control of the game. A field goal would have to do for a 17-10 lead. The teams then served, volleyed, and volleyed punts until the Jags added another field goal to go up 20-10 to open the fourth quarter. The Pats went to the trick bag with a double pass, but Myles Jack made an incredible play to not only tackle Dion Lewis, but strip and recover the ball as they both fell to the ground. After the Pats forced a three and out, Brady engineered an 85-yard touchdown drive on 5 of 7 passing to cut the lead to three at 20-17.
Another punt-punt-punt sequence followed that saw the field position game come into play after the Jags were forced to punt from their 9-yard line to the 50 and Danny Amendola returned it to the Jags’ 30 yard line. When the Pats got the ball already in field goal range, down by three, with five minutes left in the game, we saw a scene unfold for the millionth time. Brady threw the go ahead touchdown to Amendola in the back of the end zone, up high where only he could catch it, and Amendola reciprocated by holding onto the pass and toe-tapping to ensure there was no doubt. The Jags made a valiant effort on their possession, but ultimately turned it over on downs. With 1:42 left in the game, the Pats took possession and ended it after a crucial first down run by Lewis on 3rd and 9. The kneel downs that followed were a mere formality. Lost throughout this was how well Blake Bortles played. Did he play well enough to stave off a quarterback change is a major question for them. On to the Super Bowl for the Patriots.
The Eagles were home dogs yet again in the playoffs (dog masks are a thing now in Philly). The Vikings were seeking to become the first host to play in their own stadium at a Super Bowl. These defenses were primed and ready. A battle of backups was set to take place. The game’s opening drive (3 passes, 6 runs) was capped by a Case Keenum touchdown pass on play action to Kyle Rudolph. After the Eagles were forced into and three and out punt, it looked as if the Vikings were going to take this game by the throat. That’s when the Eagles turned into The Mountain and made the Vikings their Oberyn. Keenum threw a pick-six to Patrick Robinson to tie the game. Momentum had shifted and never swung back. The Eagles went on to score on five of their next eight possessions for a 38-7 win. Their last two possessions: runs then a punt when game was clearly decided and running out the clock to end the game. The Vikings looked like the muscle-bound knockout artist who was allowed to run out of gas, then systematically taken apart by the more-skilled, longer winded fighter (i.e. the UFC heavyweight title fight between Stipe Miocic and Francis Ngannou last night). Not much to say because it wasn’t competitive.
The Pats/Jags game was awesome, even though it ended as predictable as a leaked episode of (insert your favorite TV show). Bortles played out of character, in a good way, and wasn’t the reason they lost. Their vaunted defense was to blame, but can one really blame them considering the G.O.A.T. was opposing them? Eagles quarterback Nick Foles took his team to a Super Bowl berth despite doubters thinking they’d be a one and done. How quickly we forget that Eagles head coach Doug Pederson was his offensive coordinator when he went to the Pro Bowl a few years ago. Their defense proved to be the stronger of the two in the NFC game. Now, we’re down to the G.O.A.T. versus a backup who’s bounced around and last saw success four years ago. A team seeking back to back titles versus a team seemingly destined to win despite setbacks. We’re in for a helluva Super Bowl!
The Texans are favored to win the AFC South for a third straight season with a team led by young stars quarterback C.J. Stroud and defensive end Will Anderson. Stroud’s strong first two years helped the Texans turn things around and this year they’ll try to reach the playoffs in three straight seasons for the first time in franchise history. Stroud will be directing a new offense led by first-time offensive coordinator Nick Caley, who took over after Bobby Slowik was fired this offseason following Houston’s loss to the Chiefs in the divisional round. General manager Nick Caserio also beefed up the team’s receiving corps, led by Nico Collins, by adding veteran Christian Kirk and drafting Jayden Higgins in the second round and Jaylin Noel in the third. Coach DeMeco Ryans has vowed the offensive line will be better this season after Stroud was sacked 52 times last season, which was second-most in the league. But it’s difficult to see how his protection will be better after they traded left tackle Laremy Tunsil and didn’t make any big moves to replace him. Defensively, Anderson should take another step forward in his second year playing with veteran Danielle Hunter after the third-overall pick in the 2023 draft had 17 sacks combined in his first two seasons. Cornerback Derek Stingley returns to lead a talented young secondary after earning first team AP All-Pro honors last season when he had five interceptions and defended 18 passes.
OC Nick Caley, WR Jayden Higgins, WR Christian Kirk, WR Jaylin Noel, LT Cam Robinson, RB Nick Chubb, RT Aireontae Ersery, LG Laken Tomlinson, C Jake Andrews.
LT Laremy Tunsil, WR John Metchie III, G Kenyon Green, TE Brevin Jordan, CB Eric Murray, WR Robert Woods, CB Kris Boyd.
Stroud and Houston’s stacked receiving group should be the stars of the team this season. The 2023 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year has been great in his first two seasons to bring the Texans back into contention after an awful stretch. His interception rate was up last season but he’s looking for improvement this season in Caley’s offense, which he has described as “exciting.” He’ll have plenty of strong targets to throw to, led by Collins, who had a second straight 1,000-yard season last year despite missing five games with injuries. He’ll be joined by Kirk, who should fill in at the slot with Tank Dell likely to miss all season recovering from an injury he suffered in December. Higgins and Noel come to Houston after combining for 2,377 yards receiving and 17 touchdowns last season at Iowa State.
It’s hard to see how the offensive line will be improved this season with Tunsil gone to Washington. Though he was penalty-prone, he was the team’s most consistent lineman. They completely revamped the line after his trade and return just one starter from last year’s group. They’ll likely rely on rookie Ersery to protect Stroud’s blind side after taking him in the second round of the draft. He started 38 games at left tackle over three seasons at Minnesota. Veteran Tytus Howard returns at right tackle after starting 16 games there last season. The center is Jake Andrews in his first year in Houston and he returns after missing all of last season with an injury before being released by the Patriots. Left guard Laken Tomlinson and right guard Ed Ingram are also new to the team.
Houston’s secondary sustained a big blow in camp when safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson suffered a leg injury. The injury isn’t season-ending but he is likely to miss significant time. Gardner-Johnson is in his first year in Houston after he was acquired from the Eagles in March in exchange for left guard Kenyon Green. He was expected to be the team’s starting free safety after the Texans lost Eric Murray in free agency to the Jaguars. The Texans will also be without backup Jimmie Ward indefinitely after he was placed on the commissioner exempt list Tuesday as he faces a felony domestic violence charge after a June arrest.
Collins should have another big year after finishing with more than 1,000 yards receiving in each of the last two seasons. He’s had 15 touchdowns combined in the last two seasons despite missing seven games with injuries.
Win Super Bowl: 35-1.